El patrón oro fracasó porque era demasiado rígido para adaptarse a las necesidades de economías modernas, exacerbaba crisis económicas y dependía de una cooperación internacional que no siempre existía. Su colapso era necesario lo crean o no.
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Israel attacks Iran. Oil prices jump 5% while S&P futures fall 1.5%. In response, investors seeking a safe haven buy gold, sending its price up 0.85%. Meanwhile, investors dump Bitcoin, pushing its price down 2%. How can anyone consider Bitcoin to be a digital version of gold?
In response to Israel launching an airstrike against Iran, gold is up another $24 in early Asian trading, back above $3,410. Bitcoin, on the other hand, just tanked below $104.5K. Priced in gold, Bitcoin is now more than 15% below its Nov. 2021 peak. Bitcoin's failure to rise against gold—despite over 3.5 years of hype, including a dozen ETFs, Super Bowl ads, El Salvador, NFTs, tens of billions of leveraged buying by $MSTR, other Bitcoin treasury companies, the election of a Bitcoin president, and the establishment of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve—is strong evidence that the bubble has peaked. A major top has been formed, as Bitcoin has been distributed from strong to weak hands. The whales have been cashing out to latecomers who will be left holding the bag.