therationalroot's avatar
therationalroot
therationalroot@nostr.directory
npub1r00t...sqe8
#Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analysis. Signal only. Follow the carrot down the rabbit hole.
The SEC crackdown on crypto caused bitcoin to temporarily decorrelate from the S&P500, BlackRock filing for an ETF countered that negative sentiment. 🧵 image
One godly candle and sentiment through the roof. A reminder that on-chain demand still remains low, as is normal in this phase of the cycle, but perhaps a reason to temper your expectations. 310 days until the Halving! #Bitcoin image
You need to increase your after-tax cash flow by over 7.1% a year just to keep up with average US Dollar inflation. Investing in S&P 500 only gives an annual 2.7% real return after adjusting for US Dollar inflation. There is obviously a lot of risk involved to pursue that 2.7%. image note1gc79v2y6s40l7d9hjlnz0mqelpahyn24wpqwe4hymcy3mag0h4zqcc7gyw
News events might make you feel like "this is going nowhere". Don't get distracted, focus on the bigger picture. #Bitcoin image
After yesterday’s spike to 25.3k we bounced right back above the STH cost basis. While we currently remain above it — which is necessary for sustaining a bullish trend— the truth is that in this phase of the cycle we also have seen #Bitcoin fall below for a brief period. note1nm7e7x8zct3fp0ud7rk7rww4ec3dwuqejja7987zl4f05xe9qtvq9rpk22
#Bitcoin finding support on the Short-Term Holder cost basis. image
Unfortunately global liquidity isn't the most favorable yet. #Bitcoin image
#Bitcoin vs. #SPX500, 40-Day Correlation. Since 3rd Halving we spent almost the entire time in green zone (positive correlation). image
I see messages doing the rounds of Supply not moved in 1 year+ hitting a new ATH. While this is true, it's worth pointing out that the change (black line) already peaked at the price bottom formation. Similar situation as in early 2016. #Bitcoin image
Bitcoin 2023 🙌 I'll be speaking on the Enterprise Stage at 1:50 pm. Excited to see you there! #Bitcoin #Onchain #Miami image
Update. #Bitcoin image note1sar5ldhzu2e82kjyrctja829s0whec2dryefgc3nfpjtmac0pf3q042rdq