Sid⚡️'s avatar
Sid⚡️
sid@nostrplebs.com
npub1j6ze...0hft
Bitcoin + Lightning⚡️ | Data Analyst
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sid 4 months ago
Bitcoin already won. Think about it — every time something big happens in the world, people check the Bitcoin price. When Russia bombed Ukraine, I checked Bitcoin. When Trump slapped tariffs on China, I checked Bitcoin. When Putin met Xi, I checked Bitcoin. Banks get hacked, countries fight, markets shake… I’m always checking Bitcoin. That’s the point. It’s already won, people just don’t fully see it yet. Same way Apple had already won back in 2010. Kids running around parents and grandparents asking for iPhones as birthday present, kids wanted the newest model to show off, developers built on the App Store first. The victory was obvious then, but the masses only really caught on years later, around 2020 or 2025. Bitcoin’s the same. The victory is already sealed now, but most people won’t realize it until the 2030s or 2040s. If you’re paying attention, it’s easy to see.
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sid 4 months ago
When Trump came in and flipped the election, the whole game changed. The administration has made its direction clear, and honestly, the future looks pretty obvious too. Over the next 7 years (maybe even the next decade or two), the old idea of spreading capital around doesn’t really make sense anymore. The real battle is around where money flows, and the ones coming out on top are those concentrating capital into digital assets, especially Bitcoin. Losers are individuals who diversify the capital.
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sid 4 months ago
If Bitcoin exists for 20 years, there will be near-universal confidence that it will be available forever, much as people believe the Internet is a permanent feature of the modern world. The year is 2030.
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sid 4 months ago
You can create something which looks cosmetically similar to Bitcoin, but you cannot replicate the settlement assurances which derive from the costliness of the ledger. It’s the Settlement Assurances, Stupid!
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sid 4 months ago
Hold bitcoin for min 3 years. image
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sid 4 months ago
If you keep pushing your friends to buy Bitcoin, they’ll end up buying at the top. And when they do, it’ll be on you.
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sid 4 months ago
Eventually, everyone will come around to buying Bitcoin. And for most people, it won’t be because they studied the fundamentals it’ll be because someone they know got rich from it. That’s how it’s always worked. People buy real estate because they know someone who struck it big in real estate. The stories spread, the content circulates, and the narrative builds: “It went up, they got rich.” That’s enough to draw people in. The same will happen with Bitcoin. At the end of the day, most people won’t ask deep questions. They’ll buy it simply because it made someone they know wealthy - just like they did with real estate.
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sid 4 months ago
My thesis for the next decade: All 8 billion people will be searching for a better savings account. Bitcoin is that account - the best savings vehicle on the planet.
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sid 4 months ago
I’ve noticed something interesting happening in the housing market. Many sellers are struggling to find buyers at today’s prices. Even when they lower prices slightly, demand is still weak. Yet they hold onto their homes, convinced that prices will rebound the way they did between 2020 and 2022. But that was a one-time event. That kind of explosive housing market isn’t coming back. At the same time, I see a similar mindset around Bitcoin. People sitting on the sidelines think they “missed it” and are waiting for another crash like the drop from $69K to $16K in 2022. That’s also not going to happen again. If you truly understand the fiscal situation, the rise of fiscal dominance in the U.S. and globally, and the nature of a debt-based monetary system, then you realize why.
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sid 4 months ago
Money is a tool for reducing uncertainty about the future. When that tool is undermined, social anxiety rises. Restoring sound money gives us back the ability to imagine and act on the possibilities of the future. Because at its core, money is about how we think about the future.
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sid 4 months ago
I think many sophisticated millennials today are looking into the future and realizing their skills are quickly becoming obsolete. Career progression is under serious question, as AI has disrupted traditional paths entirely. Unless you’re exceptionally skilled or able to pivot into new opportunities especially in AI - it’s becoming harder to see a clear role for yourself. For those who’ve already spent 10–15 years honing skills that are now being eroded by AI, their income is uncertain. That’s why many are shifting focus from the income side of their balance sheet to the assets and liabilities side. With little foresight or confidence in their earning power, they’re instead asking: How can I put my capital to work? How do I take calculated risks to generate higher returns on assets? This shift is already happening. The smartest millennials are rebalancing their lives around assets instead of income, while the rest will catch on later.
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sid 4 months ago
Bitcoin is a diversified index of the entire world economy as it comes to its senses.
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sid 4 months ago
The problem with diversification is diversification is selling the winner to buy the losers and the second problem with diversification is you’re not really diversified at all because everything you own is probably correlated to one currency which is collapsing.
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sid 4 months ago
I think in10 years, if the global order shift leads to a weaker dollar and high money supply growth, Bitcoin’s price in dollars could be orders of magnitude higher than today. Even in real terms (adjusted for inflation), I expect Bitcoin to significantly appreciate given wider adoption and its built-in scarcity.
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sid 4 months ago
Bitcoin is pure, leaderless money.
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sid 4 months ago
Bitcoin is in a long-term, mathematically grounded uptrend with a stable ~5.8–6 power law exponent.
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sid 4 months ago
Bitcoin isn’t a hedge but a parallel, non-debasable monetary system.
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sid 4 months ago
My prediction is that Tesla could stop selling most cars to individuals and instead operate high-margin robo-taxi fleets in <6 years.
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sid 4 months ago
The value of your labor in Bitcoin terms is trending toward zero. Today, your annual salary might equal 0.3–0.5 BTC. Eventually, it could be 0.01 BTC or less for a year’s work. Owning just 0.1 BTC could one day buy you a decade or more of time and financial freedom.
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sid 4 months ago
Bitcoin turns individual success into collective upside. When one Bitcoiner prospers and saves more in Bitcoin, that value appreciation benefits every holder. It’s the first asset where you truly own a stake in the world’s success.