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Ultimate Satoshi
UltimateSatoshi@nostr-check.me
npub1cp9w...kxks
🎯 SMM | Creator | Promoter | Video Editor 🤝 Open to meaningful collaborations ₿itcoin believer | Builder | Community-first 🌐 Let’s connect! 👇 📧 Usgbtc@gmail.com Zap Me A Coffee : https://zapmeacoffee.com/npub1czu6msse4ntyvjqnc7lf0stmjg68ed3gvkas82p69m29g94tvdhs02srsp
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Bank of America officially Recommends Clients Allocate Up to 4% of Portfolio to Bitcoin and Crypto image
I'm exhausted. The day is officially over. See you tomorrow for the rest and thank you all for the support. GN nostr
🚨🇻🇪 BREAKING: This is how the streets of Caracas look during the protest against the US aggression.
🚨🇮🇷 IRAN ON THE BRINK: PROTESTS EXPLODE INTO ARMED STREET CLASHES WITH FIERY BARRICADES Footage shows barricades set ablaze on highways as demonstrators go head-to-head with security forces. Yet another open confrontation in Iran's civil war.
🚨🇮🇷 IRAN ON THE BRINK: PROTESTS EXPLODE INTO ARMED STREET CLASHES WITH FIERY BARRICADES Footage shows barricades set ablaze on highways as demonstrators go head-to-head with security forces. Yet another open confrontation in Iran's civil war. ⚡Zap 21 sats to unlock this note on
BULLISH - CNBC reports Walmart will now accept Bitcoin, Ethereum, and crypto payments in store for it's 1 billion monthly customers.
🚨🇮🇷 BREAKING: IRANIAN PROTESTERS BURN REGIME MILITIA BASE IN TEHRAN Protesters set fire to a building used by Iran’s street-level regime forces in northwest Tehran overnight. The group was identified in videos as pro-Shah youth taking to the streets in Punak. The attack comes as internet blackouts expand and calls grow for Starlink access.
🇮🇷 TEHRAN BURNS FOR 8TH NIGHT AS PROTESTS REFUSE TO DIE DOWN Footage shows smoke rising as cars jam the road and demonstrators refuse to leave. The message from Tehran is clear: this isn’t ending unless the regime does.
🚨🇮🇷 81 PROTESTS ERUPT ACROSS IRAN IN JUST 24 HOURS Fresh unrest has ripped through dozens of provinces, hitting Tehran, Qom, Tabriz, Shiraz, and beyond in one massive overnight surge. New mapping shows high-confidence demos flaring from the capital to western hotspots like Ilam and southern flashpoints like Fars. This wave comes as anger over killings, arrests, and economic collapse boils over. image
🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 SEC. RUBIO TO JOURNALIST: YOU WANT US TO INVADE FIVE BASES AT ONCE? THE U.S. GOT MADURO, BE HAPPY WITH THAT Sec. Rubio just got grilled by a reporter who wanted to know one thing: if this was really about taking down a narco-terrorist regime in Venezuela, why stop with just Maduro? Why leave the rest of his crew in power, including the Defense Minister, who has deep ties to Russia and a $15M bounty on his head? Why didn’t the U.S. land in more military bases, arrest the whole network, and shut it all down? Rubio didn’t back off, he defended the limits and called the op a historic win. "It is not easy to land helicopters in the middle of the largest military base in the country, kick down his door, grab him, and leave without losing any Americans. You're asking me why we didn’t do that in five other places at the same time? I mean, that’s absurd. This is one of the most daring, complicated, sophisticated missions this country has carried out in a very long time. An indicted drug trafficker who was not the legitimate president of Venezuela was arrested, and now faces justice in the U.S. court system. The others who were also indicted are still in place." Source: @RapidResponse47 , @SecRubio
JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇻🇪 Crude oil prices fall following US capture of Nicolás Maduro. image
🇮🇷 2 KEY IRANIAN CITIES IN REVOLT AS DEADLY PROTESTS SPREAD NATIONWIDE Word's buzzing that protesters have straight-up seized the city of Hamadán, while the holy hub of Qom. Just 150 clicks from Tehran, is mostly under rebel control, cornering the regime like never before. Reports confirm raging demos in both spots for days, with clashes killing at least 4 in Hamadán and a teen in Qom amid grenade blasts and live fire from security goons. Nationwide unrest hit Day 8, sparked by economic meltdown, rials tanking, inflation at 52%, food up 70%, spreading to 174 spots with 19+ dead, hundreds nabbed, and IRGC cracking down hard. State media and rights groups paint ongoing battles, not full wins yet. Source: @TRobinsonNewEra , Iran International, Al Jazeera, Hengaw
🇺🇸🇻🇪 "MADURO'S CAPTURE WAS CAREFULLY PLANNED BY THE U.S." U.S. General Ben Hodges confirmed the operation to capture Maduro was as seamlessly successful as it was because the U.S. bypassed every defence the Venezuelan military had, something which required months of preparation. "We know that there were cyber operations that were initiated to turn off power, to do things like that. In all of these operations, you'd do everything you could to blind the enemy, so air defence couldn't shoot back, they couldn't track. It was a combination of cyber and traditional jamming; they had such good intelligence that had been built up over the past couple of months. Given the nature of Venezuela and this government, I would not be surprised to learn, on the inside, there was help."
I have spent a lot of time talking shit at people with opinions on Venezuela's oil production potential, and how it's going to "RePLaCe CanADa". So here's my contribution -- how I see the cost of replacing Canadian crude with Venezuelan heavy. I think it's a nearly $1 trillion bill to get that done. I'm not sure who has a spare $1 trillion in their jeans. Venezuela's natural domestic consumption is ~1MMB/d, so to completely replace Canada and reach 3MMB/d of export capacity, the country needs to grow production to ~4MMB/d of production, a level they have never hit before. Exports never really exceeded more than ~1.2MMB/d. They have one main export terminal (Puerto José) capable of ~1.2MMB/d and other smaller terminals gets them to realistically, 1.7MMB/d, so they need +1.3MMB/d in just export capacity and storage facilities, that's $5-10Bn. On the US side there needs to be minor import expansion, but not super major, around $1Bn. Then, they have to get the oil flowing north. You'd be able to repurpose some Canadian pipelines (if we assume no USGC re-export), but right now Mid-Valley Pipeline is the only major remaining heavy trunk line that moves oil from the USGC region northward into the Midwest. So you need +3MMBbls/d of crude pipelines that move crude north which would run around $30-50Bn. Then you also need a condensate return line for another $10Bn. Venezuelan crude has higher levels of metals and a higher TAN than Canadian exports, so you need to retool the refineries accepting the new sauce, that's another $50-90Bn on the tab. Cause there's not enough VLCCs in the world to service this, you also need to build new tankers for the shuttle service. 30 new VLCCs will cost $4-8Bn. Then onto the upstream. I'm going to say that if you're getting super majors to really invest in Venezuela, they're going to do tertiary recovery which is overwhelmingly the right play over 20+ years with current SAGD tech (SAGD wasn't commercial when Venezuela grew the first go-round). Using foamy oil to get to 4MMBbls/d and keep it there for 10-20+ years is impossible (we're replacing Canada so we need a 20+ year RLI). Right now, Venezuela produces oil cold, and uses depleting reservoir pressure to bring that oil to surface. For a true Canada replacement, you need heat, which is going to be expensive! But we're not building new upgraders (replacing Canadian heavy), but even then upgrading capacity is only ~0.7MMB/d. The problem is they don't have the power infrastructure to add the power needed for 3MMBbls/d of SAGD for steam generation, and even for primary recovery they don't have the electricity they need. So you need to build 10-15 GW of new power infra, at gas-fired capital cost including transmission and the new midstream infra to move gas (including LNG import terminals), that's another $40-75Bn just to get the power to the SAGD facilities. There are constant rolling blackouts in the country. You also need ~7-900MB/d of diluent looping on the Venezuela side, including DRUs for another ~$25Bn. Other local midstream refurb is at least $15Bn to replace ashphalted and corroded trunk lines. Any North American firm would also have to commit to cleaning up Lake Maracaibo which is a $10Bn commitment. For the actual upstream facilities, I'm just going to use a pretty general number based on 125% of Canadian Greenfield costs, so ~$45K/Bbl/d, and lets just call it 2.8MMB/d that's another ~$125Bn for the actual production facilities and ~$220Bn in sustaining CAPEX while everything ramps, and inevitable 5yr issues will add another $10Bn. There are also very little functional logistics infrastructure. The Tinaco-Anaco rail line was never completed, so you'd have to finish that. All copper has been inevitably stripped and looted, you'd have to rebuild all sorts of worker camps, airports/airstrips, rail spurs, trainload facilities. You'd need to re-dredge the Orinoco River ($15Bn), complete the Tinaco-Anaco line ($20Bn), build 1,000 miles of new heavy spec roads ($25Bn), and you'd need to refresh all of the civil infrastructure cause nobody from Houston is going to live in Venezuela as it stands. So you're going to shoulder that in wages, or Fort Mac copy-paste CAPEX for ~$40Bn. You are also, in the growth/construction and first 5 years going to spend $50-60Bn on paying employees/EPC/other contractors. You need at least 50,000 people in offices and fields to get this done. Of course, security too. Petrominerales spent ~$2.50/BOE on security, so +3MMB/d over 5 years is ~$10Bn on security. So all-in we're at ~$700Bn in both direct upstream costs, and indirect costs. All-in, this is a $1 trillion project to grow exports ~3MMB/d. There is short-term growth to be had, but it's not sustainable growth. There is also huge long-term potential, but it's not the same as drilling a pad in the Permian and ripping a tie-in to Energy Transfer. It's a freaking massive commitment. The country is pretty much dilapidated, and until super majors (and other infra builders) begin committing to the full-cycle costs associated with realizing the country's potential, the upside is not as robust as many would want you to believe. - Export terminal ($8Bn) and import refresh ($1Bn) - Pipelines from USGC to Midwest ($40Bn) and then a condensate return line ($10Bn) - Retooling refineries ($75Bn) - New tankers for shuttle service ($6Bn) - Lake Maracaibo clean up ($10Bn) - New power infrastructure for the upstream growth at a post-AI inflated capital cost ($60Bn) - New diluent looping ($25Bn) - Actual upstream production facilities and <5yr sustaining capital and issue contingency ($355Bn) - Full logistics and civil infrastructure overhaul (~$100Bn) and security ($10Bn). image
🚨🇻🇪🇺🇸🇮🇱 FREE MADURO, IMPRISON TRUMP & NETANYAHU
🇮🇷 IRAN PROTESTER HURLS MOLOTOV AT FORCES IN IRAN'S STREET CLASHES Footage captures a demonstrator lobbing a firebomb at security troops in Lahijan, northern Iran. What started like a few protests is escalating nationwide to a civil war. Flames erupt as crowds push back against Tehran's crackdowns. Source: @ariel_oseran
🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN’S REGIME PANICS AFTER TRUMP THREATENS STRIKE: “WE’RE IN SURVIVAL MODE” Right after Trump warned that the U.S. would respond if Iran kills protesters, Tehran’s top security council scrambled into an emergency late-night meeting. They're in full in survival and damage-control mode. Officials inside that room admitted privately what the world’s been seeing for weeks: the Islamic Republic is in full-blown survival mode. Protests are exploding. The economy is falling apart. And now there’s the threat of U.S. airstrikes on top of it. The regime is terrified it won’t survive another wave of unrest and foreign pressure at the same time. They’re running out of options, and very fast. The regime can’t fix the economy, nor stop the protests; and now they have to plan for war while pretending everything’s fine. Iran’s leaders are used to putting on a strong face, but the panic is showing. They know what’s coming. The street isn’t afraid of them anymore, and of course, neither is Trump. Source: @FaytuksNetwork image
🇻🇪 POLYMARKET BETTORS THINK MADURO WILL DIE IN PRISON Most people betting on Maduro's future think he’s not just going to jail, he’s never getting out. There’s a 54% chance he gets slapped with 60+ years, which is basically a forever sentence. Only 14% think he somehow avoids prison completely, which sounds more like fantasy than prediction. Turns out, skipping consequences gets harder when the whole world’s watching. image
🚨🇮🇷 BREAKING: TEHRAN FORCES RAID CLASHING WITH PROTESTERS SEEKING REFUGE Intense scenes unfolding in Ilam, Iran: Armed security forces stormed Imam Khomeini Hospital to snatch the bodies of killed protesters and detain the injured, sparking fierce clashes as crowds fight back amid nationwide unrest entering Day 6. Local footage shows the brutal raid, with reports of at least 16 deaths nationwide and over 600 arrests. Source: Hengaw, Iran International, Local Witnesses,