Windows is entirely unusable, how do you people do this every day
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Farmer Jim
npub1n6fh...wm6p
Galaxy-brained middle-aged software wiz. Along for the ride
Notes (11)
To crack a single key using Shor's algorithm would require about $30k in energy with tens of megawatts continuously needed using estimates extrapolated from today's capacity. It would take 30 minutes to 8 hours with around 2500 logical qubits (estimated requirement to crack a key).
Those 2,500 logical qubits require approximately 13 million physical qubits due to error correction overhead. Current quantum computers only have 100-2,000 physical qubits. We're roughly four orders of magnitude away from this capability.
The most powerful quantum computers today have a bit more than 1000 physical qubits, and about 12 logical qubits. Physical qubits are doubling every 9-12 months.
Major companies project:
IBM: 100,000 physical qubits by 2033; 2,000 qubits by 2029
Google: Fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029
Quantinuum: Fault-tolerant system with 1,000+ logical qubits by 2030
Fujitsu/RIKEN: 1,000 physical qubits by 2026
So they think we're still a half decade from being two+ orders of magnitude away from BTC being at risk. If it moves quickly we might see this around 2031-2034. A more pessimistic growth ramp puts it closer to 2040. Whoever does it will need to invest a ton of money into the computers and energy needed to crack each individual key. There will only be a few computers in the world able to do this initially and it's unlikely they'd use those resources to crack Bitcoin keys.
Why are people suddenly complaining about this now?
The lower it goes the more righteous I feel.
Just one of those days
Was the liquidation cascade yesterday a bullet to the heart or a starting gun? Seems like these events are usually one or the other. The black swan-ish nature of this one reminds me of the covid drop. Different part of the cycle especially since we're knocking on ATHs and historical cycles rolled over around this point but I am hopeful, or maybe just at peace with my portfolio (despite the drawdowns in my degen account). The barbell strategy works...
Not much value left in the Twitter feed. Very little. More danger in frying your brain on For You than value from signal, honestly. It's all posturing and bots.
My boss's boss's boss is the wealthiest person in the world. So I got that going for me
I found a DCA strategy that accumulated 22% more BTC over straight DCA when back tested on the last 3 years (40% over 12 years). Intriguing
US buying Intel gives US incentive to protect Intel against potential competitors, even those that emerge from the US. US incentive is then to prioritize a dinosaur
I have reached a point where I feel I have the software infrastructure foundation chops to build out the software core of most businesses at this point. Like a great foundation for any tech company to build on, I have all my own IP from my own infrastructure setup (using lots of industry standard tools), I've started building my own hobby apps, and I can do it well, faster than ever with AI, and have it all be traceable and auto-scaling. At some point AI is going to pump out apps like they're nothing and I have infrastructure that can support generation and deployment to whatever depth I want.
So tired of being pumped with propaganda and consumerist lies