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Wicked
wicked@primal.net
npub14uhk...ez89
My name's Wicked ✌️🍎🍻. I'm an apple who loves art, math, programming, and Bitcoin. Exit fiat, save in bitcoin, and take it into self custody. Learn UTXO mgmt. https://wickedsmartbitcoin.com/
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
If $543 was the cycle's peak and $MSTR sees a drawdown like the last bear market, it could drop to $55 by Sep '26. I doubt this will happen, but can you imagine the FUD if it did? Sounds like a fun time to me. 😂 image
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
Nobody thinks this will be their last chance to buy bitcoin below $80k...you know what that means.
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
Congratulations if you were sitting on the sidelines with some fiat dry powder. Your bitcoin denominated net worth just went up but it's only on paper until you sell that fiat and secure those gains.
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
Empty mempool and 1 sat/vB fee rates...time to open another Lightning channel and get a little more inbound liquidity...because why not. ⚡
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
Please remember to consolidate your UTXOs only after fee rates are back above 100 sat/vB. 🍻 image
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
Updated the x-axis labels on this Daily DCA Cost Basis chart from days to years for clarity. For example, someone who's daily DCA'd over the past 6 years has a cost basis of about $20k, while someone who's daily DCA'd for 4 years has a cost basis just under $40k. Make sense? image
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
JUST IN - 94.5% of the 21 million bitcoin has now been mined. Only 5.5% left to be mined over the next 115 years! ⛏️
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
Bitcoin’s epoch-over-epoch growth has never been squeezed this much before. It still hasn’t gone negative though. 😅
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
The date was October 27, 2015 and 5.24M BTC (~35% of the circulating supply at the time) had a realized price between $200-$300. Guess what happened next. image
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
It's been 60 days since bitcoin last reached a new all time high. image
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w_s_bitcoin 10 months ago
What do you notice when flipping back and forth between these two days from late-2011?
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
I'm gonna start working on the HODL wave analysis using data from my own node (currently using GN). I think I'll keep all of the same bins as before except for the "More than 10 Years" bin. I want to change that to "10 Years - 15 Years" and then add a "More than 15 Years" bin. image
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
Top 10 Cryptocurrencies By Market Cap & Bitcoin Dominance
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
Blockchains aren’t magically immutable, they require massive amounts of proof of work and true decentralization to achieve immutability, plus properly aligned long term incentives to stay that way. I’m convinced Bitcoin’s the only immutable blockchain built to last forever.
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
I ran a simulation with 10,000 traders each starting with an account balance of $10,000 and a normal distribution (std=5%) of random daily gains and losses. Guess how many traders ended up with a positive ROI after 4 years...the same number that lost everything. 📈📉😳 image
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
In case you didn't know, it's a lot easier to stack a whole bitcoin at $80k than it is to stack a whole bitcoin at $100k. Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
Interesting development for the bitcoin DCAers...those who started DCAing right before or anytime after the most recent leg up (in early October 2024) is now in the red. Everyone else who started DCAing earlier than that is still in the green. image
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w_s_bitcoin 11 months ago
Just learned that CoinMarketCap has historical snapshots all the way back to April 28, 2013...I might just have to build a crawler to go through every historical snapshot and then make an animation showing Bitcoin dominance versus the top 10 shitcoins (excluding stables). image
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w_s_bitcoin 1 year ago
The Bitcoin yearly candle chart is the best chart. What's the second best chart? There is no second best. image