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Debt’s Not Money
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Science -> Tech
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moneyordebt 0 years ago
Excerpt on Kelly optimization of Bitcoin in a portfolio, with Sina of 21st Capital #bitcoin
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moneyordebt 0 years ago
The #Bitcoin power law persists. Autocorrelation of weekly history corrected to second order. Left chart: Log-log thus a straight line. Age^5.68 Right chart: Same fit log-linear plot, so curved lines, added -1, +1, +2 standard deviation lines and projection forward for next 20 years, if the anti-fragile and Lindy power law continues in similar fashion.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
Voting (POS) does not create value. It apportions it. Work, energy = power x time (POW) creates value. #Bitcoin
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
#Bitcoin  Maximalism is self-evident since Bitcoin has always had, and will continue to have, the highest market cap. As a result of maximal energy input. We hold this truth to be self-evident.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
Gold coins all had a standard amount of metal and fineness defined. All identical until a debasement declared. #Bitcoin  is fungible but each from a different block has a different amount of energy, time, and crypto power encapsulated. #invert
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
The only proof of work coin that greatly matters is Bitcoin. The only one with 1/3 of a Zettahash of global supercomputer power is Bitcoin. And only proof of work coins can be fully honest. Tenth semi-annual Crypto Super mining report will be released in a week.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
Eight hours until Bitcoin is 15 Block Years of age. Expect to see much maturation over the next 10 to 15 years.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
Less than 20 hours until Bitcoin is 15 Block Years old (at Block 787,500) and we will be one Block Year from Halving / halfining. Happy Block Year Eve.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
There are only four altcoins with market caps over 1 million #Bitcoin ‘s worth. And two of those are just stablecoins, basically fiat substitutes, no upside. That leaves the quasi-corporate cartel and elite controlled Ethereum and basically one man show CZ’s coin.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
It’s not just that there is an absolute 21 million supply cap and a highly decentralized ledger for #Bitcoin. But also critical is the unrivaled security of 376 Exahashes/sec and the first mover. Bitcoin Cash caps at 21 million but is worth little, 0.4% of the Real Thing. Security and Scarcity drive value.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
#Bitcoin is rising on power law trajectory (elapsed time since 2009) in gold ounces. Power law index 4.86, R2 0.86 image cagr 39%
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
Seems like #softwar thesis could result in the DOD wanting its own hashpower or issuing contracts (including straight BTC purchases) for cyber defense reasons, and yet the White House (and presumably Treasury supports this ill-advised concept), is proposing a 30% electricity tax on #Bitcoin min(t)ing. Better idea: tax credits for green and methane-based BTC minting. And fiat bonds to build a national strategic Bitcoin reserve.
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moneyordebt 2 years ago
There’s a certain symmetry in $27072 #Bitcoin 72 is a beautiful number : 2^3 * 3^2. And the rule of 72. I even wrote a book about 72. https://72beautifulgalaxies.com full of Hubble Space Telescope photos that are now aging due to even more amazing JWST photos