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Bitcoin Fortress
bitcoinfortress@nostrplebs.com
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Bitcoin Fortress substack and podcast
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bitcoinfortress 2 months ago
🕊️ Bitcoin & Freedom “If you don’t believe it or don’t get it, I don’t have time to try to convince you.Sorry.” — Satoshi Nakamoto Freedom is one of those words everyone agrees on but few ever define. We talk about free speech, free markets, and free countries — yet most people live under a financial system where their savings can be frozen, seized, or debased without their consent. True freedom begins with financial sovereignty — the ability to own and control the product of your labor. Without that, every other freedom is built on sand. The Illusion of Choice Modern money isn’t neutral. It’s issued by central banks, controlled by politicians, and inflated by design. You can work harder each year, but your savings buy less. You can “own” assets, but they exist at the mercy of intermediaries who can deny access with a click. If your money depends on permission, you don’t really own it. The Invention of Freedom Money Then, in 2009, something remarkable happened. A pseudonymous coder named Satoshi Nakamoto launched Bitcoin — a decentralized, peer-to-peer monetary network that doesn’t rely on trust, governments, or banks. Bitcoin gave the world digital property rights for the first time in history. Anyone, anywhere, can store and send value directly — secured by math, not institutions. It’s an idea so radical that it quietly rewrote what freedom means in the digital age. Property Rights in the Information Age Bitcoin is the separation of money and state, just as the printing press separated church and state. It returns ownership to the individual — the ability to save wealth across time and space without approval, confiscation, or inflation. Your Bitcoin is yours. Not your bank’s. Not your government’s. Not anyone else’s. And because it’s open to everyone, it’s the first form of global, permissionless equality. Freedom of Transaction = Freedom of Speech Censorship-resistant money matters because speech and commerce are inseparable. When activists, journalists, or entrepreneurs are cut off from payment systems, their speech is effectively silenced. Bitcoin fixes that. It lets value flow freely, just like information on the internet. And every time someone uses it, they strengthen a network that can’t be censored, corrupted, or shut down. The Peaceful Revolution Bitcoin is not a rebellion of violence — it’s a revolution of choice. No one is forced to use it. Yet millions do, because it offers something governments never could: honest money and voluntary participation. In a world drowning in surveillance, debt, and political control, Bitcoin stands as a beacon of self-determination. A Future Worth Building Freedom isn’t free — it’s earned, protected, and rebuilt every generation. Today, the tools of freedom are digital, and Bitcoin is one of the most important of them all. It’s how we store our energy, defend our privacy, and say no to systems that exploit rather than empower. It’s how we build a future where people — not institutions — hold the keys. Bitcoin and freedom belong together. Because when you fix the money, you fix the world. Not financial or legal advice, for entertainment only, do your own homework. I hope you find this post useful as you chart your personal financial course and Build a Bitcoin Fortress in 2025. Thanks for following my work. Always remember: freedom, health and positivity! Please also check out my Bitcoin Fortress Podcast on all your favorite streaming platforms. I do a weekly Top Bitcoin News update every week on Sunday, focused on current items of interest to the Bitcoin community. Please check it out if you haven’t already. Also now on Fountain, where you can earn Bitcoin just for listening to your favorite podcasts. Also, check out my books on Amazon available in multiple formats: Bitcoin Fortress: A Simple Guide to Bitcoin for Beginners Bitcoin Retirement and Estate Planning The Bitcoin Lifestyle Follow me on Nostr: npub122fpu8lwu2eu2zfmrymcfed9tfgeray5quj78jm6zavj78phnqdsu3v4h5 If you’re looking for more great Bitcoin signal, check out friend of the show @Pleb Underground
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bitcoinfortress 2 months ago
🟧 A Primer on Bitcoin Technical and On-Chain Analysis Reading the Signals Beyond Price Bitcoin’s price is what most people focus on. But beneath that flashing number lies a transparent and permanent record of every transaction ever made — a goldmine of data that no other asset can match. For the thoughtful Bitcoin analyst, price is just the tip of the iceberg. Below it lies the blockchain — an open ledger that reveals investor behavior, miner confidence, and long-term sentiment in ways traditional markets can’t. Let’s take a calm dive into the key on-chain metrics worth watching. 🟠 1️⃣ Hash Rate and Mining Difficulty The hash rate measures total computational power securing the network. A rising hash rate signals miner confidence — they’re investing in machines and electricity because they believe in Bitcoin’s future. Mining difficulty automatically adjusts every two weeks to keep block times near ten minutes. 📉 A sharp drop in hash rate or difficulty can signal miner stress or capitulation. 📈 Steady increases often precede bull markets. 🟡 2️⃣ Active Addresses and Transaction Count These metrics reveal network activity — how many wallets are transacting and how often. Active Addresses: show how many participants are moving coins daily. Transaction Count: shows how much real economic activity is happening. When both rise together, Bitcoin’s user base and utility are expanding — always a good sign. 🟢 3️⃣ HODL Waves and Coin Dormancy Every Bitcoin has an age since it last moved. Visualizing this creates HODL Waves, showing how long coins have been held. When long-term holders refuse to sell — even during price rallies — it signals conviction and reduces liquid supply. Coin Dormancy complements this by measuring how long coins have sat idle before being spent. Low dormancy = active market. High dormancy = strong hands holding tight. 🔵 4️⃣ Exchange Balances and Flow Tracking exchange reserves helps you see how much Bitcoin is available for immediate sale. 📉 Falling exchange balances mean coins are moving to self-custody (bullish). 📈 Rising exchange inflows often precede volatility or corrections. It’s the best supply pressure gauge we have. 🟣 5️⃣ Realized Price and MVRV Ratio The Realized Price represents the average cost basis of all circulating Bitcoin — the “real” value at which holders acquired them. When market price dips below realized price, history shows we’re near capitulation or bottoming zones. The MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) compares price to fundamentals: MVRV < 1: Undervalued (good accumulation zones). MVRV > 3: Overheated (caution). 🔴 6️⃣ NUPL — Net Unrealized Profit/Loss NUPL tracks how much profit or loss the network is sitting on. It moves through clear emotional phases: 🟥 < 0 — Capitulation 🟨 0–0.25 — Hope / Recovery 🟩 0.25–0.75 — Optimism / Belief 🟦 > 0.75 — Euphoria / Potential Top Overlaying NUPL on the price chart helps visualize fear and greed in real time. ⚫ 7️⃣ SOPR — Spent Output Profit Ratio SOPR answers one question: “Are coins being sold at a profit or a loss?” SOPR > 1 → Sellers are taking profit (bullish in uptrends). SOPR < 1 → Holders are cutting losses (bearish). Tracking SOPR helps identify capitulation points and profit-taking peaks. ⚪ 8️⃣ Long-Term vs Short-Term Holder Supply On-chain data separates holders into: Long-Term Holders (LTH) — coins held >155 days Short-Term Holders (STH) — newer, more reactive participants When LTH supply reaches record highs, weak-hand supply runs low — setting the stage for a supply squeeze and bull cycle. 🟩 9️⃣ Funding Rates and Open Interest Though technically from derivatives, these metrics reveal trader sentiment. Positive funding: longs pay shorts → excessive optimism → possible correction. Negative funding: shorts pay longs → fear and exhaustion → potential rebound. Pair funding with open interest (total leverage in the system) to spot when markets are overstretched. 🧭 🔟 The Macro Lens: Halvings and Supply Issuance Every four years, Bitcoin’s block subsidy halves. Each halving cuts new supply in half and triggers massive shifts in supply-demand balance. Combine halving data with miner revenue and issuance rates to understand long-term cycles. Each halving historically precedes a new multi-year price discovery phase. 🧩 Putting It All Together No single metric tells the full story. The art of on-chain analysis is correlation — finding where multiple signals converge: Rising hash rate + falling exchange balances = accumulation Low NUPL + SOPR below 1 = capitulation and potential bottom LTH supply at highs + MVRV rising = early bull market phase The blockchain gives you the data. Your job is to interpret the human behavior behind it. 🧠 Final Thoughts Bitcoin’s transparency is revolutionary. Every coin, every address, every movement — recorded forever and visible to all. Unlike Wall Street, there are no secrets here. For the disciplined analyst, this is pure signal: a way to understand market cycles, sentiment, and conviction — straight from the chain itself. So next time someone asks where the price is going, you’ll have more than a guess. You’ll have data, context, and conviction. Not financial or legal advice, for entertainment only, do your own homework. I hope you find this post useful as you chart your personal financial course and Build a Bitcoin Fortress in 2025. Thanks for following my work. Always remember: freedom, health and positivity! Please also check out my Bitcoin Fortress Podcast on all your favorite streaming platforms. I do a weekly Top Bitcoin News update every week on Sunday, focused on current items of interest to the Bitcoin community. Please check it out if you haven’t already. Also now on Fountain, where you can earn Bitcoin just for listening to your favorite podcasts. Also, check out my books: Bitcoin Fortress: A Simple Guide to Bitcoin for Beginners Bitcoin Retirement and Estate Planning The Bitcoin Lifestyle Follow me on Nostr: npub122fpu8lwu2eu2zfmrymcfed9tfgeray5quj78jm6zavj78phnqdsu3v4h5 If you’re looking for more great Bitcoin signal, check out friend of the show @Pleb Underground
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bitcoinfortress 2 months ago
image Staying Calm in Volatile Markets The Power of Cold Storage and No Leverage When Bitcoin’s price swings wildly—up 10% one day, down 15% the next—it’s easy to feel anxious. Financial media amplifies every move, analysts predict doom or euphoria by the hour, and social feeds turn into emotional battlegrounds. But if you hold your Bitcoin in cold storage, without leverage, you have something most traders don’t: peace of mind. 1. Volatility Is the Price of Admission Bitcoin’s volatility isn’t a bug—it’s a feature of a young, free, global market discovering the fair price of the hardest money ever created. As Michael Saylor likes to say, “Volatility is the price you pay for performance.” The same volatility that shakes weak hands has also delivered Bitcoin’s extraordinary long-term returns. Every parabolic rise and gut-wrenching dip are simply the market’s way of shaking out speculators. For long-term holders, these cycles are opportunities to strengthen conviction and accumulate more sats at better prices. 2. Cold Storage Is Serenity When your Bitcoin is in cold storage—offline, in your full control—it changes your relationship to the market. You’re no longer reacting to red or green candles. Your coins are safe from exchange hacks, government freezes, or margin calls. You’ve exited the casino. Cold storage reinforces low time preference thinking. It’s a reminder that Bitcoin is not a get-rich-quick scheme but a long-term savings technology. Each satoshi stored securely represents a small piece of freedom—a claim on the future. 3. No Leverage, No Liquidation Leverage may promise faster gains, but it also brings existential risk. With margin or loans tied to Bitcoin’s price, a sudden drawdown can force you to sell your precious sats at the worst possible moment. Many have learned this lesson the hard way during liquidation cascades. Without leverage, you remove that sword of Damocles hanging over your head. You’re free to ride out volatility instead of being crushed by it. When markets panic, you can calmly say, “My coins are safe. I’m still stacking.” 4. Emotional Fortitude in a Fiat World Fiat systems train people to measure wealth daily in dollar terms. Bitcoiners must unlearn that habit. Volatility measured in fiat is noise; what matters is purchasing power over time. One Bitcoin still equals one Bitcoin, regardless of short-term fiat fluctuations. The Stoics taught that tranquility comes from focusing on what you can control. You can’t control the market—but you can control your setup: self-custody, no leverage, long horizon, strong hands. 5. The Quiet Confidence of the Long-Term Holder Holding Bitcoin through multiple cycles rewires your nervous system. The noise fades. You start thinking in four-year halvings, not four-hour candles. You understand that adoption, scarcity, and technological resilience are the real drivers—not headlines. Each crash feels smaller, each rally less surprising. You become what veteran Bitcoiners call “unshakeable.” “In the short term, the market is a voting machine. In the long term, it is a weighing machine.” — Benjamin Graham Bitcoin is still being weighed. And those who keep calm will be rewarded for their patience. Conclusion: Serenity Through Sovereignty True financial peace comes not from predicting markets but from removing your vulnerability to them. Bitcoin in cold storage, unleveraged, is the foundation of that peace. You’ve already won the hardest battle—taking custody of your own money. Now the mission is simple: stay humble, stack sats, and let time do the heavy lifting. When the next panic hits, remember: the strongest hands are the coldest. Not financial or legal advice, for entertainment only, do your own homework. I hope you find this post useful as you chart your personal financial course and Build a Bitcoin Fortress in 2025. Thanks for following my work. Always remember: freedom, health and positivity! Please also check out my Bitcoin Fortress Podcast on all your favorite streaming platforms. I do a weekly Top Bitcoin News update every week on Sunday, focused on current items of interest to the Bitcoin community. Please check it out if you haven’t already. Also now on Fountain, where you can earn Bitcoin just for listening to your favorite podcasts. Also, check out my books on Amazon: Bitcoin Fortress: A Simple Guide to Bitcoin for Beginners Bitcoin Retirement and Estate Planning The Bitcoin Lifestyle Follow me on Nostr: npub122fpu8lwu2eu2zfmrymcfed9tfgeray5quj78jm6zavj78phnqdsu3v4h5 If you’re looking for more great Bitcoin signal, check out friend of the show @Pleb Underground
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bitcoinfortress 2 months ago
🕵️‍♂️ Twelve “Conspiracy Theories” That Turned Out to Be True How the unbelievable became undeniable. “Secrecy is the beginning of tyranny.” — Robert A. Heinlein 🧠 Introduction The phrase “conspiracy theory” gets thrown around to discredit almost anyone who questions authority. Yet history is filled with examples where the so-called “crazy” people were right all along. When power hides behind secrecy, truth often sounds like lunacy — until documents are declassified, whistleblowers speak up, or time itself forces the confession. Here are twelve of the most shocking conspiracies that turned out to be true. Each began as rumor or “disinformation,” dismissed by the press and denied by officials — until the evidence emerged. 🩺 1. The Tuskegee Syphilis Study (1932–1972) For four decades, the U.S. Public Health Service experimented on 399 Black men with syphilis, pretending to offer free treatment for “bad blood.” Even after penicillin became the cure, doctors withheld it — simply to “observe” the disease’s natural course. It wasn’t until 1972 that whistleblowers exposed the truth, leading to national outrage and sweeping reforms in medical ethics. Lesson: Institutional betrayal can last generations. Public distrust isn’t irrational — it’s learned. 💊 2. Project MKUltra (1953–1973) “Mind control” sounded like science fiction — until it wasn’t. The CIA’s MKUltra program tested LSD, hypnosis, and electroshock on unwitting subjects, including prisoners and hospital patients, in search of psychological manipulation techniques. After the Church Committee hearings in the 1970s, MKUltra was confirmed through surviving documents. Lesson: When the state loses its moral compass, “national security” becomes a blank check for cruelty. 🪖 3. Operation Northwoods (1962) In a now-declassified plan, the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff proposed staging fake terrorist attacks — even on American soil — to blame Cuba and justify war. The proposal included hijackings and bombings. President Kennedy rejected the plan, but its existence is undeniable. Lesson: The idea of a “false flag” isn’t just the stuff of message boards — it once sat on a president’s desk. 🔍 4. COINTELPRO (1956–1971) The FBI’s Counterintelligence Program targeted civil rights leaders, antiwar activists, and political dissidents. Its mission: infiltrate, discredit, and destroy movements challenging government power. When activists broke into an FBI office in 1971 and leaked files, the nation learned the truth. Lesson: Even the protectors of liberty can become its greatest enemy when unchecked. 📰 5. Operation Mockingbird (Cold War era) During the Cold War, the CIA recruited journalists and funded media outlets to influence narratives worldwide. Claims that “the CIA controls the news” were ridiculed — until declassified documents and Senate investigations proved otherwise. Lesson: Propaganda doesn’t always wear a uniform; sometimes, it has a press pass. 🌧️ 6. Operation Popeye (1967–1972) During the Vietnam War, U.S. forces seeded clouds to induce rain, aiming to flood enemy supply routes along the Ho Chi Minh Trail. The operation was classified for decades, later confirmed by Pentagon records. Lesson: They really did try to control the weather — and succeeded, a little. 🚀 7. Operation Paperclip (1945–1959) After World War II, the U.S. secretly recruited over 1,600 German scientists — many of them ex-Nazis — to work on missile and space projects. Among them: Wernher von Braun, who later became a key architect of NASA’s Saturn V rocket. Lesson: Morality bowed to geopolitics. America chose Nazi expertise over Soviet advantage. 🧬 8. Guatemala Syphilis Experiment (1946–1948) Before Tuskegee ended, another secret experiment began: U.S. doctors infected Guatemalan prisoners and psychiatric patients with syphilis without consent. The atrocity remained hidden until 2010, when historian Susan Reverby uncovered the documents. Lesson: The pattern of deception wasn’t isolated — it was systemic. ⚓️ 9. Gulf of Tonkin Misrepresentation (1964) The Vietnam War escalated after reports that North Vietnamese boats attacked U.S. ships. Only decades later did declassified NSA files reveal the “second attack” never happened. Congress had been manipulated into granting war powers on false pretenses. Lesson: Governments lie to go to war. History keeps proving it. 🕉️ 10. The CIA’s Tibetan Program (1950s–1970s) During the Cold War, the CIA covertly funded Tibetan guerrillas to undermine Chinese control. For decades, this was denied. Declassified records later confirmed that the agency financed operations, supplied weapons, and even supported the Dalai Lama’s entourage. Lesson: Even spiritual liberation can be weaponized for geopolitics. ☢️ 11. Project Sunshine (1953–1960s) Rumors that scientists were stealing dead infants’ bones to study nuclear fallout sounded macabre — until true. The U.S. and U.K. governments collected human tissue samples, often without parental consent, to measure radioactive contamination. Lesson: “The greater good” can become the refuge of monsters when ethics are discarded. 🧪 12. Project 112 / SHAD (1962–1973) The U.S. military secretly tested biological and chemical agents on its own servicemen to study warfare readiness. The truth surfaced in the 1990s after veterans fell ill and demanded answers. Lesson: Patriotism didn’t protect soldiers from being used as test subjects. 🧩 What These “True Conspiracies” Have in Common Secrecy breeds abuse. Every one operated behind a curtain of classification and “need to know.” Whistleblowers and journalists matter. Without them, none of this would be known. Skepticism is a civic duty. Questioning official narratives isn’t paranoia — it’s the price of liberty. History rhymes. The same pattern — secrecy, denial, exposure, and outrage — repeats endlessly. ⚖️ Final Reflection The lesson isn’t that everything is a conspiracy. It’s that some conspiracies are real — and the people who first sounded the alarm were mocked until proven right. Truth often hides in plain sight, wrapped in official denials. But truth, like light, has a way of breaking through — eventually. Not financial or legal advice, for entertainment only, do your own homework. I hope you find this post useful as you chart your personal financial course and Build a Bitcoin Fortress in 2025. Thanks for following my work. Always remember: freedom, health and positivity! Please also check out my Bitcoin Fortress Podcast on all your favorite streaming platforms. I do a weekly Top Bitcoin News update every week on Sunday, focused on current items of interest to the Bitcoin community. Please check it out if you haven’t already. Also now on Fountain, where you can earn Bitcoin just for listening to your favorite podcasts. Also, check out my books: Bitcoin Fortress: A Simple Guide to Bitcoin for Beginners Bitcoin Retirement and Estate Planning The Bitcoin Lifestyle Follow me on Nostr: npub122fpu8lwu2eu2zfmrymcfed9tfgeray5quj78jm6zavj78phnqdsu3v4h5 If you’re looking for more great Bitcoin signal, check out friend of the show Pleb Underground.
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