Idea to bookmark for later: real numbers are incompressible like reality itself. Pi and e are compressible reals, ambassadors from reality to the land of reason.

Lots of people get confused by labels. When evaluating NFL players, people will say, but so and so was a first-round pick when he was taken 28th, and so-and-so is a second-round pick when he was drafted 35th. There's a much bigger difference between pick 6 and pick 28 than pick 28 and pick 35. The "rounds" are just arbitrary cut-off points. Similarly people will say "Trump promised no wars" and now he's attacked Iran. "War" is like first-round pick. You can define what's happening in Iran as a "war" and sick burn all the peace promises if you like, but the difference between this "war" and a war where we spend trillions, kill millions and destabilize an entire region is a lot different than kidnapping Maduro or taking out Khameni. If this does devolve into Iraq 2.0 or worse, that'a another matter, but if it's more like Venezuela, then it's not really contradicting the platform on which he was elected. Think a lot of people are conflating the two for clicks and outrage, but it's pretty obviously stretching one label to cover two very different scenarios. This is not an opinion on whether taking out Khameni (or kidnapping Maduro) was "good," legal or desirable -- we will only know that over the medium and long haul. Only that this conflation of two very different things is lowest-common-denominator posting.

Very unlikely we will have an Iraq-style war with Iran. Makes zero sense. If Trump were to do this, he'd get destroyed in the midterms, and a democratic would win the white house in 2028 and probably prosecute him and all his friends. He and his admin know this. They know no one who elected him wants an actual war. But "Israel is controlling him!" No. If he were owned by Israel such that he'd be forced to destroy his presidency and imperil his future, he would've sat 2024 out. Assume rational actors and work backwards. Probably the Iranian regime wants to settle, but if they did, they'd have to deal with all the hardliners they empowered. They can't just agree and get away with it. Has to look like they were forced. Just like Trump probably couldn't release the Epstein files given so many of his friends and people he needs for his agenda were/are compromised so he had to outsource to Massie even if Massie isn't in on the game. I could always be wrong, but it's rarely the case that rational actors do things that make no sense. There is always a reason, and not a stupid one like "Israel owns him dude."

Odd how the price has spiked with Jane Street sidelined. Think it was Max Keiser who said JPM had a short on MSTR so big it would collapse them if the price mooned again. Occurred to me these large connected entities might be working together -- JPM shorts MSTR, scrambles to build competing products (or just hopes to delay/destroy it), knows Jane Street is good for the price manipulation of the underlying, both have inside info re overleveraged players, where the liquidation points are. We'll see, just seems like a hell of a coincidence of timing.

Normally I'd out this in a highlighter format and post it natively, but too many screenshots, so I'm linking to the Substack. Plus, probably the only one who will get it is @YODL

Why We Will Never Have AGI

An Optimistic View Of The Future

Saw an interview with Kobe Bryant. Someone asked him if he loves winning or hates losing more. Kobe replied neither, when he's on the court he's just trying to figure it out.

My take on the Epstein Files. Trump could not release them. Too many powerful people implicated, would undermine his agenda. Too many of his friends implicated too. His own cabinet (Lutnick). So he needed Massie to do it for him, but he had to shit on Massie. Just like Elon, when his Tesla dealerships were getting vandalized, broke with Trump, vandalism stops, then he says Trump's in the files to create demand from the left for their release. Massie and Kahanna release them, Trump calls it a hoax, but people get exposed. My take on the "aliens". Maybe real. Maybe not. But what's most important isn't just the aliens but the tech we now have, alien-derived or not. It has to be made public, free-energy, teleportation via wormholes (research MH-370). Simpletons will scream "distraction from the Epstein files" but the Epstein files are a net positive for Trump so long as he has deniability from being responsible for their release. Two leading physicists were murdered in home invasions in the last two months. Probably not a coincidence. My guess is the big reveal is less about aliens and more about world-changing tech that's been hidden from the public, that physics actually DID progress massively since the 1970s, only was deemed too disruptive, too dangerous, so fake physics that led nowhere (string theory) was pushed in academia, and compliant midwits were too eager to go along in exchange for prestige while cutting edge physics was being done via military and private contractors. Lot of powerful people benefit from the status quo, don't want to see it overturned. If Trump were sincere in wanting to drain the swamp, he wouldn't be able to do it directly. He'd have to play them. A lot of things you see in the news are not for you. They're for the swamp to keep them believing that Trump still works for them. I could be wrong. Trump could be part of the swamp or worse -- the more insidious alternative to the swamp we embrace once it has been drained. But it's naive to think Trump and his cabinet are not thinking strategically and are well aware of how most of its moves would be perceived by people who think they've "woken up." Again, I'm not saying Trump is the good guy or that what comes after will necessarily be better. I'm only saying don't be a simpleton and fall for the obvious and tired takes. There's much more going on than that IMO.

Excerpt from latest podcast: Full podcast: https://rumble.com/v75z6zm-what-could-it-possibly-be.html

Twitter is good for information to some extent, but I've been posting less and less on my main acccount. I mean what else is there to say to the normies there after the Epstein files?

Been onboarding people to nostr via my podcast. I don't sell them on the social media aspect or the decentralization or the censorship resistance. I just tell them I want to get paid, and it's absurd to subscribe to one dude's substack when you can pay roughly the same for every song ever recorded in human history. They WANT to pay me, but like most people have zero interest in getting out their credit cards and locking themselves into another subscription. Nostr is the way to do it, 25 or 50 cents a pop, no obligation. Regular listeners would rather pay than not pay. They get something out of being able to pay finally. This shouldn't be underestimated.

14-YO daughter went to a basketball tournament three hours away this week, had to sleep on the floor of an under-renovation old classroom, eat garbage food and play in three games while hanging out with people she had just met who had all known each other for years. Got home last night at 9, went to bed at 1 (she's on break), slept in. At 2:30 pm, I remembered she was home (had actually forgotten), went in and woke her up. Anyone's guess how late she would have slept had I not remembered.