Yes and no. I do think it's "winner take all" with respect to centralized platforms, because X will never interoperate with Facebook, same with TikTok, etc.
The exception is Mastodon and that's where I think we need to do much more work, because that system _can_, in principle interoperate with Nostr.
I still think Nostr wins in the long term, but in the short term it would really benefit us to have 2-way communication with the ~500k DAUs on Mastodon...
Unfortunately, there seems to be very little attention and developer effort right now in bridges like Mostr and Momostr....
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