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Michael Wilkins
thebitcointransition@primal.net
npub1qhfq...ruvy
Founder, Involve Digital. Founder, The Bitcoin Transition. Focused on sound money, incentives, and systems. Bitcoin as a monetary protocol, not a speculative asset. Exploring how hard money shapes technology, productivity, and long-term human progress.
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Most so-called “crypto educators” are not teaching you how to make money. They don’t even understand the definition of money. They are teaching speculation. Usually in the shitcoin casino. Trading systems, indicators, cycles, narratives. All framed around one goal: increasing a fiat balance. That is not making money. That is chasing units of account that lose purchasing power. Speculation is a zero-sum game. For every winner, there is a loser. No new value is created. No productivity is improved. Only risk is redistributed. Bitcoin was not designed for this. Bitcoin is a monetary protocol, not a trading instrument. It does not generate yield. It does not compound. It does not promise returns. Its function is simple: – fixed supply – predictable issuance – final settlement – ownership without permission When Bitcoin is treated as a vehicle for fiat gains, it becomes misunderstood. When it is treated as money, its purpose becomes clear. Educating people to trade Bitcoin keeps them trapped in the same system Bitcoin was designed to exit. Educating people to earn, save, self-custody, and spend Bitcoin changes behaviour. That distinction matters. If your framework requires charts, leverage, or timing to “win,” you are not teaching money. You are teaching speculation. Bitcoin is not a get-rich-quick scheme. It is a tool for preserving the value of human time and energy over long horizons. Anything else is noise. #Bitcoin #Trading #Speculation
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Recent headlines about BlackRock allocating billions to Bitcoin often miss a critical detail. It is not BlackRock buying Bitcoin. It is BlackRock’s customers buying and selling exposure through an ETF. BlackRock acts as the issuer, custodian coordinator, and fee collector. They clip the ticket regardless of direction. This matters because ETFs are not Bitcoin ownership. They are financial products that track Bitcoin’s price while reintroducing intermediaries, custody, legal reliance, and counterparty risk. As capital flows through ETFs: • Users gain price exposure, not settlement finality • Bitcoin becomes abstracted into shares and claims • Ownership shifts from keys to paperwork This is how paperisation begins. Not through malice, but through structure. Self-custody exists to prevent this outcome. When you self-custody Bitcoin: • You hold the private keys • You do not rely on audits, custodians, or legal promises • Your Bitcoin cannot be rehypothecated or frozen ETFs increase liquidity and visibility. That is not inherently bad. But they do not strengthen Bitcoin as money. Bitcoin’s purpose is not to sit inside financial wrappers. It is to enable sovereign ownership and final settlement without permission. Institutions will always choose custody and abstraction. Individuals still have a choice. As institutional exposure grows, self-custody becomes more important, not less. Bitcoin remains trustless. Whether you use it that way is up to you. https://www.perplexity.ai/page/blackrock-pours-1-24b-into-cry-0ds_Y1WLTeuSALw3xB2R5A #Bitcoin #SelfCustody #BitcoinPaperisation
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Freezing Prices Is Not Fixing Costs Freezing rail fares does not tackle the cost of living. It freezes a symptom while the cause continues. The cost of living rises when the unit of account loses purchasing power. Transport, food, housing and energy do not become expensive in isolation. They rise together because money is diluted. A price freeze shifts costs, it does not remove them. If fares are held below market clearing levels, the difference is paid elsewhere: – higher taxes – higher debt – lower service quality – deferred maintenance Nothing is made cheaper. The bill is simply hidden. Real cost reduction comes from productivity and sound capital allocation. That requires stable money. Without it, governments are forced into constant intervention to mask decline. Temporary controls create the appearance of relief. They do not restore purchasing power. The cost of living crisis is not a rail problem. It is a monetary problem. Until the currency stops losing value, freezes and subsidies will continue — and they will continue to fail. image
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
After 10+ years and 30,000+ hours of studying the history of money, monetary failures, hard money systems, Austrian economics, and Bitcoin, a few conclusions become unavoidable. Money is not created by decree. It emerges as a coordination tool. Societies converge on the hardest available money because it best preserves time, labour, and energy. Throughout history, money has followed a pattern: • Collectible goods become media of exchange. • The most durable, scarce, and verifiable forms outcompete the rest. • States later monopolise issuance. • Debasement follows. • Trust erodes. • The system resets. This cycle has repeated for thousands of years. Gold was not chosen because it was shiny. It was chosen because it was hard to produce, difficult to counterfeit, and costly to debase. Those properties constrained rulers and protected savers. The abandonment of hard money did not happen because it “failed.” It happened because it limited political spending. Fiat currency is not money in the historical sense. It is a credit instrument backed by future taxation and enforced by law. Its supply must expand to service the debt it creates. This is not a flaw. It is the design. Credit creation changes behaviour. New money enters the economy through specific channels: • Governments • Banks • Asset markets Those closest to issuance benefit first. Those furthest away pay through rising prices and declining purchasing power. Productivity gains no longer flow primarily to savers or workers. They are absorbed by asset inflation. This is why wages lag prices. This is why savings no longer work. This is why speculation outcompetes production. Austrian economics does not oppose growth. It explains growth. Real growth comes from: • Capital accumulation • Productivity improvements • Time preference discipline Hard money forces growth to appear as falling prices and rising purchasing power, not monetary expansion. Under sound money, progress benefits everyone. Under fiat money, progress is unevenly distributed. Bitcoin is not an innovation in finance. It is an innovation in monetary integrity. Bitcoin did not invent scarcity. It enforced it digitally, without trust. Bitcoin is: • Fixed in supply • Permissionless • Verifiable by anyone • Independent of political systems It does not promise yield. It does not promise returns. It does not guarantee adoption. It simply removes monetary discretion. Bitcoin does not succeed because its fiat price rises. Its fiat price rises because fiat units lose purchasing power and more fiat flows into a fixed system. Price is not value. Value is preserved purchasing power over time. Bitcoin exposes this distinction. Most confusion comes from mixing frameworks: • Treating Bitcoin as an investment instead of money • Measuring success in fiat terms • Expecting monetary neutrality from a debt-based system Paper Bitcoin, custodial claims, ETFs, and derivatives reintroduce the very trust Bitcoin was designed to remove. They may increase liquidity and price discovery, but they weaken monetary sovereignty. Self-custody matters. Running a node matters. Using Bitcoin matters. Money that is not used eventually becomes controlled. The long arc is clear: • Fiat systems require perpetual expansion. • Expansion erodes trust. • Trust loss drives capital toward harder money. This is not ideological. It is structural. Bitcoin is not a revolution. It is a reversion. A return to money that cannot be altered, censored, or debased. Whether it succeeds depends not on price, institutions, or narratives, but on whether people choose to use it as money. Hard constraints produce honest systems. Honest systems produce long-term progress. That is the conclusion. #Bitcoin #AustrianEconomics #HistoryOfMoney #Money
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Bitcoin’s design assumes personal responsibility. Self-custody is not a preference. It is a requirement of the system. When Bitcoin is held through an intermediary, ownership becomes conditional. Access depends on policy, solvency, and permission. The holder no longer controls settlement. They hold a claim, not the asset itself. This recreates the structure Bitcoin was designed to remove. Self-custody restores finality. If you control the keys, you control the bitcoin. No counterparty is required to approve, reverse, or honour the transaction. Running a node completes this. A node does not create Bitcoin. It verifies it. By running a node, you independently enforce the rules you rely on. You decide what is valid. You do not outsource consensus to miners, exchanges, ETFs, or developers. Without nodes, Bitcoin becomes a set of promises rather than a protocol. Verification is the separation of Bitcoin from trust. Paper Bitcoin emerges when verification is abandoned. ETFs, custodial accounts, treasury vehicles, and synthetic exposure all increase price exposure while reducing monetary integrity. They concentrate coins, fragment ownership, and introduce leverage. More claims are created than bitcoin available for settlement. This is how gold was neutralised. It is how fiat systems are maintained. Paper markets suppress volatility until they fail. When confidence breaks, claims exceed reserves and settlement becomes impossible. The underlying asset survives. The claims do not. Bitcoin resists this only if users do. Self-custody prevents rehypothecation. Nodes prevent rule changes by decree. Usage prevents capture. Bitcoin does not need institutional endorsement to function. It needs individuals who verify and settle honestly. Hard money only works if it is used as hard money. Everything else is convenience layered on top of risk. The protocol is simple. The responsibility is not optional. #Bitcoin #SelfCustody #NodeRunner
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Britain’s national debt is approaching £3 trillion and is projected to rise well beyond that in the coming years. Debt interest alone is expected to rival or exceed core public services such as defence and education. This is not an accident. It is the predictable outcome of a debt-based monetary system. In fiat systems, deficits are not treated as constraints. They are treated as tools. When spending exceeds revenue, governments borrow. When borrowing grows too large, currencies are expanded to service the debt. The cost is shifted from the balance sheet to the currency. Austrian economics explains this clearly. Debt does not create growth. It reallocates future purchasing power to the present. When borrowing becomes structural rather than temporary, it distorts incentives. Capital flows toward politically favoured spending rather than productive investment. Real wages stagnate. Asset prices rise. Living costs increase faster than incomes. Rising debt interest is the signal that the system is tightening. More resources are required just to maintain past promises. Less capital is available for innovation, productivity, and real growth. The result is higher taxes, higher inflation, or both. This is why unemployment rises even as governments spend more. This is why living standards fall despite record budgets. Hard money systems behave differently. When money cannot be expanded at will, debt must be justified by real returns. Bad investments fail quickly. Capital is allocated more carefully. Growth comes from productivity, not leverage. Bitcoin exists outside this framework. It has no issuer. It cannot be borrowed into existence. Its supply does not expand to service political promises. #Bitcoin does not fix government debt. It exposes it. As sovereign debt grows, the demand for money that cannot be debased increases. That demand is not ideological. It is economic. This is the function of hard money. Not to create growth, but to measure it honestly. When the measuring stick stops shrinking, the problem becomes visible. https://www.perplexity.ai/page/britain-s-national-debt-set-to-9M2jPgf9QKakBxT16d3KYQ
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Price is not value. Price is an expression in a unit of account. Value is purchasing power over time. When the unit of account weakens, prices rise even if nothing real has changed. This is not growth. It is dilution. Fiat currencies expand by design. As supply increases, each unit represents less claim on real goods and services. Prices adjust upward to reflect this loss. Wages lag prices because wages are reactive, not instant. They are renegotiated periodically. Prices reprice continuously. The gap is the hidden tax paid by labour. This is why people feel poorer even when GDP rises and salaries increase. The measuring stick is shrinking faster than income adjusts. Hard money exposes this reality. When the monetary unit does not expand, value shows up as: • Falling prices • Higher quality • Increased purchasing power Productivity is no longer masked by monetary debasement. Progress becomes visible instead of distorted. Bitcoin does not make things more expensive. It makes the currency honest. Price fluctuates. Value is preserved. Confusing the two leads to false conclusions. #Bitcoin #HardMoney #Finance #Value #FiatCurrencies
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
A new year is a natural reset. People set goals. They reassess what matters. They decide where to direct their time, energy, and effort. This makes it a good moment to think about money. Money is not wealth. It is a tool for measuring and storing the value you create. When the measuring stick is unstable, effort is distorted. Productivity is punished. Long-term thinking becomes difficult. For decades, most people have been forced to trade their time for a currency that loses purchasing power by design. The result is predictable: higher risk, more speculation, less saving, and constant pressure to chase returns just to stand still. Hard money changes the incentive structure. When money holds its value: • Saving becomes rational. • Long-term planning becomes possible. • Productivity is rewarded instead of diluted. Bitcoin represents this shift. Not as a get-rich-quick scheme. Not as a trade. Not as a yield product. But as a fixed-supply monetary system with no issuer, no discretion, and no need for trust. In a Bitcoin standard, progress shows up differently. Not primarily through rising prices, but through: • Falling costs • Better tools • Higher quality • More efficient coordination The goal isn’t to “number go up.” The goal is to produce more value with less waste, and store that value honestly. As this year begins, the question isn’t: “How do I make more money?” It’s: “What am I building?” “What value am I creating?” “And what money do I store that value in?” Hard money rewards patience. It rewards discipline. It rewards real work. That is a good foundation for any year ahead. #Bitcoin #NewYear #Productivity #ValueCreation
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Over the past few days, I’ve been involved in a long debate about #Bitcoin, #money, and #economic growth. Below summarises the debate outside of the comments we have had back and forth. What became clear is that most disagreements about Bitcoin are not really about Bitcoin. They are about which economic framework you start from. Two schools of thought Most modern economics taught in universities today is derived from Keynesian and neo-Keynesian models. In this framework: • Money is a policy tool. • Credit expansion is necessary for growth. • Debt is not a problem if it funds activity. • Inflation is tolerated, even encouraged, to stimulate spending. • Economic health is measured primarily through GDP. Within this model, a fixed supply monetary system looks dangerous. If money cannot expand, the assumption is that growth will stall, liquidity will dry up, and the system will collapse under its own weight. This is why many people instinctively conclude that Bitcoin “cannot work” as money. There is another school of thought, often referred to as classical or Austrian economics, which starts from different assumptions. This is where Bitcoiners sit. In this framework: • Money is a measuring tool, not a control mechanism. •Growth comes from productivity, innovation, and efficient coordination of capital. • Credit should emerge from real savings, not monetary expansion. • Inflation distorts price signals and transfers wealth. • Falling prices due to productivity are a feature, not a failure. From this perspective, a fixed or hard monetary base is not a limitation. It is a discipline. Why universities teach what they teach Modern states operate on debt-based monetary systems. Governments, banks, and institutions depend on the ability to expand the money supply. It is therefore not surprising that: • Economic models that justify managed money dominate academia. • Models that limit state discretion are treated as historical or impractical. • Monetary failure is usually framed as “policy error,” not systemic design. This doesn’t require malice or conspiracy. Systems tend to teach what sustains them. Historical evidence is often misread Empires did not collapse because money was “too hard.” They collapsed because money was debased. • Rome did not fall under a fixed monetary system. It progressively reduced silver content in its coinage to fund military and state spending. Trust eroded, prices rose, and economic coordination broke down. • Weimar Germany did not fail due to hard money, but due to rapid monetary expansion to service war debts. • Zimbabwe did not collapse because of sanctions alone. Monetary issuance was used to paper over structural collapse, destroying the currency. • Time and again, monetary expansion is used as a short-term solution that creates long-term instability. Hard money systems did not “fail.” They were abandoned when political constraints became inconvenient. Where Bitcoin fits Bitcoin does not ban credit. It bans base-layer monetary manipulation. Its base layer is slow by design because it prioritises final settlement, not throughput. This is not new. Gold functioned the same way for centuries. Higher layers always emerged on top of sound settlement layers. Bitcoin separates: • Money from policy • Settlement from payments • Value storage from discretionary issuance When people argue that Bitcoin must adopt inflation, tail emissions, or permanent issuance to “support growth,” they are assuming growth must come from monetary expansion. Bitcoin challenges that assumption. It forces growth to come from: • Better coordination • Better incentives • Better productivity Why the disagreement persists If you believe: • Money must be managed • Growth requires issuance • Stability comes from flexibility Bitcoin looks flawed. If you believe: • Money should constrain power • Growth should reflect reality • Stability comes from rules Bitcoin looks inevitable. This is not a debate about intelligence, credentials, or good intentions. It is a debate about what money is allowed to do. Bitcoin did not create this disagreement. It simply made it impossible to ignore.
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Michael Wilkins 8 months ago
Most of the world prices goods, services, and labour in fiat terms. As the currency supply expands, prices rise. Wages lag behind. The gap widens over time. This distorts the concept of fair value. People trade finite time and energy for a unit that steadily loses purchasing power. The loss is not always visible, but it is cumulative. Productivity improves, technology advances, yet the currency measures less of both. Price inflation is often blamed on greed or shortages. In reality, much of it is a reflection of the measuring unit deteriorating. #Bitcoin exposes this distortion. When Bitcoin is used purely as a store of value after converting from fiat, it is treated as an investment. That is a rational response within a fiat system, but it is not the full design intent. Bitcoin was not created to be a speculative asset. It was created to be a stable monetary unit. When value is stored in a unit that does not dilute, prices fall as productivity improves. Purchasing power rises without requiring higher nominal wages. Fair value re-emerges because the measuring stick remains constant. The distinction matters. If Bitcoin is only bought with fiat and never earned or spent, it behaves like an asset. If Bitcoin is earned, saved, and spent, it functions as money. This is why circular economies matter. Not for ideology, but for measurement. Fair value cannot exist when the unit of account is unstable. Sound money is not about getting rich. It is about preserving time, energy, and truth in pricing. Bitcoin makes that possible.
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Michael Wilkins 9 months ago
Lately I’ve been thinking about how unhealthy most social platforms have become. X gets all the attention for being toxic, but truthfully the rot is everywhere. X is designed to keep you in a loop of negativity. Outrage, fear, conflict, repeat.. and when it’s not that, it’s hype boys from fintwit promoting some bullshit trading strategy. Instagram is the opposite flavour of the same problem. Endless perfection theatre. Everyone pretending their life is perfect when everyone secretly knows it is not. The whole thing is one big performance to protect the illusion. LinkedIn might actually be the worst. A never-ending wall of corporate circle jerking, humble-brags, fake success stories and people clapping for themselves in the hope others clap back. Steven Bartlett, seems to be the ring leader here. It is less a professional network and more an attention marketplace where authenticity quietly goes to die. Not to mention Facebook is just a digital retirement village these days. Boomers talking about their all-inclusive cruises, funded by inflated property prices and the distortions of the fiat clown world. A place where yesterday’s economic luck gets paraded as personal brilliance. TikTok. YouTube. All of them run the same playbook. They do not optimise for connection, truth, or human wellbeing. They optimise for whatever keeps you scrolling long enough to show you another advert. That is the business model. That is the incentive structure. That is the problem. People aren’t broken. The platforms are. They are built on a foundation of emotional manipulation and attention extraction because that is what the ad-driven, fiat-fuelled economy demands. This is why decentralised protocols like Nostr feel refreshing. No algorithms trying to control what you see. No company harvesting your psychology for profit. Just people, conversations, and actual freedom to choose how you engage. I think more of us are waking up to how toxic the legacy platforms have become. And honestly, the quicker the old social media models die, the better. A healthier internet is possible. It just requires building systems that respect authentic human connection rather than exploiting it.
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Michael Wilkins 11 months ago
If there are any #bitcoiners that #Snowboard or #Splitboard let’s connect. image
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Michael Wilkins 11 months ago
When the stock market and Bitcoin sells off from Trumps tweets, but Gold holds steady. You know the market still misunderstands Bitcoin. The lords of leverage get wiped out. Because they still think Bitcoin is a get rich quick scheme, when it’s not. The tweets were about tariffs. Bitcoin has nothing to do with tariffs. Bitcoin is digital gold, hard money, store of value, medium of exchange. Permission-less money. We are still really early. Use these dumps as an opportunity to accumulate more cheap sats. The US government along with every other western government are broke. They will turn to the money printer to try and mask the atrocities they and central banks have created. Just Bitcoin and chill. #Bitcoin #hardmoney #financialfreedom
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Michael Wilkins 11 months ago
Decided to shut down my X account and only hangout on Nostr.