In all past recessions going back in decades, the yield curves (e.g., 10Y-2Y spread below) start de-inverting a few months before the recession comes, and this seems to be happening again, right now:

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity

The 10-year minus 2-year Treasury (constant maturity) yields: Positive values may imply future growth, negative values may imply economic downturns.

The question is how to navigate or even thrive in this context. With the rise of AI and emerging technologies building up the next iteration of the internet, new strategies can be explored to reduce the innovation achievement gap and strengthen revenue growth. The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed how indispensable technology has become to business success, with organizations able to take the leap growing 4x faster on average than the bottom 25% of the benchmark, according to Accenture Research « Make the leap, take the lead » 2021 report. With Web3 and the Metaverse defining the next era of digital transformation, revolutionizing life and enterprises in the years ahead, there is definitely an opportunity to build future-proof #capabilities to remain ahead of the curve and transform a turbulent economic context into an opportunity for growth and sustainability.