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Flix
flix@primal.net
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Bitcoin, Nostr, history, sci-fi, FOSS, P2P...
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flix 1 month ago
What happened to the 4 million merchants that Square enabled Bitcoin payments for? Is there any data on how many activated or use it? Any volume numbers? @BTC Map and the shadowy supertaggers are doing great work... but surely Square must publish official internal data at some point? @Joe Nakamoto this would be a very interesting topic to do a deep dive on. Even if the news is disappointing. image
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flix 1 month ago
This crossover now changes incentives somewhat. It's not the same to ditch treasuries when you are tanking your own portfolio than to do so when you are hedged. Many countries are now in that situation. This trend will probably accelerate. image
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flix 1 month ago
Fun with timelines. Representing history as the tree of life. It's still work in progress, many mistakes. (Yes, I'll fix the numbers...). What would you change? What other empires deserve a mention? #history #timeline image
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flix 1 month ago
Tree of life concept. image
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flix 1 month ago
Micromosaic grottesque column #timeline #history image
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flix 1 month ago
From @River 's excellent report on adoption. Nation state adoption. image
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flix 1 month ago
Coin production by metal. #history #timeline image
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flix 1 month ago
Roman military power #history #timeline image
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flix 1 month ago
USDT frozen by US Government. Now it's only BTC. image
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flix 1 month ago
A very handy table summarising the stages of the business cycle, from Jesus Huerta de Soto's book "Money, Credit and Economic Cycles".
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flix 1 month ago
Some years ago I helped make a short monetary history documentary on two episodes of fiat money inflation in France. One of the things that contemporary writers commented on was how money printing created a new class of speculators addicted to easy debt and fast paper gains in stocks and assets. The Cantillon effect disproportionately benefits those close to the money printer, but also those close enough to power to have what we now call inside information. They were the system's best defenders and promoters. They made fortunes. I cannot help but see the parallels with the current bubbles and the Trump administration's obsession with market manipulation on all fronts. The Polymarket politicians will ride this wave as far as they can, they will milk it for all its worth. If you ever wanted to understand what GRRM meant by "chaos is a ladder" look no further than what is happening to markets every time that Trump announces a new ultimatum or a new peace deal with Iran just before markets open. Its not sustainable, it's not conducive to long term economic growth and the collapse will be spectacular. As Warren Buffet said "it's only when the tide recedes that you see who is swimming naked". The smartest in the speculator class will be able to profit from the crash as much as from the bubble, maybe even more. If you are not close to the money printer and the levers of power, you can only opt out of the game and be patient. They cannot print more Bitcoin.
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flix 1 month ago
A good time to read about Tyre. image
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flix 1 month ago
Impact on stocks of Hormuz Strait being closed. image
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flix 1 month ago
Chatgpt (Feb 1, 2026 scenario) Strait of Hormuz closed for 3 months with no warning: Oil price: likely $120–220/bbl sustained, brief spikes higher Global GDP: -0.4% to -0.8% over the quarter Inflation: temporary +2 to +5 percentage point surge in advanced economies Europe impact: materially worse than US due to import dependence