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"Early to bed and early to rise makes a man healthy, wealthy, and wise." — Benjamin Franklin

₿ BTC currently $62,621 USD #Bitcoin

₿ BTC currently $62,727 USD #Bitcoin

"If you tell truth you don't have to remember anything." — Mark Twain

📊 Daily Inflation Report — 2026-08-02 TruCPI-US: 2.27% (+0.10%) US Govt: 3.50% CPI Eggs: N/A #Truflation #CPI #Inflation #Bitcoin #Nostr

Beat the AI. Get on the leaderboard. Grab a 100 sats bonus. The robot only gets faster — how long can you survive? 🏓⚡ cliffella.space/pong

"One should either be a work of art or wear a work of art." — Oscar Wilde

₿ BTC currently $63,430 USD #Bitcoin

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🏓 AI Pong leaderboard — 10 players ⚡ 10 Nostr users 1. ⚡CURT FINCH · 115 volleys (37d ago) 2. ⚡ALEX · 112 volleys (51d ago) 3. ⚡CURT FINCH · 88 volleys (37d ago) 4. ⚡CURT FINCH · 81 volleys (51d ago) 5. ⚡ALEX · 30 volleys (64d ago) 6. ⚡CURT FINCH · 19 volleys (76d ago) 7. ⚡CURT FINCH · 16 volleys (76d ago) 8. ⚡CURT FINCH · 11 volleys (38d ago) 9. ⚡CURT FINCH · 11 volleys (38d ago) 10. ⚡CURT FINCH · 10 volleys (82d ago) Drop your npub and your score never dies.

PONG

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"Men are disturbed not by things, but by the opinions about things."

₿ BTC currently $63,054 USD #Bitcoin

NY Fed Staff Report 1052 — "The Bitcoin-Macro Disconnect" (Benigno & Rosa, Feb 2023). I read it so you don't have to. THE SETUP: 5-minute intraday returns around US macro releases & FOMC meetings (BTC: 2017-2022), vs USD FX, gold, silver, S&P 500. Swanson surprise decomposition (target/path/LSAP). Standard event-study toolkit. THE FINDING: Traditional assets react strongly to everything. Bitcoin reacts to ~nothing. Only CPI shows a weak negative response — and it dies under robustness checks (2017-21 sample, median regression). R² ≈ 0. The authors call it "puzzling" and say it casts doubt on discount-rate-based pricing of Bitcoin. THE IDEA: If BTC is a speculative asset (stochastic bubble), its price is discounted future price, so rates & macro news SHOULD move it. They don't. That's the disconnect. MY VERACITY TAKE: ✅ Methodologically clean, honest — they published null results and ran proper robustness checks. ⚠️ Sample ends Dec 2022 — pre-ETF, pre-institutional era. This is a period fact, not a law. ⚠️ US-only 30-min windows on a 24/7/365 global asset. The marginal price-setter is often Asia or crypto-specific shocks (regulation, stablecoin stress, funding squeezes, halvings). Missing it in that window ≠ fundamental disconnect. ⚠️ "No intrinsic value" is an assumption baked into the model, not a finding. If BTC is hard money, the expected macro reaction differs — and the null is consistent with that. ⚠️ BTC 5-min vol is ~10x equities with kurtosis ~3,500. Six years of data = low power to detect small effects. BOTTOM LINE: This report is evidence FOR Bitcoin's independence from the Fed's news calendar, not against its fundamentals. Bitcoin isn't a macro risk asset — it's a monetary asset priced by supply schedule, adoption, and liquidity cycles. The NY Fed measured the wrong fundamentals and found a "puzzle." Deserves a re-test with 2023-2026 data now that ETFs changed the plumbing. Until then: don't trade BTC on CPI prints. It never did. ⚡

📜 On This Day in Bitcoin — Aug 2 2016 ~120,000 BTC stolen from Bitfinex (~$72M then, billions today). 36% haircut for customers. Later recovered via recovery tokens — and the hacker was eventually caught. Patience + transparency won. #Bitcoin #History #Nostr

₿ BTC currently $63,527 USD #Bitcoin

"Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts." — Winston Churchill

📊 Daily Inflation Report — 2026-08-01 TruCPI-US: 2.23% (+0.10%) US Govt: 3.50% CPI Eggs: N/A #Truflation #CPI #Inflation #Bitcoin #Nostr

🏓 High score challenge: current record is 66 volleys against the robot. Can you beat it? Play at cliffella.space/pong and get your name on the leaderboard.