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deeznuts
deeznuts@crypto.im
npub13tku...llwf
Enthusiasm enthusiast. “No Amount Of Violence Will Solve A Math Problem” Excel at research, analysis and meme-lording: https://memeticresearch.group/?page=contex.st
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deeznuts 3 months ago
Interesting stuff in here # Comprehensive Analysis Title: Pyrrhic Victories - by John Robb - Global Guerrillas URL: Collected: 2025-10-19 21:44:05 +0000 Analyzed: 2025-10-22 02:44:16 +0000 ## Overall takeaway Israel's tactical victories in Gaza come at a high long-term cost, jeopardizing its security and global standing. ## Conceptual model - Tactical victories can lead to strategic failures. - Perception shapes international support and moral authority. - Long-term security relies on global neutrality and strong alliances. - Generational shifts in opinion can alter support dynamics. - Moral implications of conflict can redefine national identity. ## Next steps (optional) - Analyze the long-term implications of current strategies. - Engage in dialogue about moral responsibilities in conflict. - Monitor shifts in global public opinion on Israel. ## Short summary Israel has achieved tactical victories in Gaza but at a significant long-term cost, undermining its future security and global standing. The perception of genocide and weakened U.S. support threatens Israel's moral authority and strategic position. ## Comprehensive summary - Israel has achieved tactical victories in conflicts within Gaza and the broader regional context but at significant long-term costs. - These victories include the release of Israeli hostages, the destruction of Gaza, and the weakening of Hamas and Hezbollah's leadership. - Despite operational successes, Israel's Grand Strategy has faltered, leading to Pyrrhic victories that threaten its future security. - The concept of a Pyrrhic victory, illustrated through the historical example of King Pyrrhus, highlights the dangers of winning battles without considering strategic implications. - Israel's long-term security relies on a neutral global system, strong U.S. support, and the ability to win moral wars; the current strategy undermines these pillars. - Global sentiment has shifted against Israel, with growing perceptions of genocide and war crimes in Gaza, damaging its international standing. - The Gaza conflict has weakened the U.S.-led international order, diminishing U.S. power and moral authority. - Israel's dependency on U.S. aid is at risk, with significant divisions emerging within U.S. political support across both major parties. - Younger generations exhibit increasing negative views towards Israel, suggesting a potential future loss of support. - The war has harmed Israel's moral standing, with perceptions of genocide overshadowing the Holocaust, and the term "anti-semitism" losing its impact as a defense. - Israel's failure to adapt to the moral implications of the conflict may lead to its status as a pariah state, reflecting a broader strategic miscalculation. ## Entities - keyword: term, support, system, israel, tribe, moral, efforts, pyrrhus, victory, gaza - location: Palestine, Israel, Gaza, Iran, Romans, Albania, Italy, Roman, Rome, Israeli - organization: DEI, COVID, Democratic Party, Hamas, Worldwide, Hezbollah, Hannibal - person: King Pyrrhus, Trump, Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, Rome, Pyrrhus, Corfu, Alexander, Epirus ## Related content 1. MoA - Trump Decouples U.S. Middle East Policy From Israel's Interests Why: similarity 0.94 Summary: Here is a summary of the document in bullet points: • Trump has decoupled U.S. Middle East policy from Israel's interests by making three major policy shifts without Israeli consultation: initiating talks with Iran instead of bombing nuclear installations as Netanyahu requested, reaching a ceasefire agreement with Yemen's Ansarullah without informing Israeli officials, and dropping the requirement for Saudi normalization with Israel as a condition for U.S.-Saudi civil nuclear cooperation talks • Netanyahu was reportedly blindsided by these moves, particularly the Iran negotiations announcement which came less than 24 hours before a joint White House press event, and Israeli officials admitted they knew nothing about Trump's Yemen decision • Trump has cut off direct contact with Netanyahu after associates told him the Israeli PM was manipulating him, with an Israeli official noting "There is nothing Trump hates more than being portrayed as a fool or someone being played" • Trump fired National Security Advisor Mike Waltz for having too intensive contacts with Netanyahu's office and called off strikes against Iran that Israel and Waltz had been planning • Israeli Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer's recent White House meetings were described as having an arrogant tone, with Trump reportedly telling closed-door associates he would make progress on Middle East objectives without waiting for Israel • The author expresses optimism this represents real policy change rather than political theater, noting Trump may announce a Gaza deal with minimal Israeli input by week's end URL: 2. It was never a Gaza 'war'. The 'ceasefire' is a lie cut from the same cloth Why: similarity 0.93 Summary: - • The narrative surrounding Gaza is mischaracterized as a "war," with terminology like "ceasefire" serving to obscure the reality of ongoing violence and oppression. - • The situation in Gaza has not reached a military stalemate, making the concept of a ceasefire irrelevant; it is instead a façade for Israel's continued aggression. - • Over the past two years, a largely civilian population has faced indiscriminate violence, starvation, and systematic destruction, indicative of genocide rather than war. - • Reports indicate that Israel has consistently violated ceasefire agreements, continuing to kill Palestinian civilians and destroy infrastructure even during pauses in violence. - • Major global organizations, including the UN and human rights groups, classify Israel's actions in Gaza as genocide, countering the misleading "war" narrative promoted by Israel and Western media. - • The "ceasefire" does not address the ongoing occupation or apartheid conditions faced by Palestinians, which are the root causes of the conflict. - • The international community's failure to hold Israel accountable for its actions perpetuates the cycle of violence and oppression against Palestinians. - • The current ceasefire is characterized as a temporary measure designed to allow Israel to regroup and continue its policies of violence, rather than a genuine step towards peace. - • Palestinians face a dilemma: resistance leads to violence, while compliance results in dehumanization and further oppression under Israeli rule. - • The hostage exchange agreement between Hamas and Israel is framed as a political maneuver that exploits the suffering of both sides while failing to resolve the underlying issues. - • The media coverage tends to focus on Israeli narratives while neglecting the plight of Palestinians, exacerbating the asymmetry in public perception and accountability. URL: 3. 'Worst Ally': Army Colonel Removed From US Joint Chiefs Staff Over Israel Criticism | ZeroHedge Why: similarity 0.93 Summary: • **Army Colonel Removed from Pentagon Position**: Colonel Nathan McCormack was removed from his role as Joint Chiefs of Staff's Levant and Egypt branch leader after Jewish News Syndicate (JNS) publicized his Israel-critical social media posts • **Key Critical Comments About Israel** (2023-2025): - Called Netanyahu and associates "judeosupremacist cronies" seeking to prolong conflict for political gain - Referred to Israel as "our worst 'ally'" providing "literally nothing" to the US partnership - Accused Israel of wanting to ethnically cleanse Palestinians from Gaza - Criticized US for enabling "Israel's bad behavior" and not being an honest broker - Questioned if the US might be "Israel's proxy" - Described Israel's military responses as disproportionately targeting Palestinian civilians • **Pentagon's Response**: Officials immediately reassigned McCormack to the Army pending investigation, stating his views don't reflect DOD positions and emphasizing the importance of global alliances • **Background and Context**: - McCormack posted semi-anonymously on X under handle "@mick_or_mack" with disclaimers - JNS report was influenced by pro-Israel entities including Foundation for Defense of Democracies - McCormack's military service began shortly after 2003 Iraq invasion based on false WMD claims - Article notes Israel's historical influence at Pentagon and Netanyahu's false assurances about Iraq URL: 4. Trump is shaking up US-Israel relations in a way no one has in decades Why: similarity 0.93 Summary: • Trump's approach to Israel represents a stark reversal from Biden's "bear hug" strategy - while Biden publicly supported Israel but privately tried to restrain its Gaza actions, Trump shows little interest in restraining Israel on Gaza but also minimal interest in supporting Israel on broader regional issues • Trump's Middle East tour pointedly excludes Israel, signaling a shift where he pursues regional plans with or without Israeli partnership, as one adviser noted: "You're welcome to be a partner, but if you prefer to be ignored, go ahead" • Despite Netanyahu's initial optimism about Trump's return and his first-term pro-Israel actions (Jerusalem embassy move, Golan Heights recognition, Abraham Accords), the second term has brought unexpected surprises • Trump has conducted direct negotiations with Israel's adversaries without Israeli coordination: talks with Hamas through Arab American intermediaries, surprise nuclear negotiations with Iran announced during Netanyahu's visit, and a deal with Houthis that ignored Israeli security concerns • The administration ended US bombing of Houthis after receiving assurances they wouldn't attack American ships, making no mention of continued attacks on Israel - effectively telling Israel to handle the threat alone • Trump's frustration with Netanyahu shows in comments about US aid ("We give Israel $4 billion a year") and the influence of Republican "restrainers" who question whether US and Israeli interests align • The changing Middle East landscape, with Gulf states pursuing independent paths and lucrative deals, has shifted Trump's focus away from traditional allies like Israel, Egypt, and Jordan URL: https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-surprising-approach-israel-100000037.html?guccounter=1 5. ‘War Has Consequences’ – The Debrief Why: similarity 0.92 Summary: • The IDF is experiencing a surge in soldier suicides, with at least 17 in 2025 (7 in July alone), matching 2023's total, as an official acknowledges "war has consequences" • American War on Terror parallels show combat trauma's deadly aftermath - over 30,000 veteran suicides since 9/11 compared to 7,000 combat deaths • Leaders knowingly pursue wars despite understanding the severe mental health consequences for soldiers, while making false promises about creating a better world • Washington is expanding military presence on the Korean Peninsula with a new squadron, as North Korea refuses talks unless the US drops denuclearization demands • Hundreds of former Israeli officials, including ex-Mossad and Shin Bet heads, urged Trump to pressure Netanyahu to end Gaza operations, stating Hamas no longer threatens Israel • Senators introduced a $50 billion military aid bill for Ukraine to fund the proxy war for two more years • Netanyahu believes no deal with Hamas is possible and seeks military victory, with Israel and the US rejecting phased agreements and demanding all hostages be released at once • Various podcast episodes discussed Gaza's humanitarian crisis, Israeli tactics at food distribution centers, and the broader implications of ongoing conflicts • Articles examined socialism's influence on Indian constitutionalism and America's debt crisis extending far beyond the official $37 trillion figure URL: 6. The forever wars may be over, but Trump is no peacemaker, by Jonathan Cook - The Unz Review Why: similarity 0.92 Summary: • Trump's administration sends contradictory signals on Gaza policy: threatening mass expulsion and death of Palestinians while simultaneously engaging in direct talks with Hamas through special envoy Adam Boehler • Despite threatening genocide against Gaza's population and expediting $4bn in weapons to Israel, Trump's envoy met secretly with Hamas (breaking 30 years of US policy) and called them "pretty nice guys" • Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff pushes for a ceasefire deal requiring Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and Hamas demilitarization, with Trump later stating "Nobody will expel the Palestinians" • Trump signs executive order targeting visa holders protesting Israel's actions, leading to arrests of student protest leaders and threats to revoke federal funding from universities that don't suppress anti-Israel demonstrations • Columbia University and 60 other institutions face funding cuts for "inaction" against supposed harassment of Jewish students, despite Columbia having called police to crush protests • The administration's contradictory messaging extends to Ukraine policy: talking directly to Russia while threatening sanctions, shutting door on NATO membership while humiliating Ukraine's president • Author argues this "psychological overwhelming" strategy of inconsistent policies and "baffling rhetoric" aims to disorient opposition and normalize absurdity while consolidating US control • Western media criticized for cheerleading war industries, condemning Biden for ending Afghanistan war while staying silent on Gaza genocide, and opposing Trump's peace overtures to Russia URL: 7. Trump starts Gulf visit in Saudi Arabia, focus on mega economic deals | Reuters Why: similarity 0.92 Summary: • **Trump's Gulf Tour Overview**: President Donald Trump began a three-country tour of wealthy Gulf states on May 13, 2025, starting with Saudi Arabia, followed by planned visits to Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, notably excluding Israel from his itinerary • **Economic Focus**: The trip prioritizes securing mega investment deals over addressing Middle East security issues, with Trump seeking trillions of dollars in investments from Gulf oil producers and mentioning a potential $600 billion to $1 trillion investment pledge from Saudi Arabia • **High-Profile Business Delegation**: Trump traveled with prominent U.S. business leaders including Elon Musk (Tesla/SpaceX), Larry Fink (BlackRock CEO), Stephen Schwarzman (Blackstone CEO), Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO), and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent • **Saudi-U.S. Relations**: Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman personally greeted Trump, with both leaders emphasizing their strong relationship; MbS has had smoother ties with Trump than with predecessor Joe Biden • **Investment Forum Details**: The Saudi-US Investment Forum highlighted expanding business opportunities beyond energy, including frontier technologies and Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 reform program featuring projects like NEOM • **Regional Security Considerations**: Trump is expected to offer Saudi Arabia an arms package worth over $100 billion, while the weakening of Iran through recent conflicts has given Trump more leverage in the region • **Diplomatic Developments**: Trump may visit Turkey to discuss Ukraine, is pushing for Gaza aid mechanisms, and his envoy expects progress on expanding Arab-Israeli normalization accords, though Netanyahu URL: https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-starts-gulf-visit-seeking-big-economic-deals-2025-05-13/ ## Pointed questions for discussion - How can Israel recalibrate its strategy to regain moral authority? - What role does public perception play in international relations? - How might generational changes in opinion affect future U.S.-Israel relations? ## Sentiment Score: -0.70 ## Provider OpenRouter / openai/gpt-4o-mini Shared via
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deeznuts 3 months ago
My new BTC miner is keeping the garage warm. Very warm. 8 inch air hose ordered!!