The Bond market forced Trump to act. Yields in the past 3 days were doing the opposite of what he wanted. Japan and China (largest buyers of Treasuries) stopped buying Treasuries earlier in the week and yields spiked. If China decided to dump Treasuries on the market then the USA would've been vulnerable to collapse.
BUT if the USA collapses then China loses. They're currently playing chicken with each other.
It is NO coincidence the last Treasury auction sold well AFTER discussions with Japan. Most likely Trump got Japan to take up orders as part of the tariff negotiations.
Bottom line? Band-Aid solution. And China has so far won this one, no matter how the US government is trying to spin their 90-day offer.
This isn't over and has a long way to run.
For Bitcoiners, this chaos is wonderful as BTC, more and more, is starting to act like a real safe haven. Not as solid as gold (in the market's eyes) but getting there.
2027 is going to be a GREAT year for Bitcoin. Remind me.
Bitcoin Berries
npub1vwfn...ccrl
Bitcoin Berries. Delicious and nutritious.
Q: How healthy does this look?
A: VERY.
Everyone is excited, but all I'm seeing is an inverted chart bang on schedule.
So what does this mean? It means price will rise for another 5 days but it won't break above $88k. (How's the for a crazy call?)
And then price will fall until around week starting12th May.
Everyone is saying to the moon, so you'll soon find out exactly how full of BS I am ๐ฅ
#Bitcoin ๐If Bitcoin's price hits resistance at $77,800 in the upcoming hours, which it should do, then this should be the time we see lower $70k levels tested after.
This area is a buy. Then it's a "watch and evaluate" to see if this is the bottom bottom or if that door is opened enough to run a risk to $60k. Again, unlikely.
SPX: I'm not in stocks anymore, but 4,273 is the level you'd expect a drop to... in time. For now we should bounce a lot today, but "dead cats bouncing"... ๐โโฌ
This really has the potential to go sub-4000 eventually. Not pretty.My charts predicted it would happen last Friday. But here we are on the next trading day. So shoot me! Not far to go now!
View quoted note โ
The Bolt12 website gets 10/10 for fun design!! Exciting times ahead in this space!
Thanks @Blockstream for sharing this ๐๐ป

BOLT 12 | This is how we bitcoin in the future!
BOLT 12 is a protocol upgrade to the Lightning network that will enable re-usable payment requests, increased receiver privacy, and better censorsh...
US futures markets down 5%. Looks ugly, but that tells me, combined with Bitcoin levels, that the higher probability is that the markets will find a bottom here and then bounce.
But that bounce is highly unlikely to signify the real bottom. Weeks of pain and uncertainty ahead. I'm glad I do not own single stock.
Bitcoin extension from high matches to confirm correlation that this is mostly likely the bottom area to scale in.
Still targeting $144k in October ... despite some ridiculous hopium I've seen broadcast. (Not expecting $300k and upwards hopium levels until 2027, despite the halving cycles)
Bitcoin daily.
Blue = next barrier and likely bounce area.
Green = expected bottom area to BUY.
Red = highly unlikely but would be MAJOR buying opportunities.
Despite everyone talking about $88k as the continuation level to break for bull confirmation, that level really is $92.5k ... and we ARE still in a bull market until October.Bitcoin dropping as discussed in recent weeks. Expecting lower $70k levels and a lot of bouncing. Can't see us making real headway up until middle of May, so this week we'll be able to more accurately see a clear picture of where the exact Bitcoin bottom will be.
I'm calling the date for the Bitcoin top: October 6th 2025.
Remind me.
This is a monthly Bitcoin chart going back to 2010. It's been banging out a guideline for the major support/resistance reliably for years. Nostr is my chill place, so to keep I short:
Bitcoin will continue falling for approx another 6 weeks.
I'm expecting we bottom in the low $70ks.
But there's a SLIM chance that number is $60k.
May is our bottom.
BTC will peak in October 2025 this cycle. $148k is my target.
Then it'll be eyes on September 2026 for next bottom ๐
TL;DR: We're going a bit lower. These are buying opportunities.
I'm still waiting and expecting to see that spike down on April 2nd to low $70ks. To go out on a limb here...
IF I had to pick an exact number? $71,996
But the odds of calling that 100% accurately? ๐ Stay tuned.
And down we go with Bitcoin, and with zero satisfaction at calling it correctly. We'll do down more to low $70s then sideways into possibly as long as May. But the good news is we'll hit new ATHs in October. We just need to remain patient and keep stacking when price is low ๐๐ป
Looks good, but looks can be deceiving. We've hit that next resistance.
Bitcoin HAD to rise from my last message where it couldn't even close 100 Sats lower on the Daily, and it has responded.
See the vertical line? That's 2nd April. We need to be closer to that date for the real moves. Big potential for longs to get trapped.Daily close below $82,142 (BITSTAMP) means we're headed down.
Probably bounce at $81,300, but we should break $80,500 on leg down to $73,000 area.
And this is where we want the final drop to be as there is an outside chance spike drop into lower $60,000s
Regular markets aren't looking great. The Dow looks terrible.
Bitcoin is going to feel the squeeze (see prev chart). One more leg down, but don't go expecting BTC to start the true march north again for several weeks yet. Either trade the bounces or just keep stacking those dips. FYI: Dips do NOT start with an 8 in front of them.
Does that all sound negative? It's not. There are great buying opportunities ahead of us which will shine after July. Eyes on October high.
GN nostr
That weekly squeeze on Bitcoin ๐
Where we're at a day later. It looks so much better than it actually is. Am still not expecting the genuine moves until another month. Things are ripe for traders now, scalping these bounces until we have one more genuine leg down to blow out the leveraged longs which will accumulate now. Then we head north towards that Bitcoin peak in October. July is looking good to stack and rack.
Solid base building on the BTC Daily.
All charts showing Bitcoin is trapped. Trapped normally means false breakout and then the real move.