Bent Measuring Stick
Cell Phone Plan (1995 → 2025)
(If you remember when having a mobile phone meant watching the minutes.)
1995 — Typical cellular plan ≈ $40–$50/month
Limited minutes, long-distance charges, and overage fees were common.
2025 — Typical smartphone plan ≈ $70–$90/month
Unlimited calling, messaging, and high-speed data are now standard.
Income ≈ 2×
Cell service ≈ ~1.5–2×
The technology improved dramatically. A modern smartphone carries more computing power than entire offices did in the 1990s.
Technology tends to push costs toward zero—but it also turns luxuries into infrastructure. As mobile connectivity became essential for work, communication, banking, navigation, and daily life, participation expanded from a niche group to nearly everyone, and the monthly bill quietly moved from novelty to baseline.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
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Bent Measuring Stick
Two-Income Household Baseline (1995 → 2025)
(If you remember when a second income felt like progress, not structural support.)
1995 — In many middle-class households, one primary income could cover housing and the basics, with a second income improving savings, flexibility, or margin.
2025 — In many regions, two incomes now function less as optional progress and more as the price of holding the same baseline.
One income = often enough
Two incomes = often required
What changed wasn’t the value of work, but the amount of it required to hold ordinary ground. The second paycheck used to widen the margin; now it often protects it, and before long the schedule simply filled.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
Airline Bag Fees (1995 → 2025)
(If you remember when checking a suitcase was just part of flying.)
1995 — Checked bags on major airlines ≈ included in the ticket price
2025 — First checked bag ≈ $30–$40
Second bag ≈ $40–$50
Base airfare ≈ 2×
Bag fees ≈ new category
Flying itself didn’t disappear, but the threshold of what counts as a “normal” ticket quietly shifted—what used to be included became an add-on, and somewhere along the way the baseline moved.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
Commute Time (1995 → 2025)
(If you remember when “living near work” felt like the normal plan.)
1995 — Average U.S. commute ≈ 22 minutes
2025 — Average commute ≈ 27–28 minutes
Minutes ≈ 1.25×
Working life ≈ ≈ 2,000 days of commuting
Five extra minutes doesn’t sound like much. But over a career it adds up to hundreds of additional hours spent between home and work.
As housing affordability shifted and job centers concentrated, many households moved farther from where they work. The distance didn’t change overnight. But the time between them quietly drifted outward.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
Restaurant Meal (1995 → 2025)
(If you remember when grabbing dinner out was the easy option, not the special one.)
1995 — Typical casual meal ≈ $7–$9
2025 — Similar meal ≈ $18–$22
Income ≈ 2×
Restaurant meal ≈ 2.5–3×
The plate didn’t get three times bigger. But somewhere along the way, a simple dinner out drifted from routine to something you pause and consider first. Small shifts compound until the ordinary becomes expensive.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
PRINCIPLES & PROOF
The Stories Societies Tell Themselves — Week 003
“Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.”
— George Orwell, 1984 (1949)
When George Orwell wrote 1984 in the late 1940s, Europe was emerging from one of the most destructive conflicts in human history. The first half of the twentieth century had revealed something unsettling about modern societies: information itself had become a strategic instrument.
Wars were fought with armies and machines, but they were also fought with stories.
Governments broadcast victories and minimized failures. Newspapers and radio shaped public understanding of events even while those events were still unfolding. In wartime, morale could prove as decisive as machinery or manpower, and leaders understood that the way a story was told could influence how a nation endured hardship.
Orwell’s observation was not simply a warning about authoritarian regimes. It reflected something deeper about human societies. Narratives do not merely describe events; they shape how those events are remembered and interpreted.
History rarely arrives without interpretation.
Long before the age of modern media, rulers and institutions recognized the quiet influence of narrative. After consolidating power in Rome, the emperor Augustus famously declared that he had restored the Roman Republic. In practice, Rome had shifted toward imperial rule under a single authority. Yet the language of restoration preserved a sense of continuity during a profound political transformation.
The narrative did not deny change. It reframed it.
Across centuries similar patterns have appeared in very different domains. Before major financial disruptions, prevailing explanations often emphasize stability and resilience. Systems appear well designed, risks seem manageable, and confidence becomes the dominant story through which the system understands itself.
Only later, with the benefit of hindsight, does it become easier to see how fragile those arrangements may have been.
None of this requires deliberate manipulation. Narratives often arise naturally wherever institutions, incentives, and uncertainty intersect. Human beings seek coherence, and when events become complicated, explanations form that make the world appear more orderly than it often is.
The stories societies tell about the present frequently reflect not only reality, but the incentives surrounding it.
I have watched this dynamic unfold inside large organizations. When a difficult situation emerges, there is often a quiet temptation to soften the description—not out of deception, but out of hope. Leaders want reassurance. Customers want confidence. Teams want time to resolve a problem before it grows larger.
Language becomes careful. Framing becomes optimistic.
At first this can even serve a purpose, maintaining stability while solutions are pursued. But when the narrative begins to drift too far from underlying conditions, something subtle changes. Decisions gradually begin to follow the story rather than the reality.
The first version of the story explains the problem. The later versions protect the story.
History suggests that societies are not immune to this same tendency. Institutions rarely set out to rewrite events, yet explanations gradually adjust as circumstances and incentives evolve. Over time the revised narrative becomes familiar, and familiarity begins to feel like truth.
Orwell understood how powerful this dynamic could become when combined with modern communication systems. The twentieth century introduced technologies capable of broadcasting a narrative across entire nations. The twenty-first century has multiplied that speed many times over. Information now travels instantly across continents, and interpretations often form before events themselves have fully settled into history.
The tools have changed dramatically, but the underlying human instincts have not.
This tension between narrative and record helps explain why systems built around transparent rules sometimes attract attention during periods of institutional uncertainty. When interpretation begins to shape the story itself, societies periodically search for mechanisms that anchor certain facts more firmly in place.
Throughout history, moments of uncertainty have often produced renewed interest in records that cannot easily be rewritten.
Bitcoin represents one modern example of that impulse. Its design centers on a public ledger in which each new block of transactions settles the previous history more firmly into the chain, strengthening its permanence as time passes. Transactions recorded within the system remain visible and verifiable to anyone who chooses to examine them. The ledger does not adjust itself to interpretation; it simply preserves what occurred.
In that sense, Bitcoin represents something historically unusual in the realm of money. Where many systems rely on institutional authority to interpret or revise monetary history, this one makes the record itself resistant to alteration.
Whether such designs ultimately endure will be determined only with time. Yet the instinct behind them reflects a familiar historical lesson: when narratives influence institutions, systems that preserve an independent record inevitably attract interest.
They place at least part of the past beyond the reach of the story.
⸻
The Calibration
Seen through the longer lens of history, Orwell’s observation becomes less dramatic and more familiar. Societies rarely encounter events without interpretation. Stories gather around events almost as naturally as shadows around objects.
Modern communication has accelerated the speed with which these stories spread, but it has not altered the human instinct to frame events through narrative. Each generation inherits explanations that feel obvious in the moment, only to discover later that those explanations captured only part of the truth.
The story often sounds convincing while it is being told.
History usually writes a quieter version afterward.
— Principles & Proof
Bent Measuring Stick — Sunday Golden Calibration
Average New Pickup Truck (1995 → 2025)
(If you remember when a pickup truck was a work tool, not a financing strategy.)
1995 — Average pickup price ≈ $19,000
Gold ≈ $384/oz
Truck ≈ 49 oz of gold
2025 — Average pickup ≈ $60,000
Gold ≈ $3,400/oz
Truck ≈ 18 oz of gold
Dollar price ≈ 3×
Gold-denominated price ≈ 0.36×
Measured in dollars, trucks look dramatically more expensive. Measured in gold, the comparison shifts. The truck changed. The measuring stick changed too. Calibration doesn’t answer everything — but it reminds us how much the denominator shapes the story.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when going to the movies felt like an easy Friday night decision.)
Movie Night Cost (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Average movie ticket ≈ $4–$5
Popcorn & drink ≈ $4–$5
A typical movie night for two ≈ $15–$20
2025 — Average ticket ≈ $11–$13
Popcorn & drink ≈ $12–$15
A similar night out for two ≈ $45–$55
Income ≈ 2×
Movie night ≈ 3×
The theater got nicer. The screens got bigger. But the casual decision to “just go see a movie” slowly became something you think about first. Somewhere along the way, a simple night at the movies drifted closer to the cost of dinner. And if you grew up with it, you might remember when that felt more like a scene from Back to the Future than a normal Friday.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when “cost of living” meant rent and groceries.)
Core Household Expenses vs Income (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Housing, healthcare, food, and transportation typically consumed about 50–55% of median household income.
2025 — The same core categories often absorb 65–75% of median household income, depending on region.
Income ≈ 2×
Core costs ≈ 3×
The paycheck grew. The margin didn’t.
And when the baseline expands faster than income, flexibility becomes the first thing to disappear.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
…About The Bent Measuring Stick
Every day I share a short observation about how the measuring stick of money changes the way we see the world.
Prices rise.
Wages move.
Expectations adjust.
Sometimes the biggest shift isn’t the thing being measured.
It’s the measuring stick.
Many of these patterns are things we feel in everyday life but don’t always pause to articulate. Writing them down helps punctuate the pattern — for others, and for myself.
These posts aren’t arguments.
They’re small calibrations.
“You cannot straighten what is crooked unless you first straighten the ruler.”
— Epictetus
Follow along if you’re interested in noticing the drift.
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when one phone bill covered the whole house.)
Household Connectivity Costs (1995 → 2025)
1995 — One landline phone ≈ $20–$30 per month
2025 — Typical household:
Internet ≈ $70–$90
Mobile plans (family) ≈ $120–$180
Connectivity ≈ $200–$250 per month
Income ≈ 2×
Connectivity costs ≈ 7–8×
The technology improved. The expectations expanded.
What used to be one shared line became the price of staying connected to work, school, and everyday life.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when the security deposit wasn’t the hardest part of moving in.)
Apartment Security Deposit (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Typical deposit ≈ one month’s rent
Average rent ≈ $500–$600
2025 — Deposit often still ≈ one month’s rent
Average rent ≈ $1,700–$1,900
Income ≈ 2×
Deposit threshold ≈ 3×
The rule didn’t change.
One month’s rent remained the standard.
But when the rent rises faster than income, the doorway gets heavier to push open.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when paying off the house meant being done with it.)
Mortgage Duration Reality (1995 → 2025)
1995 — A 30-year mortgage was common, but lower home prices meant some borrowers shortened the term or paid off early.
2025 — The 30-year term remains standard, yet higher prices mean more households carry the full duration — and many reset the clock when moving or refinancing.
Home price ≈ 3×
Income ≈ 2×
Mortgage term ≈ 30 years
The years didn’t increase. The weight within them did.
When prices rise faster than income, time absorbs the difference.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when health insurance felt like protection, not participation.)
Employer-Sponsored Family Health Insurance Premium (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Average annual family premium ≈ $5,800
2025 — Average annual family premium ≈ $23,000+
Income ≈ 2×
Family premiums ≈ 4×
Coverage expanded. Medicine advanced. But the share of income required to stay insured grew faster than the paycheck.
The protection remained. The entry cost changed.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick — Sunday Golden Calibration
(If you remember when a new car felt like a milestone, not a financing strategy.)
Average New Vehicle Price (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Average new car ≈ $20,000
Gold (avg) ≈ $384/oz
≈ 52 oz of gold
2025 — Average transaction price ≈ $50,000
Gold (2025 annual avg) ≈ $3,431–$3,435/oz
≈ 14–15 oz of gold
Dollar price ≈ 2.5×
Gold-denominated price ≈ 0.28×
A car isn’t the same product it was in 1995, and gold moves for its own reasons. But this is the calibration point: when the measuring stick changes at a different pace than the thing you’re measuring, the story you tell yourself about “what got expensive” can change too.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
PRINCIPLES & PROOF, Week 002
The Architecture of Imperfection
“If men were angels, no government would be necessary.
If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary.”
— James Madison, Federalist No. 51 (1788)
In the summer of 1787, Philadelphia was less monument than pressure cooker. Windows were shut for secrecy. The air was heavy enough to slow thought. Outside, a fragile republic strained under debt and suspicion. Inside, men argued over a problem that has never left us: how to structure power for people who cannot safely be trusted with unlimited power.
Madison’s famous line reads almost lightly. “If men were angels…” It sounds conversational — even gentle. But the premise underneath is severe.
He was not describing villains. He was describing humans — ambitious, self-justifying, capable of virtue, and particularly persuasive when explaining why their own discretion is harmless.
Intentions elevate language. Incentives direct conduct. Madison designed for the second.
The U.S. Constitution was not built on faith in goodness but on friction — ambition counteracting ambition, authority checking authority. It assumed that power, once available, would be used. That discretion, once granted, would stretch. That restraint, if left to personality alone, would eventually soften.
History has been patient with this assumption. It has also confirmed it.
Corruption rarely announces itself as corruption. It arrives as accommodation — a temporary flexibility, a narrow exception justified by complexity. Expansion rarely presents itself as permanent; it presents itself as necessary. And necessity is persuasive.
Most of us have watched this happen somewhere. An organization begins with clarity and restraint. Over time, incentives tilt. What was limited becomes routine. What was routine becomes defended. No one declares a departure from principle. It simply becomes inconvenient to reverse course.
Human beings are remarkably confident in their virtue — particularly when their virtue aligns with their advantage.
This is not condemnation. It is simple anthropology.
We judge ourselves by what we meant to do. Systems judge us by what they reward us for doing. The difference between the two is where drift begins.
Madison understood that liberty depends less on trust than on structure. He did not distrust humanity; he distrusted unbounded discretion. He assumed that authority, once normalized, would rarely contract voluntarily. And history, unhurried and unsentimental, has largely confirmed him.
The pattern did not end in 1787. Mandates expand. Definitions soften. Administrative language improves as boundaries loosen. Few institutions say, “We are enlarging our authority because we can.” They say, “We are adapting.” Adaptation, especially in complicated times, nearly always requires a little more room.
The drift is incremental — and we tend to notice it only when the benefits shift.
Bitcoin enters this discussion not as protest but as architecture. It assumes imperfection. Its fixed supply is not a sermon against greed but a boundary against discretion. Its transparency is not an appeal to trust but recognition that verification ages better than confidence. Like Madison’s framework, it begins with a sober premise: if incentives permit expansion, expansion will occur. If alteration is allowed, alteration will eventually be justified.
The radical move is not outrage. It is constraint.
Whether Bitcoin endures for centuries is unknowable. But its structural humility is unmistakable. It does not assume angels — neither among the governed nor the governors. It assumes incentives and builds accordingly.
History does not primarily record the triumph of good intentions. It records the consequences of systems that relied on them.
⸻
The Calibration
Liberty is preserved less by optimism than by design. Systems that assume perfection decay quickly; systems that assume imperfection endure longer.
We rarely notice the moment restraint becomes inconvenience — especially when convenience benefits us.
Madison did not write for angels. He wrote for the incentives we continue to live with.
If Bitcoin proves meaningful, it will not be because it inspired enthusiasm. It will be because it embedded limits — and limits, though rarely celebrated, are often the quiet guardians of freedom.
— Principles & Proof
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when “weekend errands” didn’t feel like a budget event.)
Average Weekly Grocery Bill (1995 → 2025)
1995 — A typical family grocery trip often ran $75–$100 per week.
2025 — A comparable cart commonly totals $200–$250+ per week.
Income ≈ 2×
Groceries ≈ 2.5–3×
The cart didn’t triple in size. The baseline shifted. And somewhere between then and now, Kevin McCallister’s $19.83 grocery run stopped feeling fictional.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when one paycheck covered the essentials — and the other built margin.)
Median Household Fixed Costs vs Income (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Housing, healthcare, food, and transportation typically consumed roughly 50–55% of median household income, leaving meaningful room for saving or flexibility.
2025 — The same core categories often absorb 65–75% of median household income, depending on region.
Income ≈ 2×
Core fixed costs ≈ 3×
The paycheck grew. The margin didn’t. And when fixed costs expand faster than income, flexibility becomes the first casualty.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when “monthly bills” fit on one line.)
Recurring Household Subscriptions (1995 → 2025)
1995 — A typical household might carry 1–2 recurring service payments (cable, phone).
2025 — Many households now maintain 8–15 recurring subscriptions — streaming, cloud storage, software, delivery services, security monitoring, music, news, fitness apps, and more.
Income ≈ 2×
Recurring services ≈ 5–10×
Individually, each feels small. Together, they redefine the baseline. And when the baseline rises quietly, it becomes the new normal.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin
Bent Measuring Stick
(If you remember when insurance actually began where you thought it did.)
Health Insurance Deductible Threshold (1995 → 2025)
1995 — Many employer-sponsored plans carried deductibles of $250–$500, with coverage activating quickly.
2025 — Family deductibles now commonly exceed $3,000–$4,000, with high-deductible plans reaching even higher before meaningful coverage begins.
Income ≈ 2×
Deductible threshold ≈ 6–8×+
The definition of “covered” didn’t change. The starting line did. And before long, that felt standard.
#inflation #soundmoney #bitcoin