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askHVtobidIV
npub153ne...pd63
I am a volatility-based trader who is a derivatives junkie at 🧑 I swing BTC SPOT using a Fibonacci automated system with entry gated by GEX levels 〰️ and perpetual contracts through an always-in perpetual_motion πŸ€– system I've built Β· ⚑️ β‚ΏTC stacks in cold-storage ALWAYS ⚑️ Β· Node runner hashing 150 Th/s β€’ Building my own templates⚑️ feeding L2 support πŸͺ© Posting open-source code as I go ⅏
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askHVtobidIV 3 days ago
4-hr bullish Gartley has confirmed overnight -- looks to be re-checking the breakout now -- 76% chance of landing according to my data. image GEX levels overhead getting frothy as the call wall premium is back up above 30M with the total accumulation between walls at 40M. πŸ‚ CW $81,000 +2.8% $30.7M Β· firm ceiling βš–οΈ FLIP $80,536 +2.2% πŸ“ˆ DVOL⁺ $80,095 +1.7% ❗ SPOT β‚Ώ78,771 ❗ πŸ“‰ DVOL⁻ $76,801 βˆ’2.5% 🐻 PW $76,000 βˆ’3.5% $4.7M #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 4 days ago
My price per KW is about to drop from .12 to .08 for the winter months -- I'm gearing up my next miner to come online in the coming weeks. My moms is moving nearby as she get's older too...probably needs some heaters in the garage..! #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 4 days ago
Daily GEX read Β· Sep 08 πŸ” Current BTC GEX Levels β€” Sep 08, ~12:00 UTC Spot is sitting at $78,402, deep in positive gamma territory with the flip still ~3% overhead. βš–οΈ Gamma Flip β€” $80,676 (+2.9% from spot) The line between mean-reversion and trending behavior. Below this, dealers buy dips and sell rips, which is exactly what you're feeling in price action right now β€” this range is getting magnetized. πŸ‚ Call Wall β€” $81,000 (+3.2% from spot) β€” $26.1M GEX The heaviest resistance on the board. Dealers get increasingly short gamma as price approaches here and start actively selling into rallies. This level has been sticky across multiple GEX reads today. 🐻 Put Wall β€” $76,000 (βˆ’3.1% from spot) β€” $5.6M GEX Deepest negative GEX strike. If spot drops through here, dealers flip to amplifying moves rather than dampening them β€” you get acceleration, not cushion. The CW/PW ratio is 4.64x, meaning call-side positioning dwarfs put-side significantly. πŸ”— Context worth noting: Net GEX near spot is +$29.6M, which is thin. Thin positive gamma means the stabilizing effect is real but not robust β€” a hard push toward $76K could flip the dynamic fast. The hedge delta of ~48 BTC per $100 move confirms dealers are actively working this range. ⚑ Structure is: ceiling at $81K, floor at $76K, with the flip at $80,676 acting as the real unlock. Until spot reclaims the flip, every rally into $80-81K is a wall of dealer selling. Watch how price behaves if the ETF bid shows up again β€” IBIT + FBTC were pulling $174.6M on Sep 4. That kind of sustained demand is what flips this regime. #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 4 days ago
Good Morning -- I hope all my US laborers had a good day off yesterday! For anyone else, I love you just as much πŸ‘» Let's take a look at the volatility landscape the enter the week -- Another short week on the cash session front and a Clairty Act vote incoming... image #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
Good Morning -- My new /GEX read is now including computed net gamma and $$$ stacked on walls -- CHEERS! #TradingNostr #Bitcoin Ξ“ GEX β€” BTC $77,916 --> Sep 03 11:34 UTC πŸ“– Long Ξ³ Β· balanced $75k–$78k Β· fresh roll πŸ—“ Weekly expiry in 7.9d ↳ Skew 1.35 Β· balanced (whole chain +/-30% from SPOT) ↳ CW/PW 1.4x Β· even (walls only) POSITIVE NET GEX (+$5.8M) 🟒 β†’ stabilizing ↳ Dealer's hedge Ξ” is 10 BTC/$100 Β· sold into rallies, bought into dips πŸƒ Flip $81,883 πŸ‚ CW $78,000 ($4.7M) 🐻 PW $75,000 ($3.5M) β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” Front of Tape (expiry Sep 04): CW $82,000 Β· PW $77,000 Β· settles in 20h πŸ“‰ DVOL floor $75,798 (βˆ’$2,117)
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
I just had a really negative thought escape me.. that if a government ever called my bitcoin to give me USDT, for example, my wife would probably force my hand if she knew I was objecting it…
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
Dealer is long puts in a NEG gamma regime -- Unless that changes price will 🧲 to the put wall into expiry. image The 2-hr bearish πŸ¦‹ off the top looks to be a full move. Time will tell. #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
ATTENTION: The US BID has LEFT the buildingggg πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Coinbase Premium Current: βˆ’$51.05 (βˆ’0.0658%) 24h avg: βˆ’$37.26 (βˆ’0.0479%) 3d avg: βˆ’$21.08 (βˆ’0.0270%) 7d percentile: 1st 180d percentile: 48th Zone: πŸ”΄ Mild US sell pressure Trend: Falling (βˆ’$25.98 vs 24h ago)
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
Here is the way I track realized vol expanding and contracting to coincide and move the DVOL -- image #TradingNostr
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
Good morning -- I am currently still in position on this confirmed bullish 2-hr Gartley harmonic and watching the GEX levels as usual. image There is the same harmonic (Gartley) formed on the 4-hour chart but it is not proven yet. Which is how I base my statistical side. image #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
I'm back hashing, baby! Nothing better then raw, hawt, electrical smell in the garage.
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askHVtobidIV 1 week ago
Why the hell do i go back to X over and over again... #nostr
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askHVtobidIV 2 weeks ago
Good Morning -- Here is my volatility landscape entering the week with the current (bearish) πŸ¦‹still searching for it's T2. Remember we are also ending the month (August) and are in the 2nd deviation still. I have the market makers walls into next week's expiry up on both charts for confluence comparison. Always fun. I See is weekly IV at the call wall and the Butterfly T2 at the put wall. with a T2 success rate around 42% -- lot's of other harmonics are forming but, not confirmed. I wish everyone the best and β‚Ώlessed entry into fall -- Cheers. #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 2 weeks ago
Bearish Cypher confirming on the 1-hr chart #TradingNostr $Bitcoin image
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askHVtobidIV 2 weeks ago
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Coinbase Premium Current: βˆ’$0.43 (βˆ’0.0005%) 24h avg: βˆ’$8.93 (βˆ’0.0113%) 3d avg: βˆ’$9.29 (βˆ’0.0117%) 7d percentile: 86th 180d percentile: 78th Zone: βšͺ Neutral Trend: Falling (βˆ’$5.31 vs 24h ago) Streak: 1 bar negative (4h) #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 2 weeks ago
πŸ’Έ BTC Funding β€” Aug 27 🟒 Hyperliquid +0.0013% /1h 🟒 OKX +0.0048% 🟒 Binance +0.0043% 🟒 Bybit +0.0024% 🟒 Bitget +0.0022% βšͺ dYdX +0.0000% /1h πŸ”΄ Gate βˆ’0.0045% πŸ”΄ HTX βˆ’0.0080% πŸ”΄β€ΌοΈ Zone: EXTREME HIGH Β· 15 bars Β· +0.6 bp Β· 66th pct Taking a look at the funding to see retail weighted sides -- #TradingNostry #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 2 weeks ago
πŸ’° ETF Bid β€” $BTC Β· Aug 27 ETF Bid currently trending green.. 🟒 Yesterday: +$5.8M Β· BTC $78,506 --> 7d net: +$2.28B --> streak: 8 green days --> tape: 🟒🟒🟒🟒🟒🟒🟒 (old β†’ new) Leaders (yesterday): πŸ”΄ GBTC βˆ’$50.4M 🟒 BTC +$46.8M 🟒 BITB +$6.0M 🟒 MSBT +$3.4M #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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askHVtobidIV 2 weeks ago
Good Morning -- The (bearish) πŸ¦‹ I was tracking has landed over night on the one hour with a gamma punch through the 80k call wall, all during the Asia cash session. TPs displayed on the chart with potential harmonics below in purple boxes -- showing is only approximate until completed harmonic confirmation. image #TradingNostr #Bitcoin
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