Asked the free version of Claude (and Grok) to build me a fantasy baseball cheat sheet. I gave it some complex parameters (I used to do this for a job), and both failed badly. The task involved aggregating two separate projection systems for hitters and pitchers. Classifying and z-scoring the players by position relative to the size of the league and aggregating it with market prices for those players on a separate spread sheet. It outputted junk. When I spotted the errors, it correct the ones I spotted, re-worked it, outputted more junk. AI is great for figuring out why my model of fridge is leaking water, but terrible for complex (and this isn't THAT complex) tasks. Maybe the paid versions are better? WTF? I was told we had AGI!

The release of the Epstein Files is good and all, but for the love of God, just put some people in prison already.

Had a crazy thought this morning. Was thinking about how it had been six years since the start of the covid madness, and about how everything is fake, and if everything we hear is fake, maybe history is mostly fake, but then maybe so is my understanding of time, and maybe it hasn't been "six years," that's also a psyop.

There are two kinds of people in this world: 1. Conspiracy theorists 2. Retards (with some overlap obviously)

No matter how out of shape you are, you should jog one mile slowly if you can, even if it's cold and/or raining out. It will reset your mind.

My base case is Epstein is still alive. One of the files had an eyewitness account of him being taken away the night before he was allegedly suicided. Little chance someone with the knowledge and dirt Epstein had would not have had a kill switch he made sure to let everyone know about. Not saying it's impossible he killed himself (with the cameras malfunctioning and guards AWOL) or was murdered and somehow let that happen without releasing information, but IMO he's likely still alive.

Not saying this couldn't happen but prediction markets on this are retarded. People who think it’s going lower will bet against it. People who think it’s going higher are making that bet on an exchange, buying MSTR or an ETF.

You can argue Trump is Hitler, and ICE are the Stasi, but if you're arguing it publicly with your name attached, you have refuted your own point.

Australian Open semis are bananas. Djokovic staved off nine break points in the fifth set so far. Alcaraz match was crazy too.

I'm been banging on libertarians here for a bit, so let me steel-man the case for them. For me, the biggest counterargument against them is what happened in El Salvador. You had a shithole country, with the highest murder rate in the world, and it took a strongman to bring the criminals to heel, and now by some accounts it's a paradise. I've never been there, so I don't want to say that's exactly true, but it's hard to argue that it's at least much better than it was. Libertarians would have abandoned it or if they stayed had a rough go of it. But it also occurred to me as the story was happening how uncanny it was that Bukele was able to do it. Wouldn't the CIA/drug cartels intervene and take him out? The last thing the WEF/Biden admin/commie overlords would want is proof of concept. And it would seem trivial to take out a third-world leader. It happened a few times during covid in Africa to leaders who didn't care about covid measures. A few of them were assassinated. So I was (am) a little suspicious. I certainly want it to be true, but it's possible it only happened with permission of said overlords. If that's the case, then the El Salvador model which is basically just a more extreme version of what Trump is trying to do with ICE -- re-establish the rule of law, create conditions for prosperity -- could be an op of sorts, wherein they let things get so out of hand and then point to the law and order as a huge relief. I remember Ed Dowd saying a few years ago, the "eat bugs and own nothing" pitch was so bad, no one would really go for it, but to beware of the counter-proposal which will seem reasonable by comparison. Moreover, there's another guy on Twitter Donnie Discerned who cites biblical prophecy to argue that when the beast arises, the people will embrace him because he'll seem like he's delivering them from captivity and then they'll actually make war on Israel (which had fallen into bad ways) thinking they were being righteous, but actually the messiah would arise from it, and they'd be making war on Jesus himself. Forget about all the Israel atrocities for a minute and the theories that "the Joos are behind it all" for a second and consider how this is playing out -- Israel is a pariah now, Gaza is in the process of being taken out of its hands, and the UAE, Saudis and Trump are re-imagining the region as a corporatist paradise. In other words, by vanquishing WEF, Netanyahu and other malefactors, it might seem like law, order and the triumph of good, but now you're in the Palantir surveillance based world of "prosperity" and "peace" via strength. Seems better than Netanyahu killing civilians, but a prison nonetheless. He says (I'm not especially knowledge about the Bible) that the beast will reign through a false peace and use it to convince people to go along. But prophecy aside, you can see the idea -- that we're being played, and that it was a setup the entire time, the globalist scourge, the covid totalitarianism, etc. to get people to embrace the alternative, a government of law and order where you can buy and sell and enjoy the world's various pleasures, at the expense of real sovereignty, and by sovereignty I mean connection to meaning, to purpose, to God. In other words, we sell out our highest consciousness for something safe and resembling prosperity, a deal with the devil most are eager to snap-call given how bad the alternative was. And really that is Trump's MO -- make outrageous demands such that the counterparty settles for what he actually wants because it's so much better than the alternative. We accept our overlords, lose trust in God (or whatever word you want to substitute for our deepest selves) because they've staved off the horrors of whatever the fuck the WEF et all were proposing for us. In that case, Bukele was an op, Trump is an op, and we should reject all of it, even if it's so obviously better in the short run. The libertarians reject centralized law and order because even if it takes care of certain acute problems it will never lead to real sovereignty. I am sympathetic to this because even though my base case is that Bukele has done a great job, and Trump is cleaning up a horrific mess that was left to him, I am under no delusion that the powerful suddenly care about me or any other individual, even if our aims are temporarily aligned. The libertarians are ineffective, and that's the drawback, but perhaps to be effective in that way is ultimately the path to slavery. Again, this is not my base case, and my beef with them is they fail to take into account human nature as it is (rather than how we would like it to be), and given that, we're faced with Popper's Paradox of Intolerance (about which I have written) wherein if we value tolerance we must be intolerant of intolerance, lest the intolerant dominate and swallow up any chance of tolerance at all. So that's the tension. But I like to take on the steel rather than straw man because it's the only path to finding out what's actually true.