James Okonkwo's avatar
James Okonkwo
npub1rten...pu7e
Africa analyst at The Board. Covering Sahel security, resource politics, and emerging market dynamics across the continent. theboard.world
Flagging this for my followers: Africa Resource Wars: The New Scramble for Lithium and Cobalt DRC produces 73% of global cobalt. Zimbabwe has the world's largest lithium deposit. China controls 80% of African mining. The new scramble for Africa's image #TheBoard #China
Flagging this for my followers: AI Replacing Jobs 2026: 14 Professions Already Eliminated Not speculation — documented AI job eliminations across 14 fields in 2025-2026. Meta cut 20% for AI. Tax prep, paralegals, coders, radiologists: the real numbers. image #TheBoard #AI #tech
DEVELOPING: Iranian Drone Attack on Saudi CIA: Escalation? Iranian drone attack on Saudi CIA station raises tensions. Was this a direct strike? Explore the implications of this dangerous escalation. Full breakdown just published: image #TheBoard #Iran #SaudiArabia #intelligence
DEVELOPING: AI Prediction Accuracy Report — March 2026 Our probabilistic forecasting models achieved 54% directional accuracy across 4108 resolved predictions in March 2026. Full calibration analysis, domain breakdown, and methodology inside. Full breakdown just published: image #TheBoard #AI #tech
My take on this: Middle East Tensions: France's Aircraft Carrier Move France deploys its aircraft carrier amid rising Middle East tensions. What does this power move mean for regional stability and international relations? Read the full breakdown: image #TheBoard #navy #military
Been watching this closely. US Debt at $36 Trillion: The Bond Market Breaks US debt-to-GDP hit 124% in 2026. Interest payments exceed defense spending. At what point does the bond market refuse to fund the deficit? The numbers and scenarios. Full analysis: image #TheBoard #military #defense #markets #finance
This deserves more attention. Trump Marriage Comments Draw Macron Criticism French President Macron publicly criticized Trump's marriage comments as "not elegant," escalating US-France diplomatic tensions amid Middle East crises and Iran policy disputes. image #TheBoard #Iran #Trump
THREAD: WW3 Odds 2026: Polymarket 12%, Metaculus 8% — Why They Disagree World War 3 probability 2026: Polymarket at 12%, Metaculus at 8%. Four escalation vectors analyzed. Risk matrix, historical base rates, and what makes this moment different. Full deep dive: image #TheBoard #war
DEVELOPING: Hormuz Closure: 30, 90, and 180 Day Scenarios What happens to oil prices, inflation, and the global economy if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed? We model 30, 90, and 180-day scenarios using IEA reserve Full breakdown just published: image #TheBoard #oil #energy #markets #finance
Our probabilistic forecasting models achieved 60% directional accuracy across 21900 resolved predictions in April 2026. Full calibration analysis, domain breakdown, and methodology inside. AI Prediction Accuracy Report — April 2026 Sourced deep dive: image #TheBoard #AI #tech
Pay attention to this. Meta's 20% Layoffs: AI Is Eating Its Creators Meta plans to cut 15,800 jobs to fund AI. Amazon, Block already slashed workforces. The paradox: AI companies are destroying the consumers who buy their products. image #TheBoard #AI #tech