We are winning ... we are going to win.

The left of my youth. WTF happened?

Good interview with Balaji here. More in depth than the usual interview, because it tended to stay focused on AI, although it is Balaji so there are tangents. Strong push-back against AI doom. By this I don't mean AI not being very disruptive of society, but the idea that idea of a Terminator scenario is very small. - Blue America wants to build a "Software FDA". They have got themselves into a position where all technological change hurts them. They are the new conservatives. - Bitcoin at around 200K, means 1/3 to 1/2 of billionaires are crypto billionaires. - Regulation of nuclear power resulted in nuclear weapons, but not cheap electricity. Worst outcome. - Limits on AI imposed by math and physics. Chaos theory limits forecasting ability. Cryptography still applies to AI. - What are sensors and actuators that AI uses to kill us? "You can just pour water on it." is more meaningful than it sounds. AI either needs to hypnotize humans, or it needs a fleet of drones that are not cryptographically controlled by humans to take over. - We will have amplified intelligence: Human + AI. - Future political axis: Uncle Ted (Kaczynski) vs Uncle Fred (Nietzsche). - Even if you believe caution on AI is deserved, America can't do it. America has gone from winning everywhere without fighting, to fighting everywhere without winning.

David Sachs with a good call here back in April. He states we are currently on step 7 with Ukraine.

The probability of AGI ending us is negative. View article → A post I wrote on this today. The calculations of the doomers are flawed.

When you do science, art, or mathematics, you are generating or improving on a virtual reality.

GM.