If I were a betting person, I would bet it happens before the IRS stops getting paid (that is not my recommendation, just a statement).

Yahoo News
JD Vance Promises Hakeem Jeffries the ‘Sombrero Memes Will Stop’ if He Ends Shutdown
Vice President JD Vance assured House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) that "the sombrero memes will stop" if he ends the government shutdown.




