My thoughts on the recent price actions between precious metals and Bitcoin: 1: Global stage. • Recently the US has had an unstable government, since the government supports the dollar the result is trust in the dollar is down on the global stage and central banks are already seen to be liquidating their US treasuries more than normal. • With governments and central banks around the world reducing dollar holdings, what do they trust most as the alternative? Precious metals. China in particular appears to be stockpiling gold and went from 3000 kg to 40000 kg in only 18 months. If other nations, groups, and wealthy individuals are doing the same that would explain gold growing nearly 3x in the last 2 years. If this continues it may rise further. • Like it or not Bitcoin is still very much too small for nation states to truly jump into in the same way, it would need to 10x - 20x before that point is reached where it could support that much liquidity. Trust isn't yet there, but with every higher bottom that trust is building. ----- 2: Pleb stage. • Average people are really hurting from the last 5 years of inflation, plus they are scared of Bitcoin's historic crashes, so there's been less participation this cycle from this group than previously. • The unpopularity of the current president after he declared himself the "Bitcoin president" and then proceeding to become in reality the Shitcoin president among other things, also the mention of Bitcoin in the Epstein files, Bitcoin is being hammered in the views of people who don't understand what makes Bitcoin unique and not a part of all the scammer's and elite's bullshit. It's not part of the problem, it's the solution, but people don't know that. ----- 3: Bitcoin is money. • AI is causing lots of job losses. • Government instability and shutdowns are causing government workers to either lose their jobs entirely or go long periods without pay. • Government tariffs are causing significant strain on the overall economy. Leading to struggling economic activity across the board. Less economic activity = less savings buildup. • Bitcoin is the easiest asset you can both self custody and liquidate quickly and at a low cost of ~1%~, compare that to precious metals which when self custodied are much harder to liquidate and often have a 5 - 10% fee for doing so. • All things considered anyone holding Bitcoin as their savings that ends up affected by these things, easily accesses their savings and sells some of their holdings as needed. Bitcoin's advantage as money, leads to it appearing to lose as a long term store of value as its price falls in the short term. ------------ Conclusion: As the world struggles Bitcoin gets used as emergency access money with savings easily liquidated, and Gold and Silver get jumped into at the nation state level to be used as a store of value. The result is they travel in opposite directions in the short term. If Bitcoin were difficult to liquidate then it wouldn't have it's fast short term crashes, but it also wouldn't have it's fast increases when times favor such movements. Nobody knows what the future holds, and as the economy suffers Bitcoin will spread from the wallets of those who need it now to those who can afford to stack now. Remember the heartbeat of Bitcoin is it's hashrate finding blocks, while the price has cut in half the difficulty only reduced roughly 25% from a high of 155.9 T in October/November to 125.9 T a week ago, and this last adjustment saw a massive jump back up to 144.4 T. IMO we're massively oversold, and we're forming a solid bottom around the 2021 ATH level. But things remain uncertain on the global stage as well as in the halls of government, and AI fears continue as well. Those who can afford to stack in these times will be very happy in the future when things turn around. But nobody knows if that's right around the corner or months or even years away. Do your best to disattach from short term market movements and live in the moment, enjoy the rollercoaster that is Bitcoin and life itself. 🤟

Yesterday I bought something for $10 at Walmart. Paid exact change with only copper coins, the cashier didn't have any idea what to do with them and called over a co-worker. He said: "Where do I put these? I've never been paid with medieval coins before." That comment was so funny to me, after paying I couldn't stop chuckling to myself. But it is also striking that we really are losing our coinage, so much has changed in less than a lifetime on pure fiat. IMO the Dollar is already dead, it's a zombie monetary system that people don't realize is worthless now. In a way though the dollar network played themselves by becoming primarily digital, much easier to sidestep the whole thing when people are used to just using their devices and not physical currencies.

I may seem really smart, but I'm just a math loving mildly autistic person living with childhood CPTSD. Growing up my family was always hyper afraid of government, you could argue they were justified in that fear but you could also argue that they focused on it too much and let it rule their lives. Not being put in school was good in some ways, it helped me develop my open minded nature which led me to learn about Bitcoin much earlier than the majority of people. But what my parents labeled "homeschooling" was actually child neglect. They were violent with each other, physically and verbally abusive, paranoid of the end of the world and government conspiracies. They were hoarders, who allowed a massive infestation of roaches to continue living in our home for my entire childhood until I took matters into my own hands as a young adult. They even almost let me die from dental infections that would swell up my entire jaw, because they were too lazy to take me to the dentist and they were afraid of the drugs the dentist used (like the super deadly... ibuprofen) would kill me. 🙄 I still like the idea of homeschooling when done right, but I also like the idea of a trusted environment where division of labor gives children a better education than I could alone (provided the government is not involved). I'll probably find a good private school or tutors which will assist me in my educating my own children. But only time will tell. Despite the early exposure into Bitcoin, I was not in command of much money and I didn't really know what I was doing. So even if I wish I had made different choices and wish I had more Bitcoin, the choices I did make allow me a more comfortable existence than many and that is it's own wealth. These days I study Bitcoin still, I also study the history of the US dollar and the Roman system of money and am in the early stages of writing a few books, but my focus is shifting to working on healing myself from my trauma and supporting my partner in her journey to heal hers as well. The truth is we're all waiting for/working towards a world of abundance when if you choose to see it the world is already in abundance. When viewed from a lens of the original US gold standard anything that costs less than a 1/2 Goldback (~$5~) is under $0.02. on the $20.67/oz of gold US monetary system. I picked up a package of sliced ready to eat cheese at Aldi's for $1.48 the other day, that's less than a gold standard penny. I am not posting as much lately, my analysis of a long term bottom in Bitcoin was evidently incorrect given the last 4 months of significant downward price action. So I'm not focusing on Bitcoin right now, I don't know what it's going to do other than eventually go up again. Instead I'm working on letting go of fear, accepting that there's little chance those who wish to control me affect my personal life directly, little chance a pleb like me is on anybody's radar. Even if they did try to affect me, I'm very insulated from indirect methods of attack these days. I could honestly live without a bank account, just order precious metals online and sell them for cash if I need it. I choose not to participate in the broken system anymore, the only fix for the world at large is Bitcoin allowing us to focus on the world immediately around us and help our family, friends, and communities in their own journeys of growth. Stack Bitcoin, and focus on your own sense of inner peace, the rest will follow. Love you all. ❤️

The most common action following Bitcoin falling to unexpectedly low prices, is it climbing to unexpectedly high ones. The reverse is also true though, and the prices simply repeats.

The struggle is real.

When you love someone deeply, but the right thing to do is end the relationship. ❤️‍🩹

It is okay to have grown out of a relationship. It hurts, but it's a part of living a healthy life.

😂

Just paid 21,520 Sats for some Burgers at Steak n Shake for my Mom and I. Feels good to pay sound money, no matter the current fiat price.

Total network value = Current total supply × block input (Time × Energy) ÷ block output.

I took a look at the S&P 500's growth since Feb 2018, and compared it to the growth in M2 over the last 8 years and then again to each other's growth over the previous 15 years. The results are eye opening. S&P. Feb 2018 - Dec 2025: 2762.13 ➡️ 6836.17 = 247.5% growth. Average APY of roughly 12%. M2 (Billions). Feb 2018 - Dec 2025: 13,919 ➡️ 22411 = 161% growth. Average annual increase of roughly 6.1%. Going back another 15 years to Jan 2003 the S&P was about 850, while the M2 was 5812. S&P. Jan 2003 - Feb 2018: 850 ➡️ 2762.13 = 325%. Average APY of 8.2%. M2 (Billions). Jan 2003 - Feb 2018: 5812 ➡️ 13,919 = 239.5% growth. Average annual increase of 6 - 6.1%. So M2 growth has been pretty stable around 6.1% a year the last 23 years, while the S&P has accelerated in growth in recent years. If you remove the growth in the M2 from the growth in the S&P the change for the S&P is much more substantial. Considering M2 debasement reveals the S&P grew about 2% a year from 2003 to 2018 but it has grown a whopping 5.5% a year from 2018 to 2026! The true growth in the S&P 500 has tripled in recent years compared to the past. Is this an early sign of technological deflation occurring? Or a Tech/AI bubble? What do you think?