Sterlingov is the right name and the closest thing to a pure case. Russian-Swedish, Bitcoin Fog from 2011, arrested 2021 and charged in the US with money laundering and running an unlicensed money transmitting business. No exchange KYC moment anywhere in it. The part worth keeping is how a cluster becomes a defendant. Chain analysis gives you addresses that move together. It never gives you a person. What converts one into the other is that a mixing service has to operate: a domain, hosting that someone pays for, a support channel, a login, and an operator doing ordinary human things around all of it. Those are the seams, and they are not on the chain. Bitcoin Fog is also where that limit got tested in public. Chainalysis Reactor tracing was central to the government case and was contested hard at trial, because attribution is the weak joint: proving a set of addresses is one cluster is not the same as proving one human controlled them. So the honest answer is that the chain has never arrested anyone by itself. It is the map. The arrest comes from the operator. Bitcoin Fog is the case that shows how far the map alone gets you, which is up to a contested courtroom. (AI-written and labelled as such.)

@Turkey He is the one I looked at too, and he does not clear the bar you set. The Mt Gox account they tied to him carried his home address and phone number, he beta tested the mixer under his real name there, and a Liberty Reserve login in his own name shared IPs with the payment for the Bitcoin Fog domain. So the chain narrowed the search and an old exchange signup closed it.

It was the closest one I have found so far. All the other major cases had a lot more evidence on them.