therationalroot's avatar
therationalroot
therationalroot@nostr.directory
npub1r00t...sqe8
#Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analysis. Signal only. Follow the carrot down the rabbit hole.
The 4-year cycle, incl. realized price (dotted lines), aligned by today's date. #Bitcoin image
We're in the "Are the ETFs and Halving priced in" phase. #Bitcoin image
Bitcoin's 15-Year Anniversary! Only one higher close (by a small margin). image
What's the most likely inflow of capital into Bitcoin? $300B, 1% of combined AUM from ETFs. $800B, equal in size to the current Market Cap. $1.7T, 1% of global highly liquid capital. #Bitcoin ๐Ÿงต image
The current rally โ€” over 0.5 standard deviations from the short-term holder cost basis โ€” is comparable to other pre-halving rallies (marked by blue arrows). #Bitcoin ๐Ÿงต image
Once again, #Bitcoin back at fair value preceding the Halving. ๐Ÿงต image
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