therationalroot's avatar
therationalroot
therationalroot@nostr.directory
npub1r00t...sqe8
#Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analysis. Signal only. Follow the carrot down the rabbit hole.
On-chain value map: heavy overvalued now at $130k and rising. #Bitcoin image
The current situation best mimics the rallies of the 2nd Halving, both in price and MVRV score. #Bitcoin image
The recent peak of capital net inflow to #Bitcoin is similar to early rallies of 2016: a peak followed by an intermission, with the price managing to stay above key levels like the STH cost basis. image
STH cost basis at an ATH of $60.7k and bounced off strong. #Bitcoin image
Chart highlights the age of spent volume in the current drawdown: -2020 bull market participants who held through the bear and are now locking in profits. -Buyers from the 2022 bear market bottom now realizing substantial gains. #Bitcoin image
Due to the Halving, #Bitcoin's annual inflation will drop to ~0.8% over the coming year. Meanwhile, the M2 money supply will likely return to its 7% average. image
ETFs Update: Net inflow 932 #BTC (69% lower than average since launch). - Reduced outflows from Grayscale, - Reduced inflows into other ETFs. image
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