Medium

the_modl: Modeling Bitcoins Value with Nature’s Growth Patterns

„All models are wrong – some are useful“ [1] … connecting them might be brilliant.

new model

Introducing the_modl for #Bitcoin: „Vast Majority of Retail Investors in Bitcoin Lost Money, BIS says“ (Bloomberg 11/15/2022) Over an investment period of more than four years, #Bitcoin - as of 2023 - has always been profitable so far. 👀 So why are they losing money? There are hundreds of sophisticated models for pricing Bitcoin. And still, crypto traders were destroying their accounts by taking too much risk at the top. The drawdowns in a bear market can be 90%, so the investment result for the best time of a purchase exceeds that of the worst by a factor of about 10. What is missing? A model with precise projections for the price of #Bitcoin over time. the_modl tries to predict it by „Modeling #Bitcoins Value with Nature's Growth Patterns“ on a price/time scale. Why? Because most of the market participants are still human or dependent on human interaction. What I have found is notable: #Bitcoin follows exact routines, which could be traded very profitably. the_modl offers price zones for bottoms in a bear market for the present and next cycle, as well as targets based on time or price for intermediate rallies or real bull runs. Medium article:

Medium

the_modl: Modeling Bitcoins Value with Nature’s Growth Patterns

„All models are wrong – some are useful“ [1] … connecting them might be brilliant.