How quickly would bitcoin have to rebound and make new all-time highs for the bear market thesis to be invalidated? And on the flip side, at what percentage drawdown would the bear market thesis be confirmed? 
Wicked
wicked@primal.net
npub14uhk...ez89
My name's Wicked ✌️🍎🍻.
I'm an apple who loves art, math, programming, and Bitcoin.
Exit fiat, save in bitcoin, and take it into self custody.
Learn UTXO mgmt.
https://wickedsmartbitcoin.com/
'Tis but a scratch! 
Thank God I didn't quit my job right before getting a 50% pay raise in bitcoin terms. 
The deeper the drawdown, the sweeter the rebound.
The average sales price for new houses sold in the U.S. is back above 6 BTC. 
2025 is shaping up to be the flattest year ever for Bitcoin. 
Bitcoin’s officially 40% of the way to the next halving. Tick tock, next block.
JUST IN - 95% of the 21 million bitcoin has now been mined.
Only 5% left to be mined over the next 114 years! ⛏️
How Bitcoin Incentives and URSFs Kill Minority Soft Forks
New Visualization:
Bitcoin Cycle Low Multiple 
Added two different alignments for this visualization: Block Height and Days After Halving. You can cycle through them on my site by using the up and down arrows.
Another day of perfect bitcoin issuance. Miners mined 144 blocks, hitting the target of 450 newly issued bitcoin. 🎯 
This Time Is Different™
New Visualization:
Bitcoin Halving Cycles (Block Height Aligned) 
We’re living through hyperbitcoinization. Gradually, then suddenly.
Witness the evolution of the future global monetary base layer. Bitcoin’s unstoppable. Tick tock, next block.
Decided to add a bunch of events to this visualization. The animated version should be pretty sick...processing the rest of the frames now. ⏳ 
Added a couple of extra KPIs to this block size dashboard: number of blocks added year-over-year (underneath the block height), blockchain year-over-year growth, and the 1-year average block size underneath the color bar. 
Block by block, sat by sat...save and HODL bitcoin for a better future.
In dollars, prices of houses have more than doubled. In bitcoin, they continue to collapse, trending toward zero. Wake me up when the average new house costs less than 1 BTC.