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marksn
marksn@primal.net
npub133jh...zcc2
i play tennis🎾 | bitcoin ♾️ | lightning ⚡️ node: tennisnbtc @ amboss.space | einundzwanzig 🧡 | nodestrich 🟣 | blitz ⚡️ dinge https://tunnelsats.com?ref=REF-QOGD8U
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marksn 1 month ago
workout with the crew ✅, weekend, drinks, perfect weather. 🧡 cheers to life.
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marksn 1 month ago
@Gigi hat gestern seinen "keine Twitter-Argumente mehr"-Vorsatz gebrochen. Der Auslöser: NIP-2332 — on-chain zaps auf Nostr. Vitor und Alex (Amethyst/Soapbox) haben das Ding gebaut, es funktioniert, und ihre Haltung ist "warum also nicht als Option anbieten?" Gigis Antwort: Careful, Icarus. Er ist nicht gegen den Spirit. Jeder npub sollte einfach Geld senden und empfangen können. Aber die konkrete Implementierung ist eine tickende Bombe. Warum? Der Vorschlag leitet eine statische Bitcoin-Adresse vom npub ab. Das kettet deine Online-Identität unauflöslich an On-Chain-Aktivität. Alles was du je mit diesen Sats machst — für immer sichtbar. Kein "Wallet verloren, keine Ahnung". Plausible deniability: komplett tot. Und das ist nicht abstrakt. Gigi listet reale Fälle der letzten 18 Monate: Ein 38-jähriger Chinese, gefesselt und vergraben. Ein Ehepaar mit Tochter, stundenlang als Geiseln gehalten. Leute die zu Hause überfallen und zu Bitcoin-Transfers gezwungen wurden. Jedes Mal wussten die Angreifer: diese Person hat Bitcoin. Mit On-Chain-Zaps lieferst du diesen Beweis kryptografisch signiert gleich mit. Sein Punkt ist nicht dass Zaps privat sein müssen — die sind öffentlich, ok. Aber Lightning verhindert dass man deine gesamte Finanzhistorie und Zukunft durchleuchten kann. On-Chain invited dazu ein. Und der vielleicht wichtigste Punkt: Address Reuse schadet nicht nur dir. Es verkleinert die Anonymitätsmenge für ALLE im Netzwerk. Du machst Bitcoin für jeden unsicherer. Der Jurassic-Park-Moment: Nur weil wirs bauen können, heißt das nicht dass wirs sollten. Imho Gigi hat recht. Zaps gehören nicht auf die Chain. Wir sollten bei Lightning bleiben!
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marksn 1 month ago
Doing nothing is the hardest work. Bitcoin down 38% from ATH. SPY up 4.4% in 30 days. Gold holding strong. Your friends are telling you about their wins. Every fiber in your body is screaming "do something" — and that's exactly when most people blow it. This is where stoicism meets capital markets. Not rotating into the hot trade. Not chasing the trend. Sitting still while other assets outperform, feeling the doubt creep in — and not selling a single sat. Bitcoin is the only asset on earth with an absolute supply cap. 21 million. No CEO printing more. No central bank diluting you. No management team making dumb acquisitions. Once you internalize that, 30-day equity returns stop mattering. You're not measuring yourself against a quarter. You're operating on a fundamentally different time preference. Fear & Greed at 27. Pure fear. Beautiful. The best entries always feel terrible. The best decisions are the ones where you do nothing while everyone else panics or chases. Hold. Wait. Stay seated.
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marksn 1 month ago
ZCASH +960%. BITCOIN -34%. WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON. Eight months. One chart. Two completely decoupled worlds. The raw numbers: • ZEC: $52.85 → $560.09 (+960%) • BTC: $115,971 → $76,952 (-34%) • Ratio: 46 sats → 728 sats I reconstructed every single significant day of this move, source by source. This isn't random. This is a playbook. THE CATALYSTS — EVERYTHING THAT MATTERS: Oct 2, 2025: Naval Ravikant calls Zcash "Bitcoin Insurance" + THORSwap integration. ZEC does +62% in ONE day. The spark. (Naval's exact quote, confirmed by 6+ publications: "Bitcoin is insurance against fiat. Zcash is insurance against Bitcoin.") Nov 2025: Cypherpunk Holdings launch. Winklevoss Twins copy MicroStrategy's treasury playbook 1:1 for ZEC. 314,185 ZEC accumulated. (Official Q1 press release, Chainwire May 15, 2026) Nov 2025: BTC crashes -46% from ATH. US Treasury Secretary Bessent testifies to Congress: "The US will not bail out Bitcoin." 60,000 BTC panic-sold in one day. ETF outflows: $3.79 billion. Jan 2026: SEC closes 2-year Zcash investigation — no enforcement. The only privacy coin with a regulatory green light. March 2026: ZODL raises $25M from Paradigm, a16z, Winklevoss Capital, Coinbase Ventures. The same VCs who funded Bitcoin infrastructure. April 2026: Grayscale buys $46M ZEC. Files ETF conversion (ticker ZCSH). Same Barry Silbert, same playbook as the BTC ETF. May 2026: Multicoin Capital ($2.7B hedge fund) discloses "significant position." Short squeeze: $46.7M in liquidations. ZEC hits $543. May 2026: Forbes cover story. "Snowden co-created Zcash in 2016" — factually exaggerated (he participated in the Trusted Setup Ceremony, wasn't a developer), but the narrative timing is perfect. THE CORRELATION TELLS THE WHOLE STORY: Phase 1 (Sep-Oct): r = -0.33 — ZEC is ANTI-BTC. Privacy narrative fully decouples. Phase 2 (Nov-Jan): r = +0.18 — neutral transition. Phase 3 (Feb-May): r = +0.69 — ZEC IS NOW BITCOIN BETA. It reached mainstream status and now swings WITH BTC. The narrative shift succeeded. Same players. Same playbook. Corporate Treasury → ETF Filing → VC Funding → Media Narrative. The BTC exits (BlackRock -2,221 BTC, ETF outflows $1B/week) are funding the ZEC entries. HERE'S THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM: Why do privacy coins even exist? Because Bitcoin and Lightning don't offer perfect privacy yet. Transparent blockchain. Analyzable payment graphs. KYC on-ramps. Zcash lives in THIS gap. BLINDED PATHS ARE THE REAL SOLUTION. Blinded Paths in Lightning obscure sender, recipient, AND routing path. The recipient provides an encrypted path, the sender routes blindly over it — no one in the network knows who ultimately receives the funds. This is privacy on Bitcoin layer 2, WITHOUT needing a new coin. If Lightning delivers real privacy — and Blinded Paths are how we get there — Zcash loses its unique selling point. No new coin. No new treasury playbook. No "Bitcoin Insurance" narrative. Just Bitcoin with privacy. That's the move. Don't fight Zcash — STRIP the narrative away from it. Push Blinded Paths in Lightning forward. Now. #Bitcoin #Lightning #Privacy
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marksn 1 month ago
GM friends! What a wonderful day 🧡
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marksn 1 month ago
In my opinion, one of the biggest risks associated with Strc and Sata is that shitcoins are building their yield products on top of them and rug-pulling newcomers, which could lead to a significant loss of trust among these companies' preferred stockholders. Especially if these shitcoins are leveraged, unvetted, and unsecured.
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marksn 1 month ago
While banks and senators discussing stable coin yields, basically the first "bitcoin stablecoin" paying 13 percent yield daily. ⚠️ 👇 Strive announced SATA will become the first U.S.-listed security to pay daily dividends starting June 16th while maintaining a 13% rate 🤔
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marksn 1 month ago
Technical: - $82k was the local top on January 17, 2025, and has acted as resistance multiple times since. Every time BTC approached it, sellers stepped in — that level is now burned into the chart. - The 50-day EMA sits around $81,800–82,200 depending on the exchange. Classic bear-market-turned-bull resistance. On-Chain / Cost Basis: - Short-term holder cost basis is around $82k–83k. These are people who bought in the last 5 months and are now at breakeven. A lot of them use this as an exit ramp — get out without a loss. - STH MVRV ratio at 1.0 — psychological trigger to dump. Orderflow / Liquidity: - Massive ask clusters stacked at $82k. Market makers load their books there because they know supply is coming. - Late shorts' liquidation levels cluster around $81,800–82,500. If BTC punches through, it cascades — which is exactly why big players defend the line with spot selling. Macro / Psychology: - Round $10k increments are always psychological barriers. $80k got taken out, so $82k is the next natural test. - We have been ranging between $78k–$88k since February. A lot of capital is waiting for a clean break before committing. Bottom line: $82k is the sweet spot where technical resistance, STH breakeven, and orderbook sell pressure all stack up. If it breaks, the path to $88k is relatively open.
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marksn 1 month ago
Saylor buying the monthly btc supply in 4 (10) days with his strc equity. (not done yet in may!!!) 👇 image
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marksn 1 month ago
Ich liebe meinen AI Agent 😅: Die Frage was Merz als Kanzler "gut" gemacht hat: 👇 Ehrliche Antwort: Aus Austrian/Bitcoin-Sicht ist die Ausbeute dünn. Wirklich dünn. Was man ihm anrechnen kann: Kein offener Angriff auf Bitcoin. Das klingt nach wenig, aber verglichen mit dem, was in der EU rumgeistert (Lagian-Diskussionen, Quellensteuer, Travel Rule-Wahnsinn), ist Schweigen manchmal Gold. Die Ampel hat zumindest noch das einjährige steuerfreie Halten eingeführt — Merz rührt da nicht dran. Kein Rückschritt ist in dieser Legislatur fast schon ein Fortschritt. Rhetorisch pro-Wirtschaft. Er redet zumindest von Entbürokratisierung und Standortpolitik, statt von Weltrettungsfantasien. Aber Reden ist nicht Handeln, und mit der SPD als Koalitionspartner wird aus "Wirtschaftswende" schnell "Wirtschaftswende light mit Sozialausgleich und Klimavorbehalt." Und dann wirds schon dünn. Wirklich dünn. Das Kernproblem bleibt: Er ist Kanzler in einem System, das auf Fiat-Expansion, Schuldenorgien und EZB-Gelddruck gebaut ist. Die strukturellen Probleme — Staatsquote über 50%, demografische Zeitbombe, EU-Bürokratiemonster — die fasst keiner an. Kann er auch nicht, ohne die Koalition zu sprengen. Sound Money? Im Euro-Währungsverbund völlig illusorisch. Egal wer Kanzler ist. Die EZB macht ihr Ding, und Berlin guckt zu. Unterm Strich: Er ist der am wenigsten schädliche Kanzler, den das CDU-SPD-System hergibt. Aber "am wenigsten schädlich" ist kein Kompliment, wenn die Messlatte im Keller liegt. Clawbot for Kanzler🧡
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marksn 1 month ago
Gresham's Law doesn't work without coercion. People love to say "bad money drives out good" as if it's some law of nature. It's not. It's a law of legal tender. Gresham's mechanism only kicks in when the state forces two forms of money to trade at the same face value, despite their real market values being different. Bimetallism was the classic case — government says 1 gold coin = 15 silver coins, market says 1:16. Everyone hoards the undervalued gold and spends the overvalued silver. Makes sense. But strip away the coercion and the whole thing flips. Thiers' Law: good money drives out bad. People aren't stupid. When they're free to choose, they pick the sounder currency every time. That's the whole Bitcoin thesis in two sentences. Nobody forces you to use it. It has no legal tender status. And yet it's steadily eating every fiat on the planet. Gresham's Law is real. It just isn't a law of money — it's a law of government intervention. Remove the intervention, remove the effect.