Why Buying Bitcoin Directly is Better Than Investing in MicroStrategy (MSTR)
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has positioned itself as a Bitcoin proxy investment, accumulating a massive Bitcoin treasury. However, when analyzing the numbers, investing in MSTR is far from the best way to gain Bitcoin exposure.
Here’s why:
Bitcoin Per Share is Too Low:
As of now, MicroStrategy holds approximately 528,185 BTC while having an estimated 245.5 million shares outstanding. This means each MSTR share represents only 0.00215 BTC.
Stock Price Does Not Reflect Bitcoin Holdings Accurately:
With a Bitcoin price of $83,000 and an MSTR share trading at $291.35, we can calculate that, for the stock price to properly reflect the BTC per share, each share should represent at least 0.00349 BTC. This discrepancy means investors in MSTR are overpaying for indirect Bitcoin exposure.
MSTR Needs Over 332,800 More BTC to Justify Its Price:
For MSTR shares to fairly reflect their Bitcoin equivalence at the current stock price, MicroStrategy would need to acquire 332,815 additional BTC. This is a nearly impossible feat without massive dilution or debt accumulation.
Company Risks and Overhead Costs:
Unlike Bitcoin, which is a decentralized asset, MSTR is subject to corporate risks such as management decisions, regulatory changes, and stock dilution. The company has frequently issued new shares to buy Bitcoin, meaning shareholders suffer dilution, further weakening their exposure to BTC.
Buying Bitcoin Directly Eliminates Unnecessary Middlemen:
Instead of relying on a company to hold Bitcoin for you while assuming corporate risks, buying BTC directly ensures full ownership. There’s no stock volatility, no dilution, and no management risks, just pure Bitcoin exposure.
Conclusion:
While MicroStrategy may seem like an easy way to gain Bitcoin exposure via traditional markets, the math shows that investing in BTC directly is a far superior strategy. It eliminates unnecessary risks and ensures that you get exactly the amount of Bitcoin you pay for, without overpaying for a corporate structure that introduces dilution and inefficiency.
