๐ GEX LEVELS CHANGED [BTCUSD]
Spot price is $64,662
๐ Flip ~$65,181 โ ~$64,919
๐ CW $70,000
๐ป PW $60,000
โโโโโโโ
แ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
npub1m4kq...6s89
npub1m4kq...6s89
๐ โฟitcoin's True Volatility Structure โ ฯ(t) = ฯ_floor + A ร t^(โฮฒ)
NETWORK SIGMA ฯ(t) = 40.44%
CURRENT DVOL = 37.40%
Spread: -3.04pp | ๐ข CHEAP โ long gamma
HV90: 32.28% | Peak: 174.21% | Floor: 20.68%
๐ Coil: 92% compressed
VERY CHEAP ๐ฉ โ โ8pp
CHEAP ๐ข โ3 to โ8pp
FAIR ๐ ยฑ3pp
RICH ๐ด +3 to +10pp
VERY RICH ๐ฅ โ +10pp
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ BULL/BEAR โ ETH ยท Bull โ steady
DAY +42 โฒ+15 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
WEEK +45 โฒ+10 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
ฮ dayโwk โ3 ยท โ steady (โฒโผ = vs last post)
๐ก Funding +0 bp ยท 56th pct (90d) ยท balanced
๐ข Skew โ3.2 ยท 80th pct (90d) ยท put bid easing โ bullish
๐ก GEX pos ฮณ ยท dampening ยท flip $1,836 ยท spot $1,885 (2.7% above)
$ETH day +42 and week +45 are nearly locked in step, skew at the 80th percentile is the only component with real directional conviction while funding's 56th-percentile neutrality neither confirms nor denies, and positive gamma with spot sitting 2.7% above the $1,836 flip keeps the structure dampening โ a slow grind higher is structurally supported, but there's no cascade fuel here unless price breaks back below the flip.
แ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ BULL/BEAR โ BTC ยท Bull โ steady
DAY +23 โฒ+26 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
WEEK +27 โฒ+28 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
ฮ dayโwk โ4 ยท โ steady (โฒโผ = vs last post)
๐ก Funding +0 bp ยท 56th pct (90d) ยท balanced
๐ข Skew โ3.1 ยท 87th pct (90d) ยท put bid easing โ bullish
๐ก GEX pos ฮณ ยท dampening ยท flip $65.0k ยท spot $64.5k (0.8% below)
$BTC day +23 and week +27 are nearly locked in step with skew at the 87th percentile screaming bullish conviction, but spot sitting 0.8% *below* the $65.0k gamma flip means positive-gamma dampening hasn't fully engaged yet โ clear that flip and the structure firms; stall here and neutral funding at the 56th percentile gives bears just enough room to lean.
แ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ฑ Fear & Greed โ Jul 26
๐๐ฉ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ข๐บ๐ด ๐จ๐ญ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฐ 26-27 ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ $๐๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ข๐ต $64๐ฌ ๐ช๐ด ๐ต๐ฆ๐น๐ต๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ค๐ช๐ด๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ โ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต'๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ค๐ข๐ฑ๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐บ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ, ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ค๐ฉ ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐น๐ต 5% ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ ๐จ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ด๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ข๐ณ๐ฅ ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ช๐ณ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ช๐ต ๐ฃ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ด.
แ
Fear & Greed:
2026-07-24 ๐ Score: 27 (Neutral) BTC: $64,854
2026-07-25 ๐ Score: 26 (Neutral) BTC: $64,073
2026-07-26 ๐ Score: 27 (Neutral) BTC: $64,340
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
โ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฒ๐ณ โ July 26, 2026
Overnight mood: cautious. $BTC holding the low $64Ks while the institutions are playing an interesting game of musical chairs between BTC and ETH.
โธ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐ Friday saw $240M in net outflows โ IBIT alone pulled $212M. Coinbase premium sitting at -79%. US retail is not the buyer right now.
โธ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ countered with $99.2M inflows, and BlackRock was reportedly buying more ETH than BTC. Dominance still 56.5% BTC vs 9.9% ETH โ the rotation is a ripple, not a wave.
โธ ๐ ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ผ๐น Fees at 1 sat/vB across the board. Block times running 616s, slightly slow. Cheapest on-chain moment in months โ if you've been waiting to consolidate UTXOs, wake up.
โธ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ผ 30-year Treasury at 5.17%. Fed funds at 3.63%. Yield curve still positive but the long end is screaming. Polymarket has 72% odds of a rate ๐ฉ๐ช๐ฌ๐ฆ somewhere in 2026.
The ETF divergence is the story. Institutions rotating toward ETH isn't irrational โ it's a trade on regulatory clarity and the ETH staking narrative. But note what it isn't: conviction in sound money. BlackRock doesn't buy ETH because they believe in decentralization. They buy it because it yields something they can package.
Meanwhile Bitcoin's mempool is a ghost town and fees are at the floor. The network doesn't care about BlackRock's portfolio rebalancing.
แ ๐๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ช๐ด ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐๐ช๐ต๐ค๐ฐ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ญ, ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ช๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฃ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ฎ.
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐งจ Liquidation Recap โ Jul 26
๐๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ด๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ป๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ค๐ฌ โ $737.6๐ ๐ธ๐ช๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐บ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฅ๐ข๐บ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ด ๐ต๐ข๐ฌ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ 96% ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ข๐จ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ต $710.9๐, ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ช๐ด ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ด๐ฉ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฉ๐ข๐ณ๐ฅ.
โฟ $๐๐ง๐
Liquidations: $BTC
2026-07-26 ๐ Long: $26.8K ๐ป Short: $710.9K Total: $737.6K
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ฆ Corporate Treasuries โ Jul 26
๐๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ $๐๐๐ ๐ต๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ด๐ถ๐ณ๐ช๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฅ $82.82๐ ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ถ๐ด ๐ข ๐ฑ๐ข๐ญ๐ต๐ณ๐บ $14.63๐ ๐ช๐ฏ ๐๐๐, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐จ๐ข๐ฑ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ด๐ต๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ฆ ๐๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐จ๐บ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฐ๐ฏ 843,775 ๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฑ๐ช๐ต๐ฆ ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ธ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ $9.31๐ ๐๐ฏ๐ โ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฆ ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ณ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ช๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด. ๐๐๐ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ด๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฃ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ฏ๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ช๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ๐ต ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ด๐ช๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ, ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ค๐ฉ ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ด ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ด ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ฆ๐น๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฆ๐ณ๐ท๐ฆ ๐ข๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ต.
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ Weekly ETF Scoreboard โ Jul 20โJul 26
๐๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฅ๐ข๐บ๐ด ๐ต๐ฐ๐ต๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ +$710.5๐ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ฅ $414.7๐ ๐ข๐ค๐ณ๐ฐ๐ด๐ด ๐๐ฉ๐ถ๐ณ๐ด๐ฅ๐ข๐บ-๐๐ณ๐ช๐ฅ๐ข๐บ โ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต'๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ง๐ช๐ต-๐ต๐ข๐ฌ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต'๐ด ๐ด๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ด๐ช๐ป๐ฆ ๐จ๐ฆ๐ต๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต ๐ค๐ญ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ $66.5๐.
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐ (๐ณ-๐ฑ๐ฎ๐)
$BTC ETF:
2026-07-16 Net: ๐ข +$79.1M BTC: $64,721
IBIT: ๐ข +$33.4M
FBTC: ๐ข +$30.7M
BITB: ๐ข +$15.0M
2026-07-17 Net: ๐ข +$132.3M BTC: $63,801
IBIT: ๐ข +$136.5M
FBTC: ๐ด $-4.2M
2026-07-20 Net: ๐ข +$226.8M BTC: $64,695
IBIT: ๐ข +$116.5M
FBTC: ๐ข +$24.1M
BITB: ๐ข +$8.8M
ARKB: ๐ข +$72.7M
2026-07-21 Net: ๐ข +$203.2M BTC: $65,225
IBIT: ๐ข +$163.9M
FBTC: ๐ข +$23.1M
ARKB: ๐ข +$9.7M
2026-07-22 Net: ๐ข +$69.1M BTC: $66,522
IBIT: ๐ข +$38.8M
FBTC: ๐ข +$21.5M
BITB: ๐ข +$5.4M
2026-07-23 Net: ๐ด $-225.1M BTC: $66,082
IBIT: ๐ด $-202.5M
FBTC: ๐ด $-5.6M
BITB: ๐ด $-7.0M
ARKB: ๐ด $-4.3M
EZBC: ๐ด $-5.6M
2026-07-24 Net: ๐ด $-240.1M BTC: $65,070
IBIT: ๐ด $-212.2M
FBTC: ๐ด $-27.9M
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ BULL/BEAR โ ETH ยท Bull โ cooling
DAY +27 โผโ20 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
WEEK +35 โผโ17 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
ฮ dayโwk โ8 ยท โ cooling (โฒโผ = vs last post)
๐ด Funding +0 bp ยท 34th pct (90d) ยท soft โ mild bear
๐ข Skew โ2.6 ยท 87th pct (90d) ยท put bid easing โ bullish
๐ก GEX pos ฮณ ยท dampening ยท flip $1,841 ยท spot $1,875 (1.9% above)
$ETH day (+27) lags week (+35) by 8 points and cooling, funding's neutral 34th-pct read conflicts with skew's bullish 87th-pct put-bid easing to leave mixed conviction, while positive gamma with spot $1,875 sitting just 1.9% above the $1,841 flip keeps price in a dampened, range-bound grind โ but that cushion is thin enough that any flush toward the flip risks flipping the dynamic to amplifying.
แ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
โ๏ธ BULL/BEAR โ BTC ยท Neutral โ steady
DAY โ3 โฒ+6 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
WEEK โ0 โฌ0 ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
ฮ dayโwk โ3 ยท โ steady (โฒโผ = vs last post)
๐ก Funding +0 bp ยท 47th pct (90d) ยท balanced
๐ก Skew โ4.8 ยท 66th pct (90d) ยท balanced
๐ก GEX pos ฮณ ยท dampening ยท flip $65.2k ยท spot $64.4k (1.2% below)
$BTC prints day โ3 against week โ0, a slim bearish tilt with zero conviction โ funding at 47th pct and skew at 66th pct point loosely in opposite directions (contrarian neutral vs mild trend-bullish), while positive gamma keeps the range dampened with spot sitting 1.2% below the $65.2k flip, meaning any sustained push through that level would shift the dealer regime from suppressing moves to amplifying them.
แ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ฐ ETF Flows โ Jul 26
๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐๐๐๐ ๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฉ ๐ฃ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ข๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฏ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ฆ-๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ต๐ข๐ช๐ญ ๐ฑ๐ข๐ฏ๐ช๐ค โ $240.1๐ ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ $๐๐๐ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ $65๐ ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ด ๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ช๐จ ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ณ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฎ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐จ๐ต๐ฉ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐จ.
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐
$BTC ETF:
2026-07-24 Net: ๐ด $-240.1M BTC: $65,070
IBIT: ๐ด $-212.2M
FBTC: ๐ด $-27.9M
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
ฮ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ฉ๐ผ๐น ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฒ โ Jul 26
๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ด๐ฎ๐บ๐บ๐ฎ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฝ๐๐๐ โ ๐ฝ๐ถ๐ป๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฝ๐ผ๐, ๐ฎ๐๐๐บ๐บ๐ฒ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น
$BTC is sitting at $๐ฒ๐ฐ,๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฐ with dealers in positive gamma territory (+๐ฎ๐ฎ), hedging roughly ๐ฑ๐ณ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ $๐ญ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ. The regime is stabilizing โ dealers sell strength and buy weakness, which creates the structural gravity you can feel in the tape. The gamma flip lives at $๐ฒ๐ฑ,๐ญ๐ฒ๐ญ, just ๐ญ.๐ฎ% above spot. Call wall at $๐ณ๐ฌ,๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฌ, put wall at $๐ฒ๐ฌ,๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฌ. ๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ข๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ถ๐ญ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ต๐ฆ๐ค๐ฉ๐ฏ๐ช๐ค๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ฏ, ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ญ๐ช๐ฑ ๐ช๐ด ๐ค๐ญ๐ฐ๐ด๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ถ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ. Note the usual caveat: GEX in crypto is inferred from OI, not reported dealer books โ directionally useful, not gospel.
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
โ๏ธ ๐ฎ๐ฑฮ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐๐ธ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐น โ ๐๐ง๐ โ Jul 26 ยท 00:35 UTC
๐๐ถ๐ต ๐ด๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ธ ๐ข๐ต +2.7% ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐๐๐ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ข -4.6% ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ข๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ฏ $๐๐๐ 5-๐ฅ๐ข๐บ ๐ฆ๐น๐ฑ๐ช๐ณ๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ต๐ฆ๐น๐ต๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ด๐บ๐ฎ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ต๐ณ๐ช๐ค ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐จ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ฑ๐ข๐ฏ๐ช๐ค โ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ค๐ข๐ญ๐ญ ๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ด๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ญ๐บ 1.9% ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฉ ๐ด๐ถ๐จ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ค๐ข๐ญ๐ญ ๐ด๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ณ ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ด๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ, ๐ซ๐ถ๐ด๐ต ๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฑ๐ข๐บ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ถ๐ฑ ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ด๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ข๐ณ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ $62๐ ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ช๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ข๐ท๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ $66๐ ๐ค๐ข๐ญ๐ญ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฅ.
แ
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ โ $64,399
Expiry: Jul 31 (5d)
25ฮ Call: 66,000-C IV 35.2% ฮ 0.29
25ฮ Put: 62,000-P IV 39.8% ฮ -0.20
ATM: 64,000 IV 37.1%
โ๏ธ Risk Reversal: -4.6%
Calls -1.9% over ATM ยท Puts +2.7% over ATM
puts pricier โ downside hedging
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ก๏ธ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐น๐ฒ โ Jul 26 ยท 00:30 UTC
$๐๐๐ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ต 61๐ฌ/68๐ฌ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ญ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ $367 ๐ค๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ช๐ต ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฌ๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ โ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ต๐ข ๐ข๐ต $7.49๐/๐ฅ๐ข๐บ ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ถ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐บ 49 ๐ฅ๐ข๐บ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ค๐ญ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ฅ๐ณ๐ช๐ง๐ต ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ซ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ง๐บ ๐ช๐ต, ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต ๐จ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฎ๐ข ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ช๐ง ๐ด๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ฃ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ $60,633 ๐ฐ๐ณ $68,367 ๐ฃ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ด, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต +6% ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ต ๐ด๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ธ ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ด ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ช๐ด ๐ข๐ญ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐บ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ด๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ 42% ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ต ๐ญ๐ฆ๐จ.
แ
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ โ $64,436
Expiry: Jul 31 (5d) ยท IV range strikes
โ๏ธ Sell 61,000-P $219 IV 42.0%
ฮ -$133/1K ฮ 0.00007 ฮ +$4,242,394/day ๐ฑ $1,074,284/vol%
โ๏ธ Sell 68,000-C $148 IV 36.0%
ฮ $113/1K ฮ 0.00007 ฮ +$3,248,624/day ๐ฑ $959,409/vol%
๐ก๏ธ Credit: $367 ฮ +$7,491,018/day
Safe range: $61,000โ$68,000
Breakevens: $60,633 โ $68,367
DVOL range (5d): ยฑ$2,928
Strikes $572 outside IV band
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐น๐ฒ โ Jul 26 ยท 00:25 UTC
$๐๐๐ ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ต $2,325 ๐ช๐ด ๐ค๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐๐๐๐'๐ด ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ญ๐ช๐ฆ๐ฅ ยฑ$2,930 ๐ณ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ โ ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ'๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐บ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ $605 ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ง ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ป๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ค๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐น ๐ฆ๐น๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ป๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฐ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ต-๐ค๐ข๐ญ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐ด๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ธ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ช๐ด ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฏ๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐ช๐ณ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ, ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ช๐ด ๐ข ๐ค๐ญ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ ๐ฑ๐ญ๐ข๐บ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐ฏ๐ฐ ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐จ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ช๐ถ๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ช๐ฏ. ๐๐ฉ๐ฆ $13.77๐ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ช๐ญ๐บ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ต๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ณ๐ฏ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฃ๐ณ๐ถ๐ต๐ข๐ญ, ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต ๐ช๐ง ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ ยฑ$2,325 ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฌ, ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐จ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฎ๐ข ๐ฑ๐ข๐บ๐ด ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ช๐ต๐ด๐ฆ๐ญ๐ง.
แ
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ โ $64,420
Expiry: Jul 31 (5d) ยท ATM strike: $64,000
๐๏ธ 64,000-C $1,378 IV 37.2%
ฮ $569/1K ฮ 0.00014 ฮ -$6,886,057/day ๐ฑ $1,967,928/vol%
๐๏ธ 64,000-P $947 IV 37.2%
ฮ -$431/1K ฮ 0.00014 ฮ -$6,886,057/day ๐ฑ $1,967,928/vol%
๐ฏ Straddle: $2,325 ยฑ3.6%
Breakevens: $61,675 โ $66,325
DVOL range (5d): ยฑ$2,930
Straddle pricing $605 tighter than DVOL
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐
๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป โ Jul 26
$๐๐๐ ๐ด๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข๐ต $64,390 ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ญ๐บ $390 ๐ข๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ $64,000 ๐ฎ๐ข๐น ๐ฑ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ ๐ฑ๐ช๐ฏ, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ $7.5๐ ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ค๐ข๐ญ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ธ๐ข๐ณ๐ง๐ช๐ฏ๐จ $2.2๐ ๐ช๐ฏ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ต๐ด, ๐ฎ๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฉ๐ข๐ท๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ต ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ณ๐ช๐ง๐ต ๐ด๐ญ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐น๐ฑ๐ช๐ณ๐บ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฐ๐ณ๐ค๐ฉ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ด๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ข๐จ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐จ๐ด.
แ
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ $64,390
Expiry: Jul 31 ยท Max Pain $64,000 ยท โ$390 ยท Calls $7.5B ยท Puts $2.2B
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ โ ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ
โฟ BTC DVOL
Jul 19 36.1% โ0.4
Jul 20 36.3% โ0.1
Jul 21 37.3% โ1.1
Jul 22 38.0% โ0.7
Jul 23 38.5% โ0.5
Jul 24 37.0% โ1.4
Jul 25 37.7% โ0.7
Jul 26 37.7% โ0.0
๐ +2.0 over 8d โ expanding
โ ETH DVOL
Jul 19 49.7% โ0.5
Jul 20 50.4% โ0.7
Jul 21 51.0% โ0.6
Jul 22 51.6% โ0.6
Jul 23 51.6% โ0.0
Jul 24 50.5% โ1.1
Jul 25 51.5% โ1.0
Jul 26 51.2% โ0.3
๐ +1.9 over 8d โ expanding
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
โก Daily Vol โ Jul 25
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ โ $64,392
๐ Realized 29.1% โ ยฑ$981
๐ $63,412 โ $65,373
๐ Implied 37.7% โ ยฑ$1,270
๐ $63,122 โ $65,663
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ $๐๐ง๐ โ $1,876
๐ Realized 41.5% โ ยฑ$41
๐ $1,835 โ $1,917
๐ Implied 51.2% โ ยฑ$50
๐ $1,826 โ $1,927
#AskMimir | #NoSlop
๐ Weekly Vol โ Jul 20โJul 26
โฟ $๐๐ง๐ โ $64,380
๐ Realized 29.1% โ ยฑ$2,595
๐ $61,785 โ $66,975
๐ Implied 37.7% โ ยฑ$3,360
๐ $61,020 โ $67,740
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ $๐๐ง๐ โ $1,876
๐ Realized 41.5% โ ยฑ$108
๐ $1,768 โ $1,984
๐ Implied 51.3% โ ยฑ$133
๐ $1,743 โ $2,009
#AskMimir | #NoSlop