about 250k bitcoin left to mine before the next halving. after that, the entire 4-yr halving cycle will produce only about 300k btc. no chart explains it better than the simple truth itself.

situational awareness.

in probably 15-20 yrs, instead of the biggest divisions being politics or even religion, there may really be just two camps: those who want to enhance and redesign the human body and those who want to preserve it. politicians, leaders, movements, even entire cultures could eventually organize themselves around that single question: how far should we be willing to change what it means to be human.

imo there will also be a fork in human evolution. group 1 will want to become superhuman. taller, smarter, stronger, more attractive and able to live much longer. and eventually they’ll get what they want. group 2 will be the traditionalists. they’ll want to preserve the natural human form and experience as much as possible. over time these two paths will diverge so much that they almost become separate branches of humanity.

when electricity was first introduced, its impact on the economy wasn’t very visible or significant for about 40 yrs. factories basically replaced steam engines with electric motors while keeping the same old infra. real exponential acceleration only came when they started tearing everything down and rebuilding factories around electricity from the ground up. we’re seeing something very similar with ai. and it could continue for another 10 yrs or so. we’re creating this incredible technology and then doing what? handing it to humans to use within the same old systems. real deflation won’t arrive until the economy itself is rewired around ai with less and less human involvement.

the human body is fully programmable, and so is every other living organism. we just don’t understand all the code yet but ai will help us get there. it’s the next stage in human evolution, much like the discovery of fire. fire wasn’t just a tool. it changed the course of human evolution. ai will do the same. it’s not just a tool.

ai liquidity drain continues.

some people think of pow like an algorithm or a piece of software. they completely miss the sheer physical power and accuracy of voting with energy. there’s nothing abstract about it and it can’t be faked. pow is by far the most powerful consensus mechanism ever created and bitcoin is the best representation of it.

bitcoin has this tradition where every 5-6 yrs, it needs to humble a new group of quarter brain coiners who think they can reinvent bitcoin.

been 23 hrs and rip-110 is 129 blocks behind. les misérables...

bsv at least had the balls and execution skills to fork. the bip110 miserable warlords have neither. just endless bitching from the sidelines. nobody can take these people seriously. the funniest part is their delusion that miners won’t take the risk and will somehow mine both bitcoin and their rip-110 fork. what a fucking joke. good lesson though.

bip110 failed. period. move on. don’t be hostile to the network. if you don’t like pow, too bad. go create your own shitcoin and mine the fuck you want.

🍿

not a rocket science.

everyone keeps trying to predict bitcoin’s price like we have no historical reference. we actually do. look at star island in miami beach. it’s a tiny man-made island with only about 30 waterfront homes. for over a century it’s been one of the scarcest pieces of real estate in the world. as more wealth was created, more of it flowed into the same limited supply of homes. star island didn’t just keep up with inflation. it absorbed an increasing share of global wealth because supply never changed. a few examples… - 1999: rosie o’donnell bought a waterfront home for $6.75m. - 2003: she sold it for $16.5m. - 2009: shaq’s waterfront estate sold for $16m during the financial crisis. - 2025: that same estate sold again for $120m. bitcoin shares the same core characteristic: - absolute scarcity. - fixed supply. - impossible to dilute. no analogy is perfect but star island is one of the closest historical analogs we have to bitcoin. when a truly scarce asset becomes a global store of wealth, history shows us what can happen over the long term.

now that y’all shipped your corn back to the exchanges, who’s gonna claim your forky dorky bip110 bags and dump ’em for lunch money? 😂

i’m giving it about 3 yrs before local intelligence becomes the norm. within 36 months, relying on a frontier model provider for intelligence will feel like going to an internet cafe just to use the internet. hardware companies including apple will ship devices with built-in options that let you choose your preferred local open model out of the box. and here’s the kicker. bitcoin will be integrated into all of these models with a spending wallet. you’ll talk directly to your local shopping agent without a mouse or keyboard interface and it’ll order your amazon, book your flights, pay your bills, etc.. we’re moving towards ultimate human freedom. it’s not super fast and most of the time it’s very painful for the first gen ai civilization but we’re gettin’ there.

by the way, i’m not sure if seedsigner applied for an opensats grant and got rejected in the past but if they did, i’d really like to see that grant approved. seedsigner’s mission is more critical and important now than ever.

i hate saying this but bitcoin’s current self custody mechanics are probably the biggest reason of slow adoption. not because bitcoin’s architecture is fundamentally too complex for self custody but because we as devs have done a pretty lousy job improving the ux for regular users. If securing your money is that hard, people simply won’t take the risk.