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McCoy
McCoy@primal.net
npub18y33...x5t7
Bitcoin NOSTR block 768722
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
✅Information wants to be free ✅High quality digital information *finds a way* to be free ✅AI models are digital information ✅AI companies are worth trillions....really? ✅What am I missing here?
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
Saving in hard money without permission for my future self. Meanwhile... Degens buying a tokenize IPO promise of a paper promise, of a space/AI datacenter product that is at best decades away 🤡 show
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
SPCX *insiders* will be dumping on normies for months/years It has arrived: IPO Rug Summer
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
"Okay, so let me tell you what I actually think is happening. The Fiat Ponzi, the one running since 1971, the infinite debt machine, the petrodollar system that requires a constant expansion to not collapse. It always needs a new face, a new story, a new thing to sell retail. The people that makes the insiders liquid before anyone finds out the numbers don't work. In 2000, the face was dot coms, companies with no revenue, no path to revenue, astronomical valuations, it all sounds familiar, and an exit window that closed in about 18 months. In 2007, the face was mortgage-backed securities, bundles of loans that nobody fully understood, rated AAA by people who were paid to rate them, AAA, sold to pension funds and retirees who had no idea what they owned. Today, the face is AI and rockets and trillion-dollar valuations on companies that lose $11 billion a quarter with confidential S-1 filings stacked up like planes waiting to land at LaGuardia. And the live act opens Friday morning. The S&P 500 is roughly 45% AI adjacent at this point. Semis are 30% of the NASDAQ. And the CAPE ratio, the measure of how expensive the market is versus historical earnings, is sitting at 42.32. For reference, the dot-com peak was around 44. We're parked in a lawn chair directly next to it. And the insiders, they know. They filed the early lockup release. They engineered the float multiplier. They got the rules changed at NASDAQ. The SpaceX IPO is not a space story. It's a liquidity exit. The most sophisticated one I think I may have seen in my lifetime so far. And it opens Friday. Here's what I keep coming back to. The Ponzi needed one more act. It got one. Three of them. Actually, in two weeks in sequence. And Bitcoin, three cycles in a row, told you something was off before anyone else did." -Rustin, Bitcoin Simply
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
Work to avoid force selling. Earn more than you spend. Hoard difference in bitcoin without permission. Spend (wisely) without permission. Opt out. Refuse to use their money. Everything else is noise.
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
If you remove the fraud, you launch a deflationary spiral - Jeff Booth
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McCoy 2 weeks ago
Ignore the noise, focus on the numbers: $39T debt $1.9T deficit 10Y yields: 4.5% 21 million
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McCoy 3 weeks ago
Best money wins There will be a winner Now is the time to lay your bets Fiat based investiments are the ponzi
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McCoy 3 weeks ago
F-the 58k gang, bottom is in
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McCoy 3 weeks ago
Maple AI: zcash.... This is one of Zcash's core tensions: **the same cryptography that hides transaction amounts also makes it impossible to directly audit balances inside shielded pools.** Here's how verification works—and where its limits are: ## How Supply Is Verified: The Turnstile Zcash uses **turnstile accounting** across its value pools (Transparent, Sprout, Sapling, Orchard, and Lockbox). The idea is simple: - **Entry is visible:** All ZEC enters the shielded pools from transparent addresses or mining rewards (public amounts) - **Exit is visible:** When ZEC leaves a shielded pool for a transparent address, the amount is revealed - **The turnstile calculates:** Expected pool balance = (total in) − (total out) Anyone running a Zcash node can check this via `getblockchaininfo` (look for the `valuePools` field). Third-party sites like **zcha.in** also monitor these balances. ## The Catch: Hidden Intermediate States The turnstile only verifies **net flows** across pool boundaries. **Inside** a shielded pool, transactions are hidden by zk-SNARKs. This means: - ✅ You can verify the *total* supply isn't inflated (no extra ZEC entered the system) - ❌ You **cannot cryptographically prove** that coins *inside* the pool weren't counterfeited via a circuit bug ## Real-World Example: The June 2026 Orchard Bug This limitation just made headlines. A soundness bug was found in the Orchard shielded pool circuit (discovered late May, patched June 2–3, 2026). The Zcash Foundation confirmed: - The turnstile showed **no net inflation** of total ZEC supply - However, because Orchard hides amounts, **there is no way to cryptographically prove** whether counterfeit coins were created *inside* the pool before the fix This created an "auditability paradox" that contributed to a ~31% price crash—even after the bug was patched. ## Proposed Fix **Shielded Labs** has proposed a network upgrade that would: - Deploy a new shielded pool - Route **all coins exiting Orchard** through enforced turnstile accounting - Let anyone independently verify no counterfeiting occurred This must pass Zcash governance before activation. ## Bottom Line Users can verify the *global* supply cap through turnstiles, but **cannot audit the integrity of specific shielded pool internals** if a zero-knowledge circuit bug exists. Privacy and complete auditability are fundamentally in tension.
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McCoy 3 weeks ago
Maple AI estimate of Total global sovereign issuance 10y gov bonds: Including (OECD + emerging markets) is likely in the $18–$22 trillion per year range recently. The 10-year tenor is typically one of the most liquid benchmark maturities. If it represents roughly 15–25% of total sovereign issuance by volume (a rough industry heuristic, not a hard statistic), that would imply: ~$2.5–$5 trillion per year globally for 10-year government bonds ~$200–$450 billion per month on average
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McCoy 0 months ago
#deck -life almost done Summer is near image