Chad Lupkes's avatar
Chad Lupkes
npub1murd...cnel
Wealth based systems are the future. #Bitcoin is the foundation for wealth based financial capital. Critical thinking is required. Bitcoin class of 2017.
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chadlupkes 4 months ago
A World Transformed: The Bitcoin Epoch It's August 15, 2035, and the sun rises over a bustling Tokyo skyline, where holographic billboards flicker with real-time Bitcoin exchange rates against a dozen fiat remnants. In this world, where 90% of the global population—over 7 billion souls—holds or transacts in Bitcoin daily, the cryptocurrency isn't just an asset; it's the lifeblood of the economy, a digital gold standard that has reshaped societies, governments, and everyday lives. Let me take you through a day in the life of Aisha, a 35-year-old entrepreneur in Nairobi, Kenya, to paint the picture. Her story isn't unique; it's the new normal, forged in the crucible of the past decade's explosive adoption curve. Aisha wakes up in her solar-powered smart home, her AI assistant chiming softly: "Good morning. Your Bitcoin wallet balance is 0.42 BTC, up 2% overnight from micro-yields on your staked Lightning Network nodes." Ten years ago, in 2025, Aisha was part of the early majority—a tech-savvy millennial who dipped into Bitcoin during the post-ETF boom, when U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs surged past $1 trillion in assets under management. Back then, adoption hovered around 5-10% globally, concentrated in urban hubs and among the digitally native. Governments were still wary, with regulations like the EU's MiCA framework tightening controls, but cracks were forming: El Salvador's success as a Bitcoin nation inspired copycats in Argentina and Nigeria, sparking the rapid acceleration phase. As Aisha brews her coffee—paid for via a tap on her wrist implant that zaps satoshis (Bitcoin's smallest unit) to the vendor's wallet—she scrolls through her feed on a decentralized social platform. News headlines pop: "UN Approves Bitcoin as Official Reserve Asset for Climate Aid Funds." This shift didn't happen overnight. From 2026 to 2029, during the steep climb of the S-curve's early majority phase, institutional adoption exploded. Corporations like Tesla and Apple integrated Bitcoin treasuries, and central banks in Japan and Germany began holding BTC as a hedge against fiat volatility. Hyperinflation in countries like Turkey and Venezuela accelerated the curve, pushing millions into Bitcoin for stability. By 2028, with adoption hitting 30-40%, the Lightning Network scaled to handle billions of transactions per day, making Bitcoin viable for micropayments—think paying per article read or per minute of streaming, without fees eating into profits. Heading to her co-working space in a self-driving pod (fueled by Bitcoin-mined renewable energy from geothermal plants in Iceland), Aisha joins a virtual meeting with partners in Berlin and São Paulo. They discuss a new venture: a DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) for sustainable farming, funded entirely in Bitcoin. "Remember when we had to convert to dollars for cross-border deals?" her German colleague laughs. "What a hassle." Indeed, the late majority phase, from 2030 to 2033, saw the real transformation. As adoption crossed 50%, even skeptics—rural farmers, retirees, and conservative institutions—piled in. Governments, facing public pressure and economic necessity, legalized Bitcoin as tender en masse. The U.S. dollar's dominance waned as the "Bitcoin standard" emerged, with nations like China reversing bans to launch state-backed BTC wallets. Remittances became instantaneous and fee-free, lifting billions out of poverty; in Aisha's Kenya, GDP doubled as Bitcoin-enabled microloans flowed to small businesses without predatory banks. But change wasn't without turbulence. In the rapid acceleration years (2026-2029), volatility spiked—Bitcoin's price swung wildly, hitting $500,000 in 2027 before dipping amid a global recession triggered by legacy financial collapses. Privacy became a battleground: quantum-resistant wallets emerged to counter surveillance, while "Bitcoin riots" in 2028 protested corporate hoarding. Geopolitically, power shifted; Bitcoin-rich nations like the UAE and Singapore became new superpowers, funding space colonies and AI research with mined rewards. Environmentally, the narrative flipped: by 2030, over 80% of mining ran on renewables, turning Bitcoin into a green energy catalyst—excess solar from Texas grids powered global networks, reducing carbon emissions. At lunch, Aisha grabs street food from a vendor drone, paying 1,000 satoshis (about $0.50 in old terms). No cash, no cards—just a seamless scan. In the evenings, she volunteers at a community center teaching "laggards"—the remaining 10%, often elderly or in remote areas—how to use basic wallets. These holdouts, resistant due to tech fears or ideological reasons, are gently onboarded through government incentives like BTC airdrops for vaccinations or education. By 2035, the world is more equitable yet stratified: wealth gaps persist between early adopters (now "Bitcoin barons") and latecomers, but financial inclusion has eradicated extreme poverty for 2 billion people. Crime evolves—cyber hacks target wallets, but decentralized insurance DAOs cover losses. Culture thrives: art NFTs on Bitcoin's Ordinals protocol fund creators directly, and global events like the "Satoshi Olympics" celebrate the tech. Yet, nostalgia lingers for the pre-Bitcoin era's simplicity, free from constant on-chain tracking. Over those 10 years, the acceleration reshaped everything: economies stabilized on sound money, borders blurred with borderless finance, and innovation surged as capital flowed freely. Bitcoin didn't just get adopted; it adopted us, turning a speculative experiment into the foundation of a decentralized, resilient world. Aisha smiles as she logs off for the day—her story, like billions others, a testament to the S-curve's inexorable pull.
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chadlupkes 4 months ago
If we can't trust the jobs report numbers, what else can't we trust? GDP growth? Population and immigration statistics? Deficit and debt numbers? If someone can revise numbers and then get fired, what other mistakes will not be corrected because the person in charge of those numbers is too afraid? The more you zoom out and start questioning, the more you realize that nothing that we see from the US Federal Government cannot be trusted, and that has been true for years. Decades, even. This is not about partisanship. This is not a case where one side can be trusted and the other side can't. Neither side can be trusted. I hate this. I really do. But seriously, when are we going to wake up to what is really happening? When are we going to zoom out far enough and question enough so that we can start to see the truth? And will anyone, anywhere, ever, listen to someone who has? So far in my experience, the answer is no.
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chadlupkes 5 months ago
Inspired by Adam Livingston on X: The Ballad of the Bond-Grave Looter In a land of paper, where promises dwell, A bond-market behemoth, $147 trillion fell. A corpse it lies, in a crypt of deceit, Its breath but a wheeze where no heart doth beat. Yet hark! From the shadows, a glint doth arise— Bitcoin, the grave-looter, with fire in its eyes. Sovereign scrolls and corporate tomes, Municipal murmurs in marble-domed homes, All gasp on the drip of a morphine lie— “Principal’s safe!” cries the banker’s high cry. But 2025 looms, with $17 trillion to scrawl, No stimulus this, but a desperate thrall. Each bond a new pump, turned to eleven, A Ponzi’s last waltz ‘neath a faltering heaven. Yields wail their dirge in a dissonant choir: The ten-year at 4.6, aflame with desire, The thirty-year breaches, at 5 it doth scream, A ghost of 2007, a pre-crash dream. No cycle, this ruin, but a structural knell, Demand’s final curtain, where no buyers dwell. Bloomberg’s grim tally, a 1.3 gain, While CPI sneers at 3.2’s disdain. Real wealth dissolves in a taxable jest, A privilege paid for a corpse’s unrest. Foreign hands recoil from the rot they behold, A 30-year auction, scarce 59 percent sold— A global no-confidence, carved in the stone, The bond-king’s dominion now reigns all alone. Uncle Sam’s ledger, a trillion in toll, Interest, the third guest at his fiscal soul. A third mortgage taken to pay card’s cruel jest, His coffers a hollow, where vultures invest. Duration’s dread specter, 6.3 years it spans, A 100-point shock, and $9 trillion disbands. Mark-to-model falters, mark-to-coroner calls, As debt’s demolition derby on black ice forestalls. By 2028, forty percent must renew, A wall not of stone, but of ruin to rue. Roll at five percent? ‘Tis fiscal despair, A suicide pact in the market’s cold air. Repo fails climb, and the yen-basis frays, Japanese pensions cast Treasuries away. Collateral’s plumbing coughs blood in the night, A global malaise where no ledger burns bright. Yet Bitcoin, unyielding, $4.9 trillion it clears, No clearinghouse falters, no settlement fears. Stablecoins surge, $12 trillion they glide, Thrice Visa’s vast volume, on freedom’s swift tide. In ten minutes final, its chain doth abide, While fiat’s frail paper in agony cried. Bitcoin’s shield strengthens as prices ascend, The bond market’s credence with yields doth descend. One asset grows mighty, reflexive, and bold, The other self-charred in a pyre of old gold. Five years unfold: bonds flat, a zero they score, Bitcoin’s fierce 68, a comet’s wild soar. Sharpe’s cold measure, bonds limp at 0.1, While Bitcoin’s 1.6 laughs ‘neath the sun. A Monte Carlo dance, ten thousand paths weave: Swap bonds for Bitcoin, and wealth shall not grieve. A ten percent shift doubles fortune’s delight, Equal risk, yet bonds bear the fatter fright. No upside in paper, no memes to ignite, The corpse out-benched by a code’s boundless flight. In this land of paper, where shadows decay, Bitcoin, the looter, claims night for its day. No morphine, no Ponzi, no lie to sustain, A chain forged in freedom, where trust shall remain. So sing of the bond-grave, its requiem clear, And Bitcoin’s bright anthem, forever to steer.