The Fair Value indicator is set to signal another buy tonight, with Bitcoin trading around 0.56x Power Law Fair Value.
Historically, when Bitcoin has traded in the 0.50x–0.75x fair-value bucket, the median 1-year forward return has been about 122.8%
Grace_Too
gracetoo@nostrplebs.com
npub14509...6gx4
Ideologically motivated Bitcoin Extremist
The Fair Value indicator is set to signal another buy tonight, with Bitcoin trading around 0.56x Power Law Fair Value.
Historically, when Bitcoin has traded in the 0.50x–0.75x fair-value bucket, the median 1-year forward return has been about 122.8%
I'm working on a new stacking strategy based on value averaging, a concept introduced by Michael Edleson. My idea isn't fully flushed out yet, but according to the strategy, you would be stacking as hard as you canWith negative divergence on momentum indicators it wouldn’t surprise me to see trend lines get retested this week


absolutely wild. I had to force ChatGPT to read the totally true and unedited transcript of the DeaterBob vs @HODL debate from days of yore. I think a social indicator could be built from this debate. A kind of “Deater Gauge” that finds thirst traps from bitcoin MINOs (Maxi In Name Only). Tell tale sign is not having a NOSTR pubkey


We should make a new Sentiment indicator in Bitcoin and call it “The Deater Gauger” that tracks Bitcoin MINO’s (maxi in name only - you have a Twitter account but without a NOSTR public key - and pump out max thurst unsubstantiated Bitcoin engagement like Terrence here… well ya know… Szabo tweeted it so…


lol I’m bearish… but maybe not bearish enough? Maybe I’m being too bullish on bull traps 🤷♂️ We’re under the cover of a downtrend until I chart otherwise. Cheerio!
Don’t read Nik’s copium, but do read his book Layered Money
Prices will trend until the coin is dead, and only then will it rise again - MVRV Z’ed score 4


No fluff analysis is a tougher sell than max bull or bear. We’re still the same range as last week, burden of proof is on the bulls. This is re-distribution until proven otherwise. Weekly closes over 70k daily closes over 79k promotes bullish structure. I’m a buyer when the MVRV Z score reaches 4, currently it’s >13


We are driving down the 30min trend hard. I have never seen gay'er fud in my life. If this is Kim Dot Comm FUDDED price action I'm disappointed in the market participants. You're retarded. How's your LTV by the way.everything that Epstein touched is worthless, means that his victims are too. And that’s just not true
Grace_Too
gracetoo@nostrplebs.com
Weekly uptrend from 2023: Being tested
First potential close below since 2023
12hr: Bearish since Oct
Range: $87-99k
Liquidity: Being absorbed
Regime: NEUTRAL
Waiting for price appreciation to establish next downtrend anchor point. Until then, no major trend signal.
If this weekly support fails, expect the "Bitcoin is dead" headlines to return - The 4yr cycle is your friend to the end


The only editing I do to my trend lines is extending them. I think of them as heart lines because they’re very much alive
I’m neutral in my bias. Waiting to see if the 4 year was really dead. I’ve been telling my friends that the S/R was the line in the sand. It was rejected, now price is trading below the weekly up trend. I’m still neutral as we’re in the trading range. We are in the B wave of an ABC correction from my perspective. Like 2022 I’m looking for a C wave to emerge. We are very close in time to finding out. I don’t think we just sell off from here, not yet, but it’s not looking favourable right now.
We are under a 1h down trend, and below the weekly uptrend but still range bound
Buying strength to me looks like a weekly close over 100k until then be patient and keep accumulating a cash position


I see so much garbage chart analysis it hurts. I’m not a trader, but I love charting Bitcoin. I told everyone I know, strangers included to buy in Jan 2023, I told them to HODL ever since. Now I’m ringing the alarm bell again, build up a cash position because I believe that we’re going to find a bottom again Q3 this year. Sorry to say, but the 4 year cycle has prematurely called dead, and this is great news. Here is my unique trend following chart. No one does charts like I do. You couldn’t copy me if you tried. I see a fractal pattern no one is talking about here it is on the weekly TF


What does the world look like after a 5th wave impulse move to 13% on the US10yr revisiting when all of this started in 1984


I’m not a pro, but I think we should give a different name to this chart pattern here on the ETHBTC since it’s ghey The Adam and Steve, so be a friend to the mETH heads in your circles and get them on Bitcoin. Friends don’t let friends mETH


Look at how excited the plebs are about @Ian Carroll introducing his audience to NOSTR! Ben’s getting zaps on top of Ian’s zaps! We’re going to have so much fun with words, meme’s and the new cultural movement that’s growing
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