I’m a long-time veteran of financial markets, worked at a top-10 Investment firm for over a decade, was adept with a Bloomberg terminal back in the ‘90’s when there was no other “fast news”, yadda yadda.
I’ve mused here on Nostr about how long-term Volume and Price have disconnected very markedly since the months before the ETFs came into play - and how that, to my mind, is clear proof of the growth of a true “paper Bitcoin” market (i.e. not just buying directed toward Bitcoin Treasury Companies). And it seems this disconnect is being noticed now other places as well.
Yet there’s another thing that I still can’t wrap my head around:
Where are all the non-Wall Street buyers of Bitcoin?
Bitcoin continues to flirt with, and print, all-time highs, yet the Bitcoin market predictably goes to sleep during European, Mid-Eastern and Asian trading hours. And weekends are so devoid of spot-trading you can spot each weekend by eye on a daily chart. Whatever Institutional trading has taken root here in America, it is not reflected in any way outside.
Are ATHs going unnoticed, having no influence, outside of America?
Or is paper-trading far, far more rampant in foreign markets?
Are foreign companies, institutions and wealth funds NOT interested in accumulating spot-market Bitcoin?
Bitcoin would seem to be in a bear market still, looked at from a global perspective. Except that Price shows more active buying than Selling. So where is the Volume?
This is the strangest Bull Market I’ve ever witnessed. Especially in an asset that has experienced more Bull Markets than any in human history.
What is happening in Bitcoin right now is without precedent. Just as the previous bull-market was ‘wonky’, this one is clearly a new trajectory. And that’s a good thing. I’ve said in the past that predictable cycles were not healthy in any asset, and to expect Bitcoin to break those.
At any rate, I can say for certain that I will not be convinced this Bull-run is over until we see continued huge volume surges happening during global-exchange hours.
And its likely when that happens, paper Bitcoin on American exchanges will become an exciting learning lesson for all who don’t understand Self-Custody.
