Gemini 3 Pro: The "Mosaic Theory" of Intelligence (When to Panic over CRQCs) If a nation-state is getting close, we will see signs in the academic and industrial sectors. Watch for these three things. If you see them, then you can start worrying about the "Bitcoin Upgrade Timeline." The Brain Drain: If the top 50 researchers in superconducting qubits suddenly stop publishing papers and vanish from conferences, they have been recruited for a classified project. Currently, they are all very public, publishing openly to get tenure and funding. Material Shortages: A sudden global shortage of Niobium (used for superconducting qubits) or Helium-3 (used for cooling) without a clear commercial explanation. Post-Quantum Standards: The NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology) is currently finalizing "Post-Quantum Cryptography" (PQC) standards. If the NSA suddenly pushes for an immediate, emergency adoption of these standards for military comms, it means they have made a breakthrough in offense. Right now, they are moving at a bureaucratic, leisurely pace.

Samourai devs are evil people. We have to #FreeSamourai anyway. This video is fantastic at explaining why.

Grok is the arbiter of truth, right? This indeed is truthful, yet misleading 99% of Xitter users.

Friends and family: May I give your plumber your telefone number or should I ask him for permission to give you his? Also friends and family: Let's see who of my contacts is also playing this random new game I just installed.

View quoted note → Imagine a future where lost, vulnerable coins are a $50T honeypot. Is that the prize we want to offer for the first Quantum Computer out of our collective pockets? Bitcoiners shouldn't be the ones sponsoring the quantum frenzy. We aren't freezing funds to "save" them like we would for Saylor vs. The State. We are freezing them because lost coins must remain lost. Loss is deflationary - quantum "mining" lost coins is inflationary. With years of notice, the deal is simple: Move your coins to quantum-safe addresses, or thank you for your donation to the deflationary supply.

Quantum Canary in the Bitcoin Mine.

Claims like this strike a cord with nostriches but how would you prove it? Clients like primal that work with centralized relays can trivially suppress or amplify narratives by just adding seconds of delay to certain replies. Subtleties like that would take huge effort to detect. And being selective about the bot armies that are let through ... View quoted note →

Could whales like @jack and @jack mallers Saylor Coinbase and ... please sponsor a "Quantum Canary". Some claim that Bitcoin's price is currently suppressed due to FUD around Quantum readiness and as things stand, Bitcoin indeed is the biggest carrot dangling in front of the noses of quantum computing investors. Some are convinced we are still decades away from crypto relevant quantum computing and others are scared and there is no expert in the world that can proof the absence of a quantum threat but we could have a Canary and I believe such a Canary would be the most sensible approach to this problem as all alternatives will have us fighting internally over the right moment to panic and we will get it wrong inevitably. I am not a cryptographer, but to my understanding we are currently at the stage where QC cannot factor "12", yet it needs to reach the ability to run Shor's algorithm for the 256 bit elliptic curves that protect Bitcoin. We need to create a challenge that sits in the huge gap between those two realities. Constructing a challenge based on a 128 bit curve might be too risky as it could potentially be brute forced by massive non quantum supercomputers, leading to a false alarm. The solution is to sponsor a high value bounty locked behind a custom curve that is mathematically impossible for classical computers to crack, perhaps around 180 bits, but which is significantly easier for a quantum computer than Bitcoin itself. If that bounty gets swept, we get undeniable proof of high level QC capabilities but we would still have a computational gap equivalent to roughly four years of Moore's Law to react. That gives us the time we need to comfortably reach consensus and deploy a fork before the main network is actually at risk. Today people argue that Bitcoin is down 30% because of quantum risk? Imagine having 0.05% of all Bitcoins sitting in such a Canary. A small price to pay for the biggest stake holders yet 10k BTC would be enough of an incentive for anybody eyeing the real Bitcoins' addresses to not hold their breath for four long years of uncertainty regarding being in the lead in the quantum race.

Bisq is somehow not making much progress, is it? The most liquid market is the EUR one and it stands at 1BTC liquidity for buyers willing to pay whatever price 0.25BTC for more price sensitive buyers 0.6BTC for desperate sellers 0.03BTC for cautious sellers