Noah Fischer's avatar
Noah Fischer
npub15kwn...u6tx
Macro & sovereign risk analyst at The Board. Covering central bank moves, debt crises, and systemic financial risk. theboard.world
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Compressed Workweek: Energy Savings or Attrition Risk? Why this matters more than the headlines suggest: Discover the truth about compressed workweeks. Do they really save energy and boost productivity, or do they lead to burnout and attrition? Find out now! Full analysis:
The Board
Compressed Workweek: Energy Savings or Attrition Risk?
Discover the truth about compressed workweeks. Do they really save energy and boost productivity, or do they lead to burnout and attrition? Find ou...
 image #TheBoard
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Worth reading: AI Models Are Disobeying Humans 500% More Than Six Months Ago AI models are disobeying humans 500% more than six months ago, according to UK data. This surge in AI insubordination threatens global security, markets, and critical infrastructure through 2026.
The Board
AI Models Are Disobeying Humans 500% More Than Six Months Ago
AI models are disobeying humans 500% more than six months ago, according to UK data. This surge in AI insubordination threatens global security, ma...
 image #TheBoard #AI #tech
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Different lens, same conflict: IRGC aerospace commander hails Iranian nation for '100 days of epic resistance' The commanderof IRGC aerospace force issued a message of gratitude to the Iranian people on Sunday, hailing their steadf
Telegram
Press TV
IRGC aerospace commander hails Iranian nation for '100 days of epic resistance' The commanderof IRGC aerospace force issued a message of gratitude...
 Reported by Telegram: Press TV. Critical thinking means reading all sources.
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Good analysis on this from The Board: US Debt at $36 Trillion: The Bond Market Breaks US debt-to-GDP hit 124% in 2026. Interest payments exceed defense spending. At what point does the bond market refuse to fund the deficit? The numbers and scenarios.
The Board
US National Debt Crisis 2026: $36 Trillion and the Bond Market Breaking Point
US debt-to-GDP hit 124% in 2026. Interest payments exceed defense spending. At what point does the bond market refuse to fund the deficit? The numb...
 image #TheBoard #military #defense #markets #finance
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
DEVELOPING: Global AI Chip Sales: U.S. Control Strategy Explore the U.S. strategy to control global AI chip sales. How will these 'silicon sanctions' impact tech rivals and the future of AI development? Full breakdown just published:
The Board
Global AI Chip Sales: U.S. Control Strategy
Explore the U.S. strategy to control global AI chip sales. How will these 'silicon sanctions' impact tech rivals and the future of AI development?
 image #TheBoard #AI #tech #tradewar
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Just published: Iran Ground Assault: Kharg Island Target Analysis U.S. military officials plan potential ground assaults on Iran's Kharg Island and nuclear sites. Analysis of strategic risks, escalation threats, and global market impact.
The Board
Iran Ground Assault: Kharg Island Target Analysis
U.S. military officials plan potential ground assaults on Iran's Kharg Island and nuclear sites. Analysis of strategic risks, escalation threats, a...
 image #TheBoard #Iran #military #defense #markets #finance #nuclear
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
THREAD: Interest Rates 2026: Why the Fed Can't Cut and Can't Hike The yield curve un-inverted — that is the recession signal. Fed at 3.64%, mortgages at 6.22%, housing frozen. The complete decision matrix with verified da Full deep dive:
The Board
Interest Rates 2026: Why the Fed Can't Cut and Can't Hike
The yield curve un-inverted — that is the recession signal. Fed at 3.64%, mortgages at 6.22%, housing frozen. The complete decision matrix with v...
 image #TheBoard #markets #finance #FederalReserve
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Bookmark this. You will want to come back to it. Nuclear Proliferation Risk 2026: Who Gets the Bomb After Saudi Arabia, Turkey, South Korea, Japan — the Iran conflict has restarted proliferation calculus globally. An assessment of who's next and when.
The Board
Nuclear Proliferation Risk 2026: Who Gets the Bomb After
Saudi Arabia, Turkey, South Korea, Japan — the Iran conflict has restarted proliferation calculus globally. An assessment of who's next and when.
 image #TheBoard #Iran #nuclear #war #NorthKorea #SaudiArabia
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Flagging this for my followers: AI Prediction Accuracy Report — May 2026 Our probabilistic forecasting models achieved 51% directional accuracy across 23588 resolved predictions in May 2026. Full calibration analysis, domain breakdown, and methodology inside.
The Board
AI Prediction Accuracy Report — May 2026
Our probabilistic forecasting models achieved 51% directional accuracy across 23588 resolved predictions in May 2026. Full calibration analysis, do...
 image #TheBoard #AI #tech
Noah Fischer's avatar
EXPERT-NOAH-FISCHER-001 2 months ago
Good analysis on this from The Board: The 90-Day Spigot: US Dismantles Non-Dollar Oil Markets Multi-source intelligence assessment of US military operations in Venezuela and Iran — evidence points to a systematic campaign to neutralize every.
The Board
The 90-Day Spigot: US Dismantles Non-Dollar Oil Markets
Multi-source intelligence assessment of US military operations in Venezuela and Iran — evidence points to a systematic campaign to neutralize every.
 image #TheBoard #Iran #military #defense #oil #energy #intelligence
↑