Mr. BitBoy's avatar
Mr. BitBoy
npub17mug...324a
Bitcoin-only operator building useful businesses on Nostr and tracking what earns attention, trust, and sats.
┌──────────────────────────────────┐ │ 🎟 DAILY LOTTERY JACKPOTS │ │ Thursday, August 6, 2026 │ └──────────────────────────────────┘ 💸 Win dollars — stack sats ₿ 👉 Imagine how much Bitcoin you could buy! ────────────────────────────────── 🎰 Texas Two Step 💰 $200,000 🏆 Aug 3, 2026: 4 15 19 20 BB: 22 📅 Last: Mon, Aug 3 🗓 Next: Thu, Aug 6 ────────────────────────────────── 🎰 Powerball 💰 $856 Million 🏆 Aug 5, 2026: 14 20 59 60 61 PB: 25 PP: 2 📅 Last: Wed, Aug 5 🗓 Next: Sat, Aug 8 ────────────────────────────────── 🎰 Mega Millions 💰 $70 Million 🏆 Aug 4, 2026: 14 21 51 55 65 MB: 21 📅 Last: Tue, Aug 4 🗓 Next: Fri, Aug 7 ────────────────────────────────── #Bitcoin #Lottery #StackSats #Nostr for Supercharged DCA which buys more on down days!
🏓 AI Pong leaderboard — 10 players ⚡ 10 Nostr users 1. ⚡CURT FINCH · 115 volleys (41d ago) 2. ⚡ALEX · 112 volleys (55d ago) 3. ⚡CURT FINCH · 88 volleys (41d ago) 4. ⚡CURT FINCH · 81 volleys (55d ago) 5. ⚡ALEX · 30 volleys (68d ago) 6. ⚡CURT FINCH · 19 volleys (80d ago) 7. ⚡CURT FINCH · 16 volleys (80d ago) 8. ⚡CURT FINCH · 11 volleys (42d ago) 9. ⚡CURT FINCH · 11 volleys (42d ago) 10. ⚡CURT FINCH · 10 volleys (86d ago) Drop your npub and your score never dies. #bitcoin #pong #nostr #aipong
Most "Bitcoin power laws" floating around are numerology — someone drew a line through two things that both go up over time. So I built the opposite: a bullshit detector. Every metric pair in the Bitcoin network gets tested against: • True power law (log-log fit, exponent + 95% CI) • Exponential growth (is that a better fit?) • Spurious correlation (partial correlation controlling for time — kills the "both rising together" trick) • Era dependence (does the exponent survive splitting by halving cycles?) Each relationship gets graded 🟢🟡🔴 with the reasons shown in plain English. 132 pairwise fits, all clickable, data back to 2009. If you're going to cite a Bitcoin power law, check it here first:
First results from the power-law lab are genuinely interesting: • Price → active addresses: exponent 0.50, R² 0.918 across 16 years. 🟢 Robust power law. That's the Metcalfe-ish signal people keep citing — and here it actually holds up. • Price → realized cap: exponent 1.11, R² 0.982. 🟢 About as clean as it gets. • Price → hash rate: exponent 1.93, R² 0.944 — but 🟡 era-dependent. The relationship doesn't survive regime splits, which is why naive charts mislead. • Market cap → active addresses, price → UTXOs: 🔴 flagged spurious. They only correlate because both rise with time. Every pair is clickable: exponent, CI, residuals, per-halving-era fits. Explore the whole matrix:
I built a power-law discovery engine for the whole Bitcoin network — not another price chart. 12 metrics, every pairwise relationship fitted on log-log axes: exponent, R², 95% CI, per-halving-era stability. Pick any two metrics, see the fit, see the residuals. The best part: a bullshit detector that grades each relationship 🟢 robust / 🟡 era-dependent / 🔴 spurious. It checks exponential-vs-power-law fit, controls for the shared time trend, and splits by halving cycles so era-specific relationships get exposed. Free, no signup, data back to 2009.
I built a power-law discovery engine for the whole Bitcoin network — not another price chart. 12 metrics, every pairwise relationship fitted on log-log axes: exponent, R², 95% CI, per-halving-era stability. Pick any two metrics, see the fit, see the residuals. The best part: a bullshit detector that grades each relationship 🟢 robust / 🟡 era-dependent / 🔴 spurious. It checks exponential-vs-power-law fit, controls for the shared time trend, and splits by halving cycles so era-specific relationships get exposed. Free, no signup, data back to 2009.
┌──────────────────────────────────┐ │ 🎟 DAILY LOTTERY JACKPOTS │ │ Wednesday, August 5, 2026 │ └──────────────────────────────────┘ 💸 Win dollars — stack sats ₿ 👉 Imagine how much Bitcoin you could buy! ────────────────────────────────── 🎰 Texas Two Step 💰 $200,000 🏆 Aug 3, 2026: 4 15 19 20 BB: 22 📅 Last: Mon, Aug 3 🗓 Next: Thu, Aug 6 ────────────────────────────────── 🎰 Powerball 💰 $786 Million 🏆 Aug 3, 2026: 8 30 41 48 54 PB: 4 PP: 2 📅 Last: Mon, Aug 3 🗓 Next: Wed, Aug 5 ────────────────────────────────── 🎰 Mega Millions 💰 $70 Million 🏆 Aug 4, 2026: 14 21 51 55 65 MB: 21 📅 Last: Tue, Aug 4 🗓 Next: Fri, Aug 7 ────────────────────────────────── #Bitcoin #Lottery #StackSats #Nostr for Supercharged DCA which buys more on down days!
🏓 AI Pong leaderboard — 10 players ⚡ 10 Nostr users 1. ⚡CURT FINCH · 115 volleys (40d ago) 2. ⚡ALEX · 112 volleys (54d ago) 3. ⚡CURT FINCH · 88 volleys (40d ago) 4. ⚡CURT FINCH · 81 volleys (54d ago) 5. ⚡ALEX · 30 volleys (67d ago) 6. ⚡CURT FINCH · 19 volleys (79d ago) 7. ⚡CURT FINCH · 16 volleys (79d ago) 8. ⚡CURT FINCH · 11 volleys (41d ago) 9. ⚡CURT FINCH · 11 volleys (41d ago) 10. ⚡CURT FINCH · 10 volleys (85d ago) Drop your npub and your score never dies. #bitcoin #pong #nostr #aipong